Mexico and Jamaica will meet in their first match at Copa America 2024 on Sunday, 23 June.
With the two teams from CONCACAF meeting in Copa America for the first time ever, who will prevail in this game? Find that out from our Mexico vs Jamaica prediction below.
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Mexico vs Jamaica prediction: Mexico to beat Jamaica again
Key stats
- Mexico are the reigning champions of CONCACAF World Cup and they've beaten Jamaica 3-0 in the semi-finals of this competition last year.
- Jamaica have lost three of the last five duels with Mexico, while the other two have ended in draws.
- Mexico have gone over 2.5 total goals in four of their last six games across the board.
- Four of the last five duels between Mexico and Jamaica have gone over 2.5 total goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mexico the more likely winners
- HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.90%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.00%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.70%
We can see from these Mexico vs Jamaica odds that Mexico are the expected winners, which is understandable if we look at the H2H history between these two teams and Mexico's domination.
That being said, this is probably the best generation of Jamaica's football ever and they've been doing well recently, but Mexico are the reigning champions of CONCACAF and one of the best teams in America overall.
All in all, if you liked our predictions for this match, remember to check out our top betting tips for today as well.
Last five H2Hs: No wins for Jamaica
With three wins over Jamaica in their last five meetings, along with a couple of draws, Mexico have been the better team recently. In fact, they have been a much better team even if we look at the overall H2H record between these teams: 20-5-3 in favour of Mexico.
CONCACAF Gold Cup 13/07/23
Jamaica
Mexico
CONCACAF Nations League 27/03/23
Mexico
Jamaica
CONCACAF Nations League 15/06/22
Jamaica
Mexico
North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 28/01/22
Jamaica
Mexico
Central America - World Cup Qualifying 03/09/21
Mexico
Jamaica
Mexico preview: Can they go far in Copa America?
As the reigning champions of Gold Cup, the competition for North and Central American national teams, Mexico are clearly one of the CONACAF's favourites to do well at Copa America this year. While Mexico's Copa America squad doesn't have a lot of big names, they are a compact and talented team that will try to challenge South American giants like Brazil and Argentina for the trophy.
Predicted lineup: J. Gonzalez (GK), J. Sanchez, Montes, Vasquez, Arteaga, E. Sanchez, Alvarez, Chavez, Antuna, Gimenez & Vega
CONCACAF Nations League 24/03/25
W
Panama
1
Mexico
2
CONCACAF Nations League 21/03/25
W
Canada
0
Mexico
2
African Nations C'ship Qualifying 22/01/25
L
River Plate
2
Mexico
0
CONCACAF Nations League 20/11/24
W
Honduras
0
Mexico
4
CONCACAF Nations League 16/11/24
L
Honduras
2
Mexico
0
Jamaica preview: A dark horse of Copa America
Last year at the CONCACAF Gold Cup, Jamaica have reached the semi-finals, which once again established them as one of the top teams in the region. However, their loss to Mexico in this stage by three goals doesn't bode well for their upcoming duel at the start of Copa America, but Jamaica have a few players with experience from top European leagues, so their fans can hope for a good showing at this tournament.
Predicted lineup: Blake (GK), Lowe, Hector, Bernard, Latibeaudiere, Palmer, Johnson, Anderson, Decordova-Reid, Antonio & Nicholson
CONCACAF Gold Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
W
St. Vincent/Grenadines
0
Jamaica
3
CONCACAF Gold Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
D
St. Vincent/Grenadines
1
Jamaica
1
International Match 10/02/25
D
Trinidad & Tobago
1
Jamaica
1
International Match 07/02/25
W
Trinidad & Tobago
0
Jamaica
1
CONCACAF Nations League 19/11/24
L
USA
4
Jamaica
2
Player to watch: Santiago Gimenez
The young forward is the key player on the offensive end for Mexico and while he only has four goals in the national team so far, he will be their player to watch at this tournament.
Gimenez in great form ahead of Copa America
With 23 goals in 30 appearances for Feyenoord in the Eredivisie this season, Gimenez was one of the league's top scorers. So, he comes to Copa America high on confidence and we can see him proving his quality at the very start of the competition alrady.