The Championship leaders, West Brom, will face a tough contest against Middlesbrough on Tuesday. Both teams have sustained surprise losses recently, so we expect a fierce and attacking game in this one. As for our key predictions, check them all out below.
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West Brom vs Middlesbrough prediction: Baggies to edge Boro
Key stats
- West Brom have won 5 of their opening 7 games this season
- Middlesbrough haven’t beaten the Baggies on the road since 2019
- West Brom’s last two home wins have come by 1-0 margins
- Middlesbrough have conceded just 5 goals in 7 games
Correct score prediction: West Brom 1-0 Middlesbrough
Although West Brom are the Championship leaders, their recent loss on the road to Sheffield Wednesday may cause a more conservative approach here. Additionally, Boro has conceded just 5 goals in 7 matches. Therefore, we don’t expect a huge number of goals, but we do expect the Baggies to edge this one by a 1-0 scoreline.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Baggies favoured by the bookies
- HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.80%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.30%
- AWAY: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.40%
The odds and subsequent probabilities for this game feel appropriate based on current standings and form. That said, we do agree that West Brom have a slight edge, hence we feel that the 40.80% probability of a win for the Baggies is fair.
Take a moment to look at our football betting tips page if you’d like to make another wager or two on the top games this week.
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Relatively balanced between the sides
If you look back through the last five games between these two, things are perfectly balanced. Boro has two wins, West Brom has two wins, and the remaining contest was a draw. Therefore, there isn’t much between the sides, and just 5 points separate them in the Championship right now.
England Championship 23/12/23
Middlesbrough
West Brom
England Championship 26/08/23
West Brom
Middlesbrough
England Championship 25/02/23
West Brom
Middlesbrough
England Championship 30/07/22
Middlesbrough
West Brom
England Championship 22/02/22
Middlesbrough
West Brom
West Brom preview: Baggies hoping to keep lead at the top
It goes without saying that West Brom’s recent loss to Sheffield Wednesday was very surprising. This was the first loss for West Brom all season. Yet, with four successive wins prior to that result, West Brom will look to get back on track here.
Predicted Lineup: Palmer (GK), Furlong, Ajayi, Bartley, Townsend, Yokuslu, Mowatt, Wallace, Swift, Diangana, Maja
England Championship 01/10/24
L
Middlesbrough
1
West Brom
0
England Championship 28/09/24
L
Sheff Wed
3
West Brom
2
England Championship 21/09/24
W
Plymouth
0
West Brom
1
England Championship 15/09/24
W
Portsmouth
0
West Brom
3
England Championship 31/08/24
W
Swansea
0
West Brom
1
Middlesbrough preview: Boro seek statement win
Middlesbrough have performed reasonably well this season, and they find themselves in 8th place right now. But with two wins in their last five, Boro needs to start picking up more points if they are to challenge for promotion.
Predicted Lineup: Palmer (GK), Furlong, Ajayi, Bartley, Townsend, Yokuslu, Mowatt, Wallace, Swift, Diangana, Maja
England Championship 01/10/24
W
West Brom
0
Middlesbrough
1
England Championship 28/09/24
W
Stoke
0
Middlesbrough
2
England Championship 21/09/24
L
Sunderland
1
Middlesbrough
0
England Championship 14/09/24
D
Preston
1
Middlesbrough
1
England Championship 31/08/24
W
Cardiff
0
Middlesbrough
2
Player to watch – Josh Maja (West Brom)
Josh Maja is the only man in the Championship who has managed to score 7 goals in the opening 7 games. To be specific, his average is 1.10 goals per 90 minutes, and these are the kinds of numbers that will put fear into Boro and their fans.
Furthermore, he has scored in all three of West Brom’s last three games, which shows how consistent he is right now.
