Marseille vs Nantes prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/01/2026
OM are unbeaten across their last 10 H2Hs against Nantes. (Photo by Imago / PsnewZ)
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BTTS - Yes & Over 3.5 total goals

Marseille’s home league games this season have averaged a league-high four goals per match, while Nantes have scored once or fewer in each of their last six league games.

Olympique de Marseille’s chase for the Ligue 1 title continues as they welcome relegation favourites Nantes to the Stade Velodrome on Sunday, 4 January.

Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Marseille vs Nantes tips below.

Marseille vs Nantes prediction: Canaries to return home empty-handed

Key stats

  • Marseille are on a three-game winning streak across all competitions.
  • Les Olympiens are the second-best performing home side in the top-flight.
  • Nantes are have earned six points from their eight away games this term.
  • The Canaries are on a seven-match winless streak in Ligue 1 (D2, L5).

Correct score prediction: Marseille 3-0 Nantes

With just one defeat to their name across their last seven competitive games, Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille are in hot form, especially on home turf. As one of the two teams still undefeated at home, Marseille are strong favourites to coast past a Nantes side who have won only twice this league term.

Ahmad Kantari has failed to steer the ship in the right direction at Nantes since taking charge, although the recent 5-3 victory over minnows Concarneau in the Coupe de France will provide some momentum. However, Marseille are a different beast altogether, making this yet another tough trip away from home.

The hosts should comfortably beat the visitors in this matchup as the season enters its midway points.

Pre-game odds and win probability: OM the overwhelming favourites

  • HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
  • DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.3%
  • AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Marseille are unbeaten in 12 home Ligue 1 matches, the longest such home run in the top-flight. The hosts are backed to win comfortably, with odds of 1/4 (1.25) suggesting a 80% chance of triumph.

Nantes are the only side in the top-flight who have won more points away than on home turf. However, that offers little confidence, as bookies draw odds of 9/1 (10.00) against them, indicating a mere 10% win probability rate.

Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Marseille vs Nantes predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Another OM triumph?

Marseille are undefeated against Nantes in 10 successive meetings (W8, D2), with the visitors last winning a H2H in February 2020.

France Ligue 1 02/03/25

Marseille

Marseille

2
Nantes

Nantes

0

France Ligue 1 02/03/25

Marseille

Marseille

0
Nantes

Nantes

0

France Ligue 1 03/11/24

Nantes

Nantes

1
Marseille

Marseille

2

France Ligue 1 10/03/24

Marseille

Marseille

2
Nantes

Nantes

0

France Ligue 1 01/09/23

Nantes

Nantes

1
Marseille

Marseille

1

Marseille preview: Keeping up pace with the league leaders

Nayef Aguerd is busy with Morocco at AFCON, while Amine Gouiri is suffering from a shoulder injury.

Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Balerdi, Pavard, Emerson, Weah, O’Riley, Hojbjerg, Paixao, Vermeeren, Aubameyang & Greenwood

Last five matches:

  • Bourg en Bresse 0-6 Marseille (Coupe de France)
  • Marseille 1-0 Monaco (Ligue 1)
  • Royale Union SG 2-3 Marseille (Ligue 1)
  • Lille 1-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
  • Marseille 2-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)

Nantes preview: Little hope of victory

The Canaries will be without the services of Behereba Guirassy, Mostafa Mohamed and Chidozie Awaziem, with the latter two missing out due to AFCON duties.

Predicted lineup: Lopes (GK), Cozza, Tati, Amian, Contonze, Lepenant, Mwanga, Kwon, Lepenant, Abline, El Arabi & Benhattab

Last five matches:

  • Concarneau 3-5 Nantes (Ligue 1)
  • Angers 4-1 Nantes (Ligue 1)
  • Nantes 1-2 Lens (Ligue 1)
  • Lyon 3-0 Nantes (Ligue 1)
  • Nantes 1-1 Lorient (Ligue 1)

Player to watch: Mason Greenwood

Mason Greenwood
Greenwood has 11 goals this season so far. (Photo by Imago / PsnewZ)

Greenwood, with his 11 goals and three assists, this term has been a gamechanger for De Zerbi and co. As the league’s top scorer, he is Marseille’s most potent attacker, and he is in fine form at the moment, finding the back of the net in three consecutive outings for OM, including a match-winning brace against Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in the UEFA Champions League.

french league predictions

With a passport full of stories, Akhil has journeyed across Europe and beyond, immersed in the fabric of the beautiful game. From covering thrilling Milan derby nights at San Siro as a live match analyst to uncovering hidden talents in the Benelux region as a scout, his versatile and hybrid background allows him to deliver clear, engaging narratives that capture football's essence.