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Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca
Spain Copa del Rey
1st Round
Athletic Club meet Mallorca in Seville’s Estadio Cartuja on Saturday night in the Final of the Copa del Rey. Our Athletic Club vs Mallorca prediction considers which team is more likely to get their hands on the trophy.
Contents
Athletic Club vs Mallorca prediction: Athletic to win tight game with Guruzeta on target
🔥Hot tip Under 2.5 goals ⚽ Correct score prediction Athletic Club 1-0 Mallorca ⚽ PLAYER to score first Gorka Guruzeta
Key Stats
- Our Athletic Club vs Mallorca betting tips take into account the much superior season Athletic are having with a 54% win ratio in La Liga compared to their opponent’s 20%.
- 57% of Athletic matches and 73% of Mallorca matches in La Liga this term have produced under 2.5 goals.
- All of Mallorca’s last six matches in all competitions and three of their last four Copa del Rey games have produced under 2.5 goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Valverde’s men expected to lift trophy
- ATHLETIC: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- MALLORCA: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Basque side are the favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Mallorca odds with an implied probability of 61.9% that they win this in regulation time with Extra Time and penalties to be played in Seville if needed.
Athletic head into the game after losing 2-0 at the Bernabeu in La Liga last weekend. Mallorca meanwhile picked up a better result, drawing 0-0 away to Valencia.
For more picks from Saturday’s action, today’s betting tips will guide you through the best bets from a host of different markets.
Last five H2Hs: Not much to choose between the sides
Spain Primera Liga 02/02/24 Athletic Bilbao Mallorca Spain Primera Liga 03/09/23 Mallorca Athletic Bilbao Spain Primera Liga 01/05/23 Mallorca Athletic Bilbao Spain Primera Liga 15/08/22 Athletic Bilbao Mallorca Spain Primera Liga 14/02/22 Mallorca Athletic Bilbao
Our Athletic Club vs Mallorca prediction of a tight game is largely backed up by recent history with three of the last four meetings ending level. However Athletic were dominant 4-0 winners when the teams last met which was at San Mames in La Liga in February.
Athletic Club Preview: Centre-back doubtful
Central defender Yeray is a major doubt for the Basque side due to injury. Otherwise Athletic should be at full strength as they target major silverware.
Predicted Lineup: Agirrezabala (GK), De Marcos, Paredes, Vivian, Yuri, Prados, Ruiz de Galarreta, Iñaki Williams, Sancet, Nico Williams, Guruzeta
Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24 L Atletico Madrid 1 Athletic Bilbao 0 Spain Primera Liga 28/08/24 W Valencia 0 Athletic Bilbao 1 Spain Primera Liga 24/08/24 L Barcelona 2 Athletic Bilbao 1 Spain Primera Liga 15/08/24 D Getafe 1 Athletic Bilbao 1 Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24 L VfB Stuttgart 4 Athletic Bilbao 0
Mallorca Preview: Two fitness concerns
Mallorca are also in pretty good shape selection-wise. Martin Valjent and Omar Mascarell have been carrying knocks though and will be assessed.
Predicted Lineup: Greif (GK), Gio, Nastasic, Raíllo, Copete, Lato, Sanchez, Costa, Dani Rodriíguez, Larin, Muriqi
Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24 W Leganes 0 Mallorca 1 Spain Primera Liga 27/08/24 D Sevilla 0 Mallorca 0 Spain Primera Liga 24/08/24 L Osasuna 1 Mallorca 0 Spain Primera Liga 18/08/24 D Real Madrid 1 Mallorca 1 Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24 L Bologna 1 (6) Mallorca 1 (5)
Player to watch – Gorka Guruzeta
Gorka Guruzeta has been a revelation up front for Athletic Club this season. The 27 year old has scored 13 times in La Liga and has also fired in two goals in the Copa del Rey.
Guruzeta striking early
Of his 13 league goals, 69% have come in the First Half of games. Meanwhile only two of Guruzeta’s strikes in La Liga have come after the hour mark.
