Mallorca travel to San Mames this weekend in the Spanish top flight. Our Athletic Club vs Mallorca prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can spring a surprise in Bilbao.
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Athletic Club vs Mallorca prediction: Hosts to edge low-scoring game
Key stats
- Our Athletic Club vs Mallorca betting tips take into account that 85% of the away team’s league games have served up under 3.5 goals.
- Jagoba Arrasate’s side have lost 50% of their road games in the Spanish top flight this season.
- Athletic have only let in 0.88 goals per game on average in La Liga, the third-best defensive record in the division.
Correct score prediction: Athletic Club 1-0 Mallorca
Mallorca got some good away results at the beginning of the season, but they’ve only taken one point from three road matches so far in 2025.
While Athletic may not be at their best, with some rotation likely after their European game, they are very strong at San Mames and still ought to edge this.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Mallorca odds, with an implied probability of 61.9% that they win this match.
They were beaten 2-1 away by Roma on Thursday night in the Europa League, despite taking the lead through Inaki Williams.
As for Mallorca, they head into this one after a 1-1 home draw against struggling Alaves, with Takuma Asano’s goal not enough for three points.
For more from the upcoming games, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Five draws in six meetings
Our Athletic Club vs Mallorca prediction suggests we’ll see a really tight game here, and five of the last six meetings have finished level, including last season’s Copa del Rey final.
However, Athletic have been much more dominant at home, winning four of the last five league meetings in Bilbao.
Spain La Liga 28/10/24
Mallorca
Athletic Bilbao
Spain Copa del Rey 06/04/24
Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 02/02/24
Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 03/09/23
Mallorca
Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga 01/05/23
Mallorca
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Club preview: Ruiz de Galarreta misses Mallorca reunion
Midfielder Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta is suspended for the home team and won’t face his old club. Valverde also has a fitness doubt over Dani Vivian who may be one of the players to get rested in any case.
Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), Boiro, Paredes, Yeray, Gorosabel, Prados, Vesga, N. Williams, U. Gomez, Berenguer & Guruzeta
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W CD Alaves 0 Athletic Bilbao 1 UEFA Europa League 08/05/25 L Man Utd 4 Athletic Bilbao 1 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 D Real Sociedad 0 Athletic Bilbao 0 UEFA Europa League 01/05/25 L Man Utd 3 Athletic Bilbao 0 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 W Las Palmas 0 Athletic Bilbao 1
Mallorca preview: Just one doubt for Arrasate
The visitors are doing well on the selection front currently, but they do have an injury doubt over midfielder Dani Rodriguez.
Predicted Lineup: Greif (GK), Mojica, Raillo, Valjent, Maffeo, Samu Costa, Mascarell, Navarro, Darder, Asano & Muriqi
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Valladolid 1 Mallorca 2 Spain La Liga 05/05/25 L Girona 1 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 22/04/25 L Barcelona 1 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Leganes 0 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 12/04/25 W Real Sociedad 0 Mallorca 2
Player to watch – Alex Berenguer
Valverde may rest at least one of the Williams brothers in this match, with Alex Berenguer likely to start. Despite not being a guaranteed starter, the 29-year-old has registered five goals and six assists so far this term in La Liga.
Berenguer’s creative threat
Berenguer averages 1.4 key passes per game in the Spanish top flight. Only Nico Williams can better that of the players who could feature in this match.