Separated by four points midway in the Ligue 1 table, AS Monaco and Lorient draw swords in order to grab maximum points and climb the standings when they meet at Stade Louis II on Friday, 16 January.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Monaco vs Lorient tips below.
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Monaco vs Lorient prediction: Les Merlus to return home with a point
Key stats
- Monaco have lost three of their last seven competitive games (W4).
- The Monegasques have conceded 15 goals in nine matches on home turf.
- Lorient are winless away from home in eight Ligue 1 trips (D3, L5).
- Les Merlus haven’t lost any of their last four competitive trips (W2, D2).
Correct score prediction: Monaco 1-1 Lorient
Monaco’s form has been inconsistent all season, but more so in recent weeks, having alternated between wins and losses in each of their last seven games across all competitions. However, six defeats from their previous seven Ligue 1 games indicate tumultuous times for the Monegasques.
In contrast, Olivier Pantaloni’s Lorient are undefeated across nine of their last 10 competitive outings. However, the majority of results in Ligue 1 in particular have been draws, with back-to-back victories in Coupe de France.
The visitors are relatively in better form than the hosts, and although Stade Louis II should favour Monaco, Lorient should be able to come away with a point here at the least.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Monaco the clear favourites
- HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23%
- AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Monaco have fallen down the Ligue 1 table in recent weeks with successive defeats. However, bookies back the hosts to win at home, with odds of 3/5 (1.60) suggesting a 62.5% chance of triumph.
Lorient are one of the two sides in Ligue 1, alongside Auxerre, to remain winless away from home. That stat offers little confidence, as bookies assign the visitors odds of 4/1 (5.00), suggesting a 20% win probability rate.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Monaco vs Lorient predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Who will claim bragging rights?
Lorient won the most recent encounter between the two sides earlier this season in the reverse fixture, with Monaco winning the only other clash across six H2Hs (D4).
France Ligue 1 27/09/25
Lorient
Monaco
France Ligue 1 17/03/24
Monaco
Lorient
France Ligue 1 17/09/23
Lorient
Monaco
France Ligue 1 16/04/23
Monaco
Lorient
France Ligue 1 11/01/23
Lorient
Monaco
Monaco preview: Can the hosts cope up?
Sebastien Pocognoli has a huge list of absentees for this match, including Paul Pogba, Takumi Minamino, Ansu Fati, Mamadou Coulibaly (red card) and Lamine Camara (Senegal, AFCON)
Predicted lineup: Kohn (GK), Kehrer, Dier, Teze, Camara, Zakaria, Akliouche, Biereth, Golovin, Henrique & Balogun
Last five matches:
- Orleans 1-2 Monaco (Coupe de France)
- Monaco 1-3 Lyon (Ligue 1)
- Auxerre 1-2 Monaco (Coupe de France)
- Marseille 1-0 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- Monaco 1-0 Galatasaray (UEFA Champions League)
Lorient preview: Can they upset the odds?
Pantaloni has three confirmed players missing: Souleymane Toure, Panos Katseris and Aiyegun Tosin.
Predicted lineup: Mvogo (GK), Silva, Meite, Adjei, Mvuka, Abergel, Cadiou, Le Bris, Dieng, Soumano & Pagis
Last five matches:
- Hauts Lyonnais 1-3 Lorient (Coupe de France)
- Lorient 1-1 Metz (Ligue 1)
- AS Le Gosier 0-7 Lorient (Coupe de France)
- Strasbourg 0-0 Lorient (Ligue 1)
- Lorient 1-0 Lyon (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Pablo Pagis
With five goals to his name, Pablo Pagis is Lorient’s most potent player in the offensive line. Although the 23-year-old forward has failed to find the net consistently in recent weeks, his performances have helped the club secure positive results. He will prove significant if Lorient are to come away with a point here.