Man Utd vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips 30/08/2025
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Burnley or draw

Man Utd have won just one of their 11 Premier League matches

Man Utd will take on Burnley on Saturday, 30 August, with Ruben Amorim under immense pressure ahead of the first international break of the season.

The Red Devils have failed to win either of their first two league matches of the season, and endured a humiliating exit from the Carabao Cup at the hands of Grimsby on Wednesday night.

They face a Burnley side with nothing to lose and everything to gain this weekend.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Man Utd vs Burnley prediction below.

Man Utd vs Burnley prediction: The final nail in Amorim's coffin?

Key Stats

  • Man Utd have picked up just 28 points in their last 29 league matches.
  • Burnley have won or drawn two of their three competitive matches this season.
  • Fewer than two goals have been scored across three of the four league matches these two teams have played this season.

Correct score prediction: Man Utd 1-1 Burnley

Man Utd's performance against Grimsby was so bad on Wednesday night that it is simply impossible to retain any faith that the system they play can earn them a win in a Premier League match three days later. The lack of chances that the Red Devils create is alarming, and Burnley are a dogged team that don't give much up.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Man Utd are big favourites

  • HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.6%
  • DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
  • AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Incredibly, Man Utd retain their status as huge home favourites to win this match, despite the fact they have won just one of their 11 Premier League matches. Ladbrokes have given the Red Devils a 73.6% chance of winning the match, while Burnley have been given just a 13.3% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Man Utd

Man Utd do have a strong recent record against Burnley, but these two sides haven't faced since Ruben Amorim became Man Utd manager and Scott Parker took over at Burnley. Across the last five meetings between the two teams, Man Utd have won three of them and the other two finished level. Burnley's last win at Old Trafford was in January 2020.

England Premier League 27/04/24

Man Utd

Man Utd

1
Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 23/09/23

Burnley

Burnley

0
Man Utd

Man Utd

1

England EFL Cup 21/12/22

Man Utd

Man Utd

2
Burnley

Burnley

0

England Premier League 08/02/22

Burnley

Burnley

1
Man Utd

Man Utd

1

England Premier League 30/12/21

Man Utd

Man Utd

3
Burnley

Burnley

1

Man Utd preview: 22 changes?

In his post-match press conference after the Grimsby defeat, Ruben Amorim suggested that he would like to change 22 players if possible, but his hands are tied in that respect. Several changes are expected, though, and Andre Onana is almost certainly set to be replaced by Altay Bayindir. In terms of injuries, Lisandro Martinez is unavailable.

Predicted lineup: Bayindir (GK), Yoro, De Ligt, Shaw, Amad, Casemiro, Fernandes, Dorgu, Cunha, Mbeumo, Sesko

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

West Ham

West Ham

2

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

UEFA Europa League 08/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

4

England Premier League 04/05/25

L

Brentford

Brentford

4

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

UEFA Europa League 01/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

England Premier League 27/04/25

D

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

1

Burnley preview: An OT return for Burnley trio

Burnley could start the match on Saturday with three former Man Utd players, with Axel Tuanzebe, Hannibal Mejbri and Martin Dubravka all in line to play. Scott Parker will be without four players due to injuries – Zeko Amdouni, Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer and Manuel Benson.

Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Walker, Humphreys, Tuanzaebe, Ekdal, Hartman, Mejbri, Ugochukwu, Cullen, Anthony, Foster

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Millwall

Millwall

1

Burnley

Burnley

3

England Championship 26/04/25

W

QPR

QPR

0

Burnley

Burnley

5

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Watford

Watford

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

England Championship 11/04/25

W

Norwich

Norwich

1

Burnley

Burnley

2

Player to watch: Bryan Mbeumo

Can Mbeumo get on the scoresheet this weekend? Photo by Imago

Bryan Mbeumo was the man who missed the decisive penalty in the shootout loss to Grimsby, but it should never have got to that point. The former Brentford man scored his first goal for the club earlier in the match and will look to build on that there.

english premier league predictions

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.