Relegation-battling Derby County will be hoping that they can make the most of their home advantage when they play host to mid-table Millwall in one of Saturday's early kick-offs in the Championship.
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Derby vs Millwall prediction: Possible stalemate on the cards?
Key Stats
- Millwall have drawn their last two games and only average 1.06 points on their travels in the Championship.
- Derby have scored more than one goal in just 25% of their home games.
- Millwall have scored more than one goal in just 12% of their away games.
- Over 2.5 goals have been produced in just 38% of Derby's home games and 25% of Millwall's away games this season.
Correct score prediction: Derby 1-1 Millwall
Derby are struggling at the wrong end of the table and haven't managed to win any of their last ten league games, while Millwall are without a win in their last three fixtures, drawing their last two games against Preston and West Brom 1-1. Derby are averaging 1.19 goals per home game in the Championship this season while Millwall are averaging 0.88 goals per away game.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Derby the favourite
- HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Derby are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 40% but we could see this game ending in a stalemate.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Millwall lead
Saturday's guests have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five league meetings with the Rams. The pair played out a 1-1 draw in London back in October.
England Championship 19/10/24
Millwall
Derby
England Championship 23/02/22
Derby
Millwall
England Championship 06/11/21
Millwall
Derby
England Championship 13/03/21
Derby
Millwall
England Championship 05/12/20
Millwall
Derby
Derby preview: The Rams were slaughtered by QPR
Derby County will be desperate to recover from their heavy defeat at QPR last time.
The home side scored two goals in the first half and another two goals in the second 45 without replay to claim a comfortable 4-0 victory over Derby County, leaving the visitors in the bottom three with 29 points to their name.
Corey Blackett-Taylor is expected to miss the Millwall game due to an injury.
Predicted lineup: Widell Zetterstrom (GK), Clarke, Elder, Nyambe, Langas, Osborn, Harness, Adams, Mendez-Laing, Salvesen & Yates
England Championship 01/03/25
L
Middlesbrough
1
Derby
0
England Championship 22/02/25
L
Millwall
1
Derby
0
England Championship 14/02/25
L
QPR
4
Derby
0
England Championship 11/02/25
D
Oxford Utd
0
Derby
0
England Championship 08/02/25
D
Norwich
1
Derby
1
Millwall preview: Another draw on the road
Millwall made the trip to Deepdale to face Preston in midweek. A goal from top scorer Mihailo Ivanovic put the Lions 1-0 up at the break.
One goal never felt like it was going to be enough for Millwall to win the game, and early in the second half, that proved the case as Preston equalised and held out for a 1-1 draw, Millwall's eighth stalemate on the road this season.
Defenders Calum Scanlon and Dan McNamara look set to miss the trip to Derby on Saturday due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Jensen (GK), Bryan, Cooper, Tanganga, Crama, De Norre, Cundle, Mitchell, Azeez, Ivanovic & Bangura-Williams
England FA Cup 01/03/25
L
Crystal Palace
3
Millwall
1
England Championship 22/02/25
W
Derby
0
Millwall
1
England Championship 18/02/25
D
Preston
1
Millwall
1
England Championship 15/02/25
D
West Brom
1
Millwall
1
England Championship 12/02/25
L
Plymouth
5
Millwall
1
Player to watch: Jerry Yates
Derby Country striker Jerry Yates might just provide the goals to keep the Rams in the Championship this season providing he can avoid any injuries or suspensions.
The 28-year-old former Swansea City and Blackpool striker has scored seven times in 30 Championship appearances this season, making him the club's top scorer by three goals.
The French international is enjoying his best season in front of goal
Yates is due a goal this weekend after failing to score in his last two games against Oxford United and QPR and if anyone is going to score for Derby against Millwall, you wouldn't back anyone else but Jerry Yates.