Man City vs Chelsea prediction, odds & betting tips – 20/04/2024

Man City
20/04/24 - 17:15

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Chelsea

Man City - Chelsea

England FA Cup - Etihad Stadium

2nd Round

Man City vs Chelsea prediction
Erling Haaland of Manchester City (C) heads wide against Chelsea at the Etihad Stadium – Photo by Icon Sport

Here are our FA Cup predictions for Saturday's semi-final between Manchester City and Chelsea.

The first of the weekend's semi-finals should be a real treat for the neutrals as Man City go up against Chelsea at Wembley Stadium where the big question is, how will Cole Palmer perform against his former employers?

Man City vs Chelsea predictions: Man City to edge close encounter

Man City vs Chelsea Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

BTTS

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Man City 2-1 Chelsea

⬆️ Over 2.5 Goals prediction

Yes

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in each of the last two meetings between Man City and Chelsea, while each of City's last four outings along with five of Chelsea's last six fixtures have also produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
  • Man City are unbeaten in their last eight games against Chelsea in all competitions, picking up six wins and two draws. City have scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches, while Chelsea have found the back of the net in each of their last six outings.
  • At least three goals have been scored in each of Man City's last four matches, while each of Chelsea's last six outings have witnessed over 2.5 goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against Chelsea

  • HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
  • DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Man City are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 66.7%, and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this one.

Man City ran out 2-0 winners against Newcastle in the quarter-finals, while Chelsea won 4-2 at home to Championship side Leicester.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Erling Haaland is the bookmaker's favourite to score in this FA Cup tie at 4/5 (1.80) which has a probability of 55.6%, but if you want to back a Chelsea player to score then the in-form Cole Palmer is priced at 10/3 (4.33) with a probability of 23.1%.

Last five H2Hs: Chelsea just in front

England Premier League 17/02/24

Man City

Man City

1
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England League 1 16/01/24

Man City

Man City

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/01/24

Man City

Man City

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

AFC Solidarity Cup 17/11/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Man City

Man City

0

AFC Solidarity Cup 16/11/23

Chelsea

Chelsea

0
Man City

Man City

0

Chelsea have won 62, drawn 40 and lost 60 of their last 162 meetings with Man City in all competitions.

Team news and form guide

Man City: Looking unbeatable right now

John Stones could face a late fitness test ahead of this weekend's FA Cup tie against Chelsea, while German goalkeeper Stefan Ortega is likely to start in goal as he so often does in domestic cup games.

Predicted lineup: Ortega (GK), Walker, Dias, Akanji, Gvardiol, Kovačić, Silva, Rodri, Foden, Haaland & Doku 

Others 21/05/24

D

Stoke

Stoke

0

Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

1

Man City

Man City

3

England Premier League 14/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

Man City

Man City

2

England Championship 13/05/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Fulham

Fulham

0

Man City

Man City

4

Chelsea: Scoring goals for fun

Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Lesley Ugochukwu, Reece James, Christopher Nkunku and Levi Colwill have been ruled out of the semi-final due to injury, but Axel Disasi, Enzo Fernandez, Raheem Sterling and Robert Sanchez should all be fit and available for selection.

Predicted lineup: Petrović (GK), Silva, Cucurella, Chalobah, Gusto, Gallagher, Mudryk, Palmer, Caicedo, Madueke & Jackson

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 15/05/24

W

Brighton

Brighton

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

England Premier League 05/05/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

5

England Premier League 02/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

2

Player to watch – Cole Palmer

While we have backed a Man City win in this FA Cup semi-final, our player to watch simply has to come from the Chelsea squad.

cole palmer player to watch
Cole Palmer is the main man at Stamford Bridge – Photo by Icon Sport

Palmer, who moved from Man City to Chelsea in the summer, has been in outstanding form for the Londoners this season, highlighted by his four goals against Everton in Chelsea's last Premier League game.

Palmer will be desperate to show his former club that they made a mistake letting him go

Palmer has scored the most goals for Chelsea this season and leads the way on assists, making him the club's standout player. The former Man City man will want to impress against his old club, and his form suggests that he will cause the favourites plenty of problems at Wembley this weekend.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Man City

Chelsea


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.