With the race for Ligue 1 points heating up, third-placed Lyon travel to fourth-placed Marseille, in what is perhaps the most anticipated match of the week, on Sunday, February 1 at Stade Velodrome.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Marseille vs Lyon tips.
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Marseille vs Lyon prediction: Battle of the Olympians to favour the hosts
Key stats
- OM are winless in four straight top-flight matches (D2, L2).
- Marseille are the league’s second-best scorers, with 48 goals in 23 games.
- Lyon have won three of their last four trips away from home (L1).
- Les Gones visit with the third-best defence in Ligue 1, conceding just 23.
Correct score prediction: Marseille 2-1 Lyon
Marseille have faced a lot of criticism in recent weeks, leading to the departures of sporting director Mehdi Benatia and coach Roberto De Zerbi. Habib Beye’s appointment changed little in his first match in charge, as Brest beat Marseille 2-0. The hosts are now winless in five of their last six competitive games.
Lyon, meanwhile, enter this round on the back of a defeat themselves. They lost 3-1 to Strasbourg, who also ended their impressive 13-match winning streak. Paulo Fonseca’s men are seeking to avoid back-to-back defeats for the first time this season. However, they are still the favourites to land a top-three spot.
Marseille and Lyon are separated by five points in the table – the gulf isn’t enormous, but their respective recent forms convey a different story. The loss to Strasbourg has shaken Lyon’s confidence, and visiting the Velodrome isn’t always easy. Back Beye to earn his first win with OM.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Velodrome to celebrate?
- HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
- AWAY: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- *odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Marseille are in desperate need of a victory after going winless in four successive league matches. Returning home should give them the confidence to come away with a win, as odds of 19/20 (1.95) indicate a 51.3% chance of home success.
Lyon had won five successive away games across all competitions, until they visited Stade de la Meinau over the weekend. Bookmakers price Lyon as the underdogs in this matchup, with 5/2 (3.50) odds. This suggest a win probability rate of 28.6%.
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Most recent H2Hs: On par with one another
The battle of the Olympians has gone either way throughout their last 10 meetings. However, Marseille lead with five wins, while Lyon have emerged victorious on four other occasions. There have been no draws between them since February 2021.
France Ligue 1 31/08/25
Lyon
Marseille
France Ligue 1 02/02/25
Marseille
Lyon
France Ligue 1 22/09/24
Lyon
Marseille
France Ligue 1 04/02/24
Lyon
Marseille
France Ligue 1 06/12/23
Marseille
Lyon
Marseille preview: Fit and ready
Habib Beye has a full-strength Marseille squad available at his disposal, with no notable injuries or suspensions.
Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Weah, Pavard, Aguerd, Emerson, Hojbjerg, Greenwood, Nwaneri, Timber, Paixao & Gouiri
Last five matches:
- 20/02/26: Brest 2-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- 14/02/26: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
- 08/02/26: PSG 5-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- 03/02/26: Marseille 3-0 Rennes (Coupe de France)
- 31/01/26: Paris FC 2-2 Marseille (Ligue 1)
Lyon preview: Several players out
Lyon’s injury list has only increased over the past few weeks, with Afonso Moreira, Ernest Nuamah, Malick Fofana, Pavel Sulc, Orel Mangala and Hans Hateboer all missing out.
Predicted lineup: Grief (GK), Maitland-Niles, Mata, Niakhate, Kluivert, Tessmann, Morton, Tolisso, Endrick, Abner & Nartey
Last five matches:
- 22/02/26: Strasbourg 3-1 Lyon (Ligue 1)
- 15/02/26: Lyon 2-0 Nice (Ligue 1)
- 07/02/26: Nantes 0-1 Lyon (Ligue 1)
- 04/02/26: Lyon 2-0 Laval (Coupe de France)
- 01/02/26: Lyon 1-0 Lille (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Mason Greenwood
Greenwood is Beye’s trump card. The Englishman is the league’s joint top scorer alongside Strasbourg’s Joaquin Panichelli with 14 goals. But Greenwood stands out with four assists, compared to the Argentine's one. 24-year-old Greenwood failed to impress against Brest, but has three goals and two assists in his last five competitive appearances.