Millwall vs Stoke prediction, odds & betting tips 21/10/2025
Millwall have not lost a home game against Stoke in two decades. - Photo by IMAGO/Pro Sports Images
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Millwall to score first

Millwall drew first blood in five of their last six clashes with Stoke.

Sparks will fly as Millwall and Stoke City go toe-to-toe with each other in the 11th round of the English Championship at The Den on Tuesday, 21 October 2025.

View our free Millwall vs Stoke predictions below.

Millwall vs Stoke predictions: A low-scoring affair

Key stats

  • Seven consecutive clashes between Millwall and Stoke City have gone below the 2.5-goal threshold.
  • Fewer than three goals were scored in each of Stoke's last seven games.
  • There were at least 11 corners in four of the last five skirmishes between these outfits.

Correct score prediction: Millwall 1-1 Stoke

The spoils were shared in three of Stoke's last four games, two of which ended 1-1. Moreover, two of the last three clashes between these sides ended in stalemates.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Millwall are clear favourites

  • HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
  • DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
  • AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

After stringing together three consecutive draws, Stoke City returned to winning ways with a 1-0 victory over Wrexham last weekend. They are up against an in-form Millwall, who have won back-to-back games while scoring five goals.

Ahead of this encounter, Stoke are third in the Championship with a 5-3-2 win-draw-loss record, while Millwall, who have earned 17 points from a possible 30 are sixth.

Bearing that in mind, Millwall are the expected winners at 23/20 (2.15). Teams with these odds usually have a 46.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Millwall vs Stoke predictions.

We have also established that seven consecutive skirmishes between these outfits have gone south of the 2.5-goal marker. On that note, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 4/5 (1.80). That one has a 55.6% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Millwall have bragging rights

Millwall are unbeaten in their last six skirmishes with Stoke City (W4, D2), keeping five clean sheets in the process. They also have not lost a home game against Stoke since August 2005.

England Championship 15/03/25

Millwall

Millwall

1
Stoke

Stoke

0

England Championship 09/11/24

Stoke

Stoke

1
Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 23/12/23

Stoke

Stoke

0
Millwall

Millwall

0

England Championship 26/08/23

Millwall

Millwall

1
Stoke

Stoke

0

England Championship 25/02/23

Stoke

Stoke

0
Millwall

Millwall

1

Millwall preview: Eyeing their third consecutive victory

Millwall will remain without long-term absentee goalkeeper Lukas Jensen, who suffered an Achilles tendon rupture in April, while holding midfielder Massimo Luongo is a fitness concern for this home game after being forced off as early as the fifteenth minute of the recent 2-1 win away at QPR.

Predicted lineup: Crocombe (GK), Sturge, Cooper, Crama, Leonard, De Norrie, Mitchell, Azeez, Smallbone, Ballo & Ivanovic.

Last five matches

  • QPR 1-2 Millwall
  • Millwall 3-0 Westbrom
  • Millwall 0-4 Coventry
  • Swansea 1-1 Millwall
  • Millwall 1-0 Watford

Stoke City preview: Looking to improve their fortunes on the road.

Sam Gallagher, Jun-Ho Bae and Bosun Lawal were unavailable due to injuries as the Potters returned to winning ways on Saturday and are also all expected to miss this contest at Millwall.

With no fresh injuries to contend with, head coach Mark Robins could decide to go with an unchanged XI for this match.

Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Tchamadeu, Phillips, Wilmot, Cresswell, Rigo, Seko, Manhoef, Baker, Thomas & Mubama.

Last five matches

  • Stoke 1-0 Wrexham
  • Blackburn 0-0 Stoke
  • Middlesbrough 0-0 Stoke
  • Stoke 1-1 Norwich
  • QPR 1-0 Stoke

Player to watch: Femi Azeez

Femi Azeez player to watch
Femi Azeez had three goal contributions in five Championship assignments this season. – Photo by IMAGO/Focus Images

After a slow start, Femi Azeez is beginning to find his stride. The former Reading midfielder has scored twice and provided an assist in Millwall's last two games. He will be called upon to provide goals on Tuesday night.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed