A resurgent Lyon outfit travel to the north of France to play Metz, who remain rooted to the foot of the Ligue 1 table, at Stade Saint-Symphorien on Sunday, 25 January.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Metz vs Lyon tips below.
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Metz vs Lyon prediction: Les Gones to return home with maximum points
Key stats
- Metz have won only once across their last seven league fixtures.
- The hosts have conceded an average of 2.22 goals across their 18 Ligue 1 games.
- Lyon are on a three-match winning streak away from home across all competitions.
- Les Gones have the third-best defense in Ligue 1 (18 conceded)
Correct score prediction: Metz 0-2 Lyon
Metz’s form has been inconsistent all season, meaning they are now rooted to the bottom of the Ligue 1 table midway through the season. Their recent 2-1 defeat to Strasbourg marked the end of Stephane Le Mignan’s reign as manager, and they have now lost five of their last six top-flight games.
In contrast, Paulo Fonseca’s resurgent Lyon have been going from strength to strength, as they are on a roll of seven consecutive triumphs across all competitions since going down to Lorient early in December 2025. However, their recent form on the road in Ligue 1 is of concern (W1, D3, L1).
The visitors are clearly in better form than the hosts, and although Metz have the home advantage in in their favour, Lyon should be able to come away with a comfortable victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lyon all the way
- HOME: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 8/11 (1.72) – 58.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Metz have found the back of the net just seven times – a league-low – across their eight home games so far. They are assigned odds of 17/5 (4.40), which suggest a 22.7% chance of triumph on home turf.
Lyon have had mixed results away from home all season (W3, D3, L3). That stat offers little confidence, but bookies view the visitors as favourites with odds of 8/11 (1.72), indicating a 58.1% win probability rate.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Metz vs Lyon predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Can Metz turn the tide?
Lyon are undefeated in four straight H2Hs, with Metz last claiming a 3-2 victory against the visitors at this very venue back in May 2022.
France Ligue 1 23/08/25
Lyon
Metz
France Ligue 1 23/02/24
Metz
Lyon
France Ligue 1 05/11/23
Lyon
Metz
France Cup 07/01/23
Lyon
Metz
France Ligue 1 08/05/22
Metz
Lyon
Metz preview: Almost at full strength
New manager Benoi Tavenot will miss the services of Pape Sy and Joseph Mangondo.
Predicted lineup: Fischer (GK), Colin, Sane, Yegbe, Ballo, Deminguet, Gbamin, Mbaye, Hein, Tsitaishvili & Sane
Last five matches:
- Strasbourg 2-1 Metz (Ligue 1)
- Metz 0-4 Montpellier (Coupe de France)
- Lorient 1-1 Metz (Ligue 1)
- Biesheim 0-3 Metz (Coupe de France)
- Metz 2-3 PSG (Ligue 1)
Lyon preview: Five missing
Ernest Nuamah, Moussa Niakhate, Rashid Ghezzal, Malick Fofana and Abne Vinicius are confirmed absentees for Lyon.
Predicted lineup: Greif (GK), Maitland-Niles, Kluivert, Mata, Tagliafico, Abner, Morton, Tessmann, Sulc, Moreira & Endrick
Last five matches:
- Young Boys 0-1 Lyon (UEFA Europa League)
- Lyon 2-1 Brest (Ligue 1)
- Lille 1-2 Lyon (Coupe de France)
- Monaco 1-3 Lyon (Ligue 1)
- Lyon 3-0 Saint-Cry Collonges (Coupe de France)
Player to watch: Endrick
Real Madrid loanee Endrick has been in hot form for Lyon. Although he has missed a couple of matches since his arrival, Endrick has shone whenever he has had the opportunity with the ball, most recently standing out with an impressive performance in the 2-1 win over Brest. Eyes will be on him once again, after he missed Lyon’s Europa League outing against Young Boys.