Poland will host Moldova on Friday, 6 June, in a friendly game, as both teams prepare for their upcoming World Cup qualifiers a few days later.
Will the hosts secure an easy win as expected, or will Moldova be able to resist them? Find that out and more from our Poland vs Moldova prediction and preview.
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Poland vs Moldova prediction: Goals on both sides
Key stats
- Both teams have scored in four of the last six games played by Poland.
- Moldova haven't lost to Poland by more than one goal four times in a row.
- Poland have just two wins in their last seven matches in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Poland 2-1 Moldova
While Moldova have been able to keep up with Poland in their recent matches, especially in their two previous meetings in 2023 in EURO qualifiers, Poland are simply the better team.
On top of that, Poland will host this match and while this is a friendly and obviously far from a must-win for the hosts, we can still see them edging out Moldova in a close game.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Poland the clear favourites
- HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80.00%
- DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.40%
- AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.00%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at these Poland vs Moldova odds, we can see that the home team are the expected winners and by a huge margin.
This is hardly a surprise since Poland are 34th in the FIFA rankings, while Moldova are 154th, which is enough to illustrate a huge difference between these teams in terms of quality.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our other football betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Moldova holding their own
These two teams have met eight times in total and Poland have certainly been the better team overall, with five wins. That being said, Moldova have avoided a loss in three of their last five duels and have also recorded their first win over Poland in 2023.
Euro 2023 Qualifying 15/10/23
Poland
Moldova
Euro 2023 Qualifying 20/06/23
Moldova
Poland
Poland preview: Looking for a third win in a row
After a stretch of five matches without a win in the UEFA Nations League, Poland seemingly found their form again at the start of the World Cup qualifiers, notching a couple of wins. That being said, the wins came against Lithuania and Malta, two teams of much lower quality than Poland, along with Poland hosting both matches.
Robert Lewandowski won't be available for this game due to fatigue.
Predicted lineup: Skorupski (GK), Wieteska, Bednarek, Kiwior, Moder, Frankowski, Szymanski, Bogusz, Kaminski, Swiderski & Piatek
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25
W
Malta
0
Poland
2
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W
Lithuania
0
Poland
1
UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
L
Scotland
2
Poland
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
L
Portugal
5
Poland
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
D
Croatia
3
Poland
3
Moldova preview: Hoping for a good game
While Moldova remain among the lowest-ranked teams in Europe, they have shown signs of improvement in recent years and have been a tough nut to crack for some of the bigger teams recently, including their next opponent Poland.
Moldova even secured promotion to League C of the UEFA Nations League, once again proving they're on the rise. That being said, they are still far from being good enough to make a major tournament and they did start their WC qualifiers with a couple of losses to Estonia and Norway.
Predicted lineup: Koshukhar (GK), Revenco, Craciun, Baboglo, Reabciuk, Motpan, Rata, Postolachi, Caimacov, Bodisteanu & Nicolaescu
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25
L
Estonia
3
Moldova
2
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25
L
Norway
5
Moldova
0
International Match 19/11/24
D
Gibraltar
1
Moldova
1
UEFA Nations League D 16/11/24
W
Andorra
0
Moldova
1
UEFA Nations League D 13/10/24
L
Malta
1
Moldova
0
Player to watch: Karol Swiderski
With Lewandowski out of this game, Swiderski and Piatek will lead the offence for Poland against Moldova. Both of them have a similar goalscoring record in the Polish national team, but Swiderski is seemingly in better form and thus our player to watch in this match.
After all, Swiderski enters this game after scoring a brace against Malta, so we can see him continuing in the same rhythm against Moldova.