Marseille vs PSG prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/09/2025
PSG have been dominant in this fixture for several years - Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

PSG to win

PSG have been dominant in this fixture, they are in top for, and they have better quality to pick up a win against Marseille.

The iconic Stade Orange Velodrome is set to host the latest installment of Le Classique on Sunday, as Marseille face off against their fierce rivals, PSG, who are looking to maintain their perfect start to the season.

Check out our Marseille vs PSG prediction, including correct score, lineups and key statistics.

Also check out other football betting tips for this week, with several other teams across the world in action this weekend.

Marseille vs PSG prediction: The Parisians have dominated proceedings

Key stats

  • PSG are unbeaten in their last 12 league visits to Marseille, winning nine of them.
  • PSG have won each of their last nine Ligue 1 encounters against Marseille.
  • PSG have scored two more goals in the last five meetings between both sides.

Correct Score Prediction: Marseille 1-2 PSG

Given PSG’s current run of form and their dominance in this fixture, the visitors are well-placed to triumph on Sunday. The attacking strength of Luis Enrique's men, coupled with Marseille's lack of conviction, all bodes well for the away side.

Pre-game odds and win probability: PSG’s dominance has been backed

  • HOME: 5/2 – 3.50 – 28.6%
  • DRAW: 29/10 – 3.90 – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 10/11 – 1.91 – 52.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

These figures show PSG as favourites, with Marseille’s 29% probability indicating they are just ]underdogs but still dangerous at home, while the draw’s 26% suggests a tight contest where dropped points for PSG remain a realistic possibility.

For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: PSG have enjoyed recent dominance

PSG have been the dominant force in this fixture, winning the last five encounters, with Marseille’s only triumph in the last 10 meetings coming in the Coupe de France.

France Ligue 1 16/03/25

PSG

PSG

3
Marseille

Marseille

1

France Ligue 1 27/10/24

Marseille

Marseille

0
PSG

PSG

3

France Ligue 1 31/03/24

Marseille

Marseille

0
PSG

PSG

2

France Ligue 1 24/09/23

PSG

PSG

4
Marseille

Marseille

0

France Ligue 1 26/02/23

Marseille

Marseille

0
PSG

PSG

3

Marseille preview: Injuries and inconsistency

Marseille will be without a couple of key players for this highly anticipated match, with winger Hamed Traore expected to miss out due to a thigh injury, which he picked up in a midweek Champions League fixture.

Summer signing Nayef Aguerd is a doubt after sustaining a head injury on his debut.

The hosts have been inconsistent in the league this season, alternating between losses and wins in their opening four matches, while they started their Champions League campaign with a 2-1 loss to Real Madrid on Tuesday.

Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Medina, Pavard, Balerdi, Murillo, Kondogbia, Hojbjerg, Weah, O'Riley, Greenwood & Gouiri

Marseille's last five matches:

  • 16.09.25 – Real Madrid 2-1 Marseille
  • 12.09.25 – Marseille 4-0 Lorient
  • 31.08.25 – Lyon 1-0 Marseille
  • 23.08.25 – Marseille 5-2 Paris FC
  • 15.08.25 – Rennes 1-0 Marseille

PSG Preview: The Parisians are missing key stars

The Parisians have their own injury concerns to deal with ahead of this clash, with star attackers Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue both sidelined with calf and thigh issues, respectively.

Central midfielder Joao Neves also limped off in a recent match and is ruled out, while defender Lucas Beraldo is a doubt after twisting his ankle.

Despite these notable absences, the champions possess significant squad depth, which will allow them to cope.

Predicted lineup: Chevalier (GK), Mendes, Marquinhos, Pacho, Hakimi, Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Ruiz, Kvaratskhelia, Ramos & Barcola

PSG's last five matches:

  • 17.09.25 – PSG 4-0 Atalanta
  • 14.09.25 – PSG 2-0 Lens
  • 30.08.25 – Toulouse 3-6 PSG
  • 22. 08.25 –PSG 1-0 Angers
  • 17.08.25 – Nantes 0-1 PSG

Player to watch – Bradley Barcola

Marseille vs PSG Prediction
Bradley Barcola has the quality to cause mayhem. – (Photo by IMAGO)

The young Parisian forward has been in blistering form for the team from the capital at the start of this season, scoring three goals.

However, the real threat is in his pace, dribbling ability, and clinical finishing make him a constant threat to any defence, and he will be crucial in breaking down the home team's backline.

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Joshua Cole is a passionate football writer with a keen eye for the game’s biggest stories and hidden gems. He blends sharp analysis with engaging storytelling, covering players, matches, and trends from across the football world.