Two promotion hopefuls meet this weekend at the Riverside. Our Middlesbrough vs Burnley prediction and Championship betting tips consider whether the Clarets can leave with all the points as they target top spot.
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Middlesbrough vs Burnley prediction: Brownhill to score in draw
Key stats
- Our Middlesbrough vs Burnley betting tips take into account that the visitors have drawn eight of their last 20 league games.
- They are unbeaten in 10 heading into this.
- It’s just one defeat in six league games for Middlesbrough, with that solitary loss coming away to leaders Leeds.
Correct score prediction: Middlesbrough 1-1 Burnley
These sides played out a competitive 1-1 draw at Turf Moor earlier this month, and everything suggests we’ll get another close game here.
Burnley take real momentum into the game after some excellent recent results, but this is a tough match to have so soon after their top-of-the-table clash with Sheffield United, and they may have to settle for a point.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Boro the slight favourites
- HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Middlesbrough vs Burnley odds with an implied probability of 43.5% that they win this match.
They were involved in a remarkable game on Boxing Day, as they threw a 3-0 lead away to only draw with Sheffield Wednesday.
As for Burnley, they picked up an excellent 2-0 win at Sheffield United, with Josh Brownhill and Zian Flemming scoring.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Burnley unbeaten in seven
Our Middlesbrough vs Burnley prediction suggests the visitors can extend a seven game unbeaten run against this opposition.
Burnley have won on two of their last three visits to this stadium, but they could only draw 1-1 when the sides met at Turf Moor three weeks ago.
England Championship 06/12/24
Burnley
Middlesbrough
England Championship 07/04/23
Middlesbrough
Burnley
England Championship 17/12/22
Burnley
Middlesbrough
England Premier League 08/04/17
Middlesbrough
Burnley
England Premier League 26/12/16
Burnley
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough preview: Selection problems for Carrick
Rav van den Berg is suspended for the home team. They are also missing Sol Brynn, Tommy Conway, Marcus Forss, Aidan Morris, Darragh Lenihan and Tommy Smith to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Glover (GK), Engel, Fry, Clarke, Dijksteel, Hackney, Barlaser, Doak, Azaz, Burgzorg & Lath
England Championship 03/05/25
L Coventry 2 Middlesbrough 0 England Championship 26/04/25
D Norwich 0 Middlesbrough 0 England Championship 21/04/25
L Sheff Wed 2 Middlesbrough 1 England Championship 18/04/25
W Plymouth 1 Middlesbrough 2 England Championship 12/04/25
L Millwall 1 Middlesbrough 0
Burnley preview: Light rotation from Parker?
The visitors may make light changes for their second road game in four days. Nathan Redmond, Manuel Benson, Aaron Ramsey and Jordan Beyer are injured.
Predicted Lineup: Trafford (GK), Humphreys, Esteve, Egan-Riley, Roberts, Cullen, Brownhill, Mejbri, Flemming, Anthony & Foster
England Championship 03/05/25
W Millwall 1 Burnley 3 England Championship 26/04/25
W QPR 0 Burnley 5 England Championship 21/04/25
W Sheff Utd 1 Burnley 2 England Championship 18/04/25
W Watford 1 Burnley 2 England Championship 11/04/25
W Norwich 1 Burnley 2 
Player to watch – Josh Brownhill
It has been a stunning season in front of goal for Brownhill. The Burnley midfielder has scored in his last three games to take his season’s tally to nine goals.
Brownhill striking after the break
67% of the 29-year-old’s goals this season in the league have come in the Second Half. His latest goal was a 94th minute winner against Portsmouth.