Brest could go unbeaten in five consecutive Ligue 1 matches for the first time since April 2025 as they travel to face Metz in Sunday’s matchday 24 clash at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
The hosts sit bottom of the table, 10 points adrift of safety and four behind the relegation playoff spot, while Brest are 11th and just seven points off the European places.
Our Metz vs Brest prediction provides a clear outlook on the contest, alongside additional Ligue 1 betting tips.
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Metz vs Brest: Contrasting momentum between the sides
Key stats
- At least one team has scored exactly two goals in six of Brest’s last seven Ligue 1 outings.
- Les Pirates have won their last three visits to Saint-Symphorien without conceding.
- Metz have trailed at half-time in 12 of their 23 league matches this season, more than any other side in the division.
- Brest have opened the scoring in three of their last four Ligue 1 away games.
Correct score prediction: Metz 0–2 Brest
Metz suffered a 3–0 defeat at Paris Saint-Germain last time out, extending their league winless run to 11 matches (D2, L9) — the longest current streak in the division.
Head coach Benoit Tavenot has yet to register a victory in five matches in charge (D1, L4), with the Maroons failing to score in three of the last four, and facing an in-form Brest side does little to ease the pressure.
Les Pirates claimed a 2–0 win over top-four hopefuls Marseille last Friday, extending their unbeaten run to four matches in February. With confidence high and momentum on their side, the visitors look well placed to collect all three points.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Bookmakers favour the visitors
- HOME: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Given Metz’s wretched form, it is no surprise they are priced as underdogs. The Maroons’s 29.4% implied win probability looks optimistic, while Brest’s 47.6% reflects both their recent form and dominance in this fixture.
Our hot tip — Brest over 1.5 goals — offers value at 11/10 (2.10).
Most recent H2H: Another league double on the cards?
Brest have won each of the last four meetings with Metz, including both fixtures last term. Les Pirates also claimed a 3–2 victory in this season’s reverse, meaning they could secure consecutive league doubles in this matchup.
France Ligue 1 23/11/25
Brest
Metz
France Ligue 1 07/04/24
Brest
Metz
France Ligue 1 10/12/23
Metz
Brest
France Ligue 1 24/04/22
Metz
Brest
France Ligue 1 26/09/21
Brest
Metz
Metz preview: Key absentees remain
Top scorer Gauthier Hein missed the defeat to PSG due to an ankle injury and could be unavailable again.
Metz will also remain without goalkeeper Pape Sy, who is sidelined with a head injury. Midfielder Benjamin Stambouli may miss a third straight game with a rib issue, while attacker Joseph Mangondo continues his recovery from a knee problem.
Predicted XI: Fischer (GK), Kouao, Sane, Yegbe, Ballo-Toure, Traore, Gbamin, Tsitaishvili, Michal, Abuashvili & Diallo
Metz’s last five results
- 21/02/26: PSG 3–0 Metz (Ligue 1)
- 15/02/26: Metz 1–3 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
- 06/02/26: Metz 0–0 Lille (Ligue 1)
- 01/02/26: Angers 1–0 Metz (Ligue 1)
- 25/01/26: Metz 2–5 Lyon (Ligue 1)
Brest preview: Close to full strength
Brest have an almost fully fit squad, with Mama Baldé, who has been sidelined with a muscle issue since early January, the visitors’ only likely absentee.
Predicted XI: Coudert (GK), Lala, Diaz, Chardonnet, Guindo, Chotard, Magnetti, Del Castillo, Ebimbe, Doumbia & Ajorque
Brest’s last five results
- 20/02/26: Brest 2–0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- 14/02/26: Lille 1–1 Brest (Ligue 1)
- 07/02/26: Brest 2–0 Lorient (Ligue 1)
- 01/02/26: Nice 2–2 Brest (Ligue 1)
- 25/01/26: Brest 0–2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Ludovic Ajorque
Ludovic Ajorque scored a brace in the win over Marseille, meaning he has either found the net or assisted in each of his last four appearances, and the French forward will be central to Brest’s attacking threat as they look to extend their unbeaten run.