MK Dons vs Swindon prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/11/2025
MK Dons players celebrating || Credit IMAGO / Pro Sports Images
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Home to win

MK Dons have won four of their last five meetings against Swindon.

Milton Keynes Dons will face Swindon Town in the EFL Trophy, scheduled for Tuesday at Stadium MK, with the home team looking for their first win in the competition.

The Dons enter the game in good form, having won three of their last five games, but they have failed to win their last two games in the EFL Trophy competition. Their most recent game was a 3-2 victory against Colchester United away from home in the FA Cup, but they failed to build on the win last weekend, having settled for a 2-2 draw against Barnet.

On the other hand, the Robins have improved their form in their last five games, winning their game against Rotherham in the FA Cup via extra time. They enter the cup match following a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Tranmere, a result that required extra time to get the victory. 

Read our MK Dons vs Swindon predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other EFL Trophy predictions.

MK Dons vs Swindon prediction: Home team to win narrowly

Key statistics

  • Four of their last five meetings have been won by MK Dons.
  • MK Dons have won their last two home games.
  • Four of their last five encounters have had over 2.5 goals scored.

Correct score prediction: MK Dons 2-1 Swindon

We are predicting a narrow victory for MK Dons, following their impressive performance in their last five games. The Dons will be looking to claim their first win in the EFL Trophy competition and we are predicting a 3-1 victory in this cup tie. 

Also, the home team will be looking to extend their home streak to three games in a row and will look to use their home advantage in their favour, coupled with their record against the visitors.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Swindon are slight favourites

  • Home: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
  • Draw: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • Away: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5% 

Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.

The away team head into this clash as slight favourites with odds of 2.30, implying a 43.5% chance of victory. The home team are close behind at 2.70 (37.0%), while the draw is priced at 3.50 (28.6%), indicating a tight encounter is expected, which could swing either way.

Most recent Head-to-head: The Dons' strong dominance over the Robins

The Dons have secured four victories and one draw, with Swindon failing to record a single win against their rivals in this recent run. In their last two recent meetings, MK Dons played a 0-0 draw in their League Two and a 3-1 victory at home in the reverse leg.

England League 2 03/05/25

Swindon

Swindon

0
Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

0

England League 2 09/11/24

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

3
Swindon

Swindon

1

England League 2 17/02/24

Swindon

Swindon

1
Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

2

England League 2 28/10/23

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

3
Swindon

Swindon

2

England League 1 24/04/21

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

5
Swindon

Swindon

0

After reviewing our key MK Dons vs Swindon predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

MK Dons preview: Injury troubles for Warne’s team

Paul Warne will be hoping his team can get a win against Swindon after a disappointing outing last weekend. He currently has a healthy squad to pick from for this clash and could likely mix this up by adding some first-team players for the clash.

Also, the manager is dealing with several absences ahead of their upcoming fixture. Aaron Collins and Gavin Jones are sidelined with hamstring injuries, Scott Hogan, Connor Lemonheigh-Evans and Liam Maguire remain unavailable, Craig MacGillivray is unavailable due to injury and Kieran Wilson is recovering from a knee injury.

Predicted lineup: Trueman (GK), Offord, Thompson, Lewis-Burgess, Nemane, Collar, Kelly, Sommers, Troso, Leko & Hepburn-Murphy

Last five fixtures

  • 08.11.25 – Barnet 2 – 2 MK Dons
  • 01.11.25 – Colchester 2 – 3 MK Dons
  • 25.10.25 – Bromley 2 – 1 MK Dons
  • 18.10.25 – MK Dons 3 – 1 Crewe
  • 11.10.25 – Bristol Rovers 0 – 4 MK Dons

Swindon preview: Injury concern for the visitors

Ian Holloway has a few players unavailable due to injury and suspension concerns. Daniel Butterworth is unavailable for the clash, Aaron Drinan is suspended following a red card, Harrison Minturn is sidelined with a groin injury and Harrison Smith is out with a knee problem.

Predicted lineup: Ripley (GK), Mabete, Knight-Lebel, Mabete, Delaney, Murphy, Oldaker, Clarke, Munroe, Ehibhatiomhan & Glatzel

Last five fixtures

  • 08.11.25 – Swindon 2 – 1 Tranmere
  • 01.11.25 – Rotherham 1 – 2 Swindon
  • 28.10.25 – Swindon 2 – 3 West Ham U21
  • 25.10.25 – Swindon 0 – 0 Colchester
  • 21.10.25 – Swindon 2 – 2 Notts Co

Player to watch: Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy in action for MK Dons || Credit || IMAGO / Pro Sports Images
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy in action for MK Dons || Credit || IMAGO / Pro Sports Images

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy has been a standout performer for MK Dons in recent weeks, playing a key role in their attacking play. The striker has scored four goals in his last five games this season. His influence will be important if he is used against Swindon in the EFL Trophy competition.


Stephen is a dynamic sports journalist, writer, and reporter who brings passion and expertise to the world of sports, captivating audiences with insightful articles and in-depth analysis of the game.