QPR vs Millwall prediction, odds & betting tips 21/09/2024
QPR in action - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Duncan Watmore anytime scorer

4 goals in 4 games

A tasty London Derby involving QPR and Millwall is coming up on Saturday. Who will step up and claim three points, or will it end in a hard-fought draw? Check out our predictions below.

QPR vs Millwall prediction: QPR eager to impress in front of home fans

Key stats

  • QPR have won 7 of the last 22 meetings, Millwall have won 5, with 10 draws
  • Four of the last five meetings have finished with a 2-0 scoreline
  • QPR are averaging 1.4 goals per game at home this season
  • Millwall have conceded at least 1 goal in three of their opening five games

Correct score prediction: QPR 2-1 Millwall

QPR has conceded in every single Championship game this season, suggesting Millwall could score a goal here. However, based on historical H2H meetings between the two, QPR has typically been able to find the back of the net regularly. For us, this points to a possible 2-1 win for QPR in this derby.

Pre-game odds and win probability: QPR favourites to take three points at home

  • HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.40%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.30%
  • AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.30%

QPR has a solid record against Millwall at home, hence the 44.40% probability of victory. But they will need to clean things up at the back to avoid a draw!

Take a look at our football betting tips page if you’d like to wager on more exciting games this weekend.

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Most recent H2Hs: split results and no clear dominance on either side

In the last five matches, Millwall has 3 wins while QPR has 2. All of these games have involved at least 2 goals, and the overall goal scoring average when these teams clash is 2.27. Home advantage has been particularly prominent, too, with Millwall performing better at The Den and QPR at Loftus Road.

England Championship 20/01/24

QPR

QPR

2
Millwall

Millwall

0

England Championship 26/12/23

Millwall

Millwall

2
QPR

QPR

0

England Championship 11/02/23

QPR

QPR

1
Millwall

Millwall

2

England Championship 14/09/22

Millwall

Millwall

0
QPR

QPR

2

England Championship 15/02/22

Millwall

Millwall

2
QPR

QPR

0

QPR preview: struggling, but signs of momentum

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) enter this upcoming fixture with a sense of optimism following their recent Carabao Cup performance against Premier League side Crystal Palace. Despite losing 2-1, QPR displayed resilience and competitive spirit – the kind they will need to emerge victorious against Millwall.

Predicted lineup: Begovic (GK), Kakay, Cook, Clarke-Salter, Paal, Field, Colback, Willock, Chair, Dykes, Armstrong

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Sunderland

Sunderland

0

QPR

QPR

1

England Championship 26/04/25

L

Burnley

Burnley

5

QPR

QPR

0

England Championship 21/04/25

L

Swansea

Swansea

2

QPR

QPR

1

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Preston

Preston

1

QPR

QPR

2

England Championship 12/04/25

D

Bristol City

Bristol City

1

QPR

QPR

1

Millwall preview: 18th place with 4 points from 5 games

Millwall's start to the 2024-25 Championship season has proved to be quite challenging. The team currently sits in 18th place after accumulating just 4 points from their first 5 games. The Lions have struggled to find consistency, too, winning only one match, drawing one, and losing three in the early stages of the campaign.

Predicted lineup: Bialkowski (GK), McNamara, Hutchinson, Cooper, Wallace, Mitchell, Saville, Honeyman, Watmore, Bradshaw, Nisbet

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Burnley

Burnley

3

Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 26/04/25

W

Swansea

Swansea

0

Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Norwich

Norwich

1

Millwall

Millwall

3

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Blackburn

Blackburn

4

Millwall

Millwall

1

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

0

Millwall

Millwall

1

Player to watch – Duncan Watmore (Millwall)

Duncan Watmore has emerged as Millwall's standout performer in the early stages of the 2024-25 season, with an impressive tally of 4 goals in 4 games.

Duncan Watmore – Photo by Imago

The 30-year-old forward is averaging 0.87 goals per 90 minutes, and he could be the one to find the back of the net for Millwall on Saturday.


Gavin is a full-time betting expert based in the UK with over five years of specialised experience in sports wagering and online gambling. His passion for football drives much of his content, though his expertise extends across multiple sports including horse racing, tennis, and cricket. During his time covering the betting landscape, he has written thousands of articles exploring every facet of sports wagering. Gavin brings particular insight to match previews and betting tips, combining statistical analysis with on-pitch knowledge to identify value bets.