Sparks will fly as two of the top 3 teams in the English Championship battle for supremacy at Riverside Stadium on Tuesday, 30 September 2025.
View our free Middlesbrough vs Stoke predictions below.
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Middlesbrough vs Stoke predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Stoke City's last four games have all gone below the 2.5-goal threshold.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in three of Stoke’s last four trips to this stadium.
- Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the Championship this season.
Correct score prediction: Middlesbrough 1-0 Stoke
Although Stoke had a great start to their campaign, they are going through a rough patch, losing three of their last five matches across all competitions while failing to score in each defeat.
Oh the other hand, Middlesbrough have a perfect three wins from three at home in the Championship this season, keeping two clean sheets in the process. They were also victorious in their last two clashes with Stoke.
Taking everything into account, we are confident that Boro will claim all the spoils after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Middlesbrough are clear favourites
- HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Middlesbrough are one of two undefeated teams in the Championship with a 5-2-0 win-draw-loss record. They are leading the standings, four points clear of second-placed Coventry and third-placed Stoke, who have both earned 13 points from a possible 21.
Ahead of this encounter, Middlesbrough are the expected winners at 10/11 (1.91). Teams with these odds generally have a 52.4% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Middlesbrough vs Stoke predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that Stoke’s last four games went south of the 2.5-goal marker, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 3/4 (1.75). That one has a 57.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Can Boro make it three in a row?
Middlesbrough defeated Stoke City twice in the Championship last season. However, prior to that, they had lost three consecutive clashes between these sides without scoring.
England Championship 25/02/25
Stoke
Middlesbrough
England Championship 07/02/25
Stoke
Middlesbrough
England Championship 28/09/24
Middlesbrough
Stoke
England EFL Cup 27/08/24
Middlesbrough
Stoke
England Championship 02/03/24
Stoke
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough preview: Looking to extend their unbeaten run
Middlesbrough will remain without Darragh Lenihan (ankle surgery) and Riley McGree (muscular problems) due to injury, while Dael Fry, who suffered a calf injury, could return for this game if his fitness level makes the cut.
Boro struck a 2-0 home win and a 3-1 victory on the road last February in this fixture, and the hosts will be eager to extend their winning run over Stoke when both sides clash on Tuesday night.
Mamadou Kaly Sene could play from the first minute, as he has done enough to earn a starting berth after coming off the bench to score in Boro’s last two games.
Predicted lineup: Brynn (GK), Ayling, Edmundson, Jones, Brittain, Morris, Hackney, Targett, Whittaker, Conway & Sene.
Last five matches
- Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough 2-1 West Brom
- Preston 2-2 Middlesbrough
- Middlesbrough 1-1 Sheffield Utd
- Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Stoke preview: Hoping to improve their fortunes
Stoke, on the other hand, will have to be sure of the fitness of Sam Gallagher, who is yet to feature for the Potters this season due to muscular issues.
Lewis Baker is expected to return for this fixture after the 30-year-old midfielder sat out the draw with Norwich due to a knock.
Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Tchamadeu, Lawal, Wilmot, Cresswell, Rigo, Seko, Manhoef, Bae, Thomas & Mubama.
Last five matches
- Stoke 1-1 Norwich
- QPR 1-0 Stoke
- Stoke 1-0 Birmingham
- Stoke 0-1 West Brom
- Stoke 0-3 Bradford
Player to watch: Sorba Thomas
Stoke City have scored 10 goals in seven Championship games this season and Sorba Thomas was directly involved in six of them. The Welsh midfielder leads the team in both goals (3) and assists (3) and will be called upon to provide goals on Tuesday night.