High-flying Olympique de Marseille, who sit trail league leaders PSG by just two points, welcome out-of-form Toulouse at Stade Velodrome on Saturday, 29 November.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Marseille vs Toulouse tips below.
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Marseille vs Toulouse prediction: OM to comfortably beat La Tefece
Key stats
- Marseille are on a three-match winning streak across all competitions.
- Stade Velodrome this season has averaged 4.5 goals per game.
- Toulouse have won none of their last five Ligue 1 games (D3, L2)
- La Tefece have won just twice in six away encounters this league term.
Correct score prediction: Marseille 2-0 Toulouse
Roberto De Zerbi oversaw Marseille’s third consecutive victory as Newcastle United were beaten 2-1 at the Velodrome, marking the club’s seventh triumph on home turf in nine matches this season. Of late, the Olympians have been clinical in domestic proceedings, netting nine and conceding just once across their last three league outings.
In contrast, Carles Martinez Novell’s Toulouse have struggled spectacularly – now winless in five straight matches where they’ve scored only thrice. This marks La Tefece’s longest winless streak since April.
Marseille clearly have the momentum in their favour. Expect the hosts to comfortably win all three points on home turf, where they have struck 21 times – the highest figure in the league.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Marseille victory inevitable
- HOME: 8/13 (1.61) – 62.1%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Marseille are unbeaten on home turf in six outings, dropping points just once in the process. The hosts carry odds of 8/13 (1.61) in their favour, which indicates a 62.1% chance of success.
Both of Toulouse’s away wins this season have come against top-half sides, Nice and Lyon. However, the visitors are still priced relatively low with 17/4 (5.25) odds. This implies a minority 19% probability of success away at Marseille.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Marseille vs Toulouse predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: OM supremacy
Marseille remain unbeaten against Toulouse in 22 H2Hs (W14, D8). La Tefece haven’t won against the Olympians since 2012.
France Ligue 1 06/04/25
Marseille
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 31/08/24
Toulouse
Marseille
France Ligue 1 21/04/24
Toulouse
Marseille
France Ligue 1 17/09/23
Marseille
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 19/02/23
Toulouse
Marseille
Marseille preview: Fifth straight league outing unbeaten?
Amine Gouiri, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina, Hamed Traore and Michael Murillo are confirmed absentees for the Marseille.
Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Weah, Pavard, Egan-Riley, Palmieri, O’Riley, Vermeeren, Greenwood, Gomes, Paixao & Aubameyang
Last five matches:
- Marseille 2-1 Newcastle United (UEFA Champions League)
- Nice 1-5 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- Marseille 3-0 Brest (Ligue 1)
- Marseille 0-1 Atalanta (UEFA Champions League)
- Auxerre 0-1 Marseille (Ligue 1)
Toulouse preview: Can they keep a resurgent Marseille at bay?
La Tefece have five players missing for this clash: Niklas Schmidt, Abu Francis, Ilyas Azizi and Mario Sauer.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), McKenzie, Cresswell, Nicolaisen, Sidibe, Casseres, Vossah, Methalie, Magri, Gboho & Emersonn
Last five matches:
- Toulouse 0-1 Angers (Ligue 1)
- Lorient 1-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 0-0 Le Havre (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 2-2 Rennes (Ligue 1)
- Monaco 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Mason Greenwood

Greenwood currently stands as Ligue 1’s top scorer with 10 strikes to his name. Three of his most recent goals came in Marseille’s last two matches, as he capped a victory against Brest with a sublime strike, before netting a match-winning brace at Nice. After firing a blank against Newcastle, the 24-year-old will be eager to extend his goalscoring streak in the French top division.