Man City will take on Burnley in the Premier League on Friday, 27 September, in a match that might not be as straightforward as meets the eye for the Cityzens.
The visitors may only have four points on the board so far, but they took both Man Utd and Liverpool to stoppage time, so they have proven they aren't afraid of top opposition.
Pep Guardiola won't be pleased with his points return so far, and will now feel his team need to go on one of their famous winning streaks to get themselves back in the title race.
As part of this weekend's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Man City vs Burnley prediction below.
Contents
Man City vs Burnley prediction: The visitors to push City all the way
Key Stats
- Burnley haven't lost by two or more goals in any of their last six matches.
- Man City have only won one of their last four Premier League matches by a margin of two or more goals.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in each of Man City's last three matches in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Man City 1-0 Burnley
Burnley have proven that they are perfectly capable of sitting in a deep lock and frustrating elite opposition this season, and they will almost certainly play this way on Saturday. City will probably still get the win, but I expect the match to go deep once again.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts are big favourites
- HOME: 2/11 (1.18) – 84.6%
- DRAW: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
- AWAY: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Man City vs Burnley odds indicate that the hosts should win big on Saturday afternoon, which effectively dismisses Burnley's recent Premier League performances. Ladbrokes have given Man City an 84.6% chance of winning the match, while Burnley have been given just a 6.7% chance of victory.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Man City
Man City have a formidable recent record against Burnley, which justifies their short odds on Saturday. The Cityzens have won their last 13 matches against the Clarets, and haven't lost a match to them since March 2015. The most recent clash between the two sides finished 3-1 to Man City.
England Premier League 31/01/24
Man City
Burnley
England Premier League 11/08/23
Burnley
Man City
England FA Cup 18/03/23
Man City
Burnley
England Premier League 02/04/22
Burnley
Man City
England Premier League 16/10/21
Man City
Burnley
Man City preview: Five players missing
Man City will be without five first-team players for this one, with Abdukodir Khusanov, Omarm Marmoush, Rayan Cherki, Mateo Kovacic and Rayan Ait-Nouri all injured. Erling Haaland came off with a knock last weekend but is expected to be fit to start on Saturday.
Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Lewis, Dias, Gvardiol, O'Reilly, Rodri, Reinders, Bernardo, Foden, Doku, Haaland
Last five results
- Huddersfield 0-2 Man City
- Arsenal 1-1 Man City
- Man city 2-0 Napoli
- Man City 3-0 Man Utd
- Brighton 2-1 Man City
Burnley preview: Three injured
Burnley have their own injury concerns ahead of Saturday, with Connor Roberts, Zeko Amdouni and Jordan Beyer all unavailable for selection. Lelsey Ugochukwu served his suspension last weekend and is expected to come straight back into the starting XI at the Etihad Stadium.
Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Walker, Laurent, Ekdal, Esteve, Hartman, Tchaouna, Cullen, Ugochukwu, Anthony, Foster
Last five results
- Burnley 1-2 Cardiff
- Burnley 1-1 Nottingham Forest
- Burnley 0-1 Liverpool
- Man Utd 3-2 Burnley
- Burnley 2-1 Derby
Player to watch: Jeremy Doku

Although Man City have been below their usual stadnards so far this season, Jeremy Doku appaers to have gone up a level in terms of his decision making in the final third. The tricky winger was particulalry impressive in the derby win over Man Utd and also scored a brilliant goal against Napoli.