An intriguing battle awaits in Ligue 1 on Sunday night as Marseille play host to Monaco. Marseille are currently in third place in the table and would put pressure on the top two with victory, while Monaco are in seventh spot and languish just outside of the European places.
Both teams will have been boosted by wins in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) in midweek, as Marseille won 3-2 away at Union Saint-Gilloise, while Monaco were victorious 1-0 at home to Galatasaray. Nonetheless, we are expecting an exciting encounter between two of the best teams in the division.
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Marseille vs Monaco prediction: Hosts to take home all three points?
Key stats
- Marseille are unbeaten at home in the league this season.
- Monaco have lost their last two away league matches.
- Marseille are unbeaten in three H2Hs on home soil.
Correct score prediction: Marseille 2-1 Monaco
Marseille are notoriously strong at home, and so we can see them edging this one. Monaco are tough competitors though, and should not make it easy for them.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Marseille mooted as favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
- AWAY: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Marseille have been mooted as the favourites with bookmakers to claim all three points on home soil. Interestingly, a draw and a Monaco victory on their travels are separated by just 2%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Ligue 1 predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Marseille strong at home
As mentioned before, Marseille are unbeaten in the last three meetings that they have hosted. That should give them a psychological advantage in front of their home fans.
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
Monaco
Marseille
France Ligue 1 01/12/24
Marseille
Monaco
France Ligue 1 27/01/24
Marseille
Monaco
France Ligue 1 30/09/23
Monaco
Marseille
France Ligue 1 28/01/23
Marseille
Monaco
Marseille preview: Three expected absentees
Amine Gouiri, Facundo Medina and Hamed Junior Traore are all expected to miss out for Marseille through injury. Otherwise, they should still be able to field a fairly strong starting XI.
Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK); Pavard, Balerdi, Aguerd; Weah, Nadir, Vermeeren, Palmieri; Greenwood, Paixao & Aubameyang
Last five results:
- Union Saint-Gilloise 2-3 Marseille
- Lille 1-0 Marseille
- Marseille 2-2 Toulouse
- Marseille 2-1 Newcastle
- Nice 1-5 Marseille
Monaco preview: Similar injury problems
Monaco are also expected to be without three players due to injury. Eric Dier, Ansu Fati and Christian Mawissa are all on the treatment table for the visitors.
Predicted lineup: Hradecky (GK); Vanderson, Kehrer, Salisu, Henrqiue; Camara, Zakaria; Akliouche, Minamino, Golovin & Balogun
Last five results:
- Monaco 1-0 Galatasaray
- Brest 1-0 Monaco
- Monaco 1-0 PSG
- Pafos 2-2 Monaco
- Rennes 4-1 Monaco
Player to watch: Mason Greenwood
Mason Greenwood comes into this game off the back of a brace in midweek that helped Marseille edge past Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 away from home in the UCL. The forward has also scored plenty of goals in Ligue 1 this season in search of the Golden Boot, and his quality could make the difference for the hosts as they welcome a good Monaco side on Sunday night.