Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao prediction, odds & betting tips 17/01/2026
Athletic Bilbao are coming off back-to-back wins. - Photo by IMAGO/Zuma Press Wire
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Over 0.5 Mallorca red cards

Mallorca finished with 10 men in two of the last three H2Hs.

Three points will be at stake when Mallorca host Athletic Bilbao at Estadi de Son Moix in the 20th round of La Liga on Saturday, 17 January 2026.

View our free Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao predictions below.

Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao predictions: Goals at both ends

Key stats

  • Both teams were on the scoresheet in four of Mallorca's last five matches.
  • Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten in eight consecutive encounters between these sides.
  • Mallorca have no wins in their last four games.

Correct score prediction: Mallorca 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Mallorca are coming off back-to-back 2-1 defeats and have lost three of their last four matches across all competitions. They also have a poor track record against Athletic Bilbao, with no wins in the last eight meetings between these sides.

Although Athletic Bilbao have had their fair share of struggles, they head into this clash with some confidence after winning their Copa del Rey encounter with Cultural Leonesa earlier this week.

All things considered, we are leaning toward the visitors for the win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mallorca up against it

  • HOME: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Athletic Bilbao needed extra time to defeat La Liga 2 side Cultural Leonesa after coming from behind three times in their Copa del Rey clash a few days ago. Ernesto Valverde's troops will turn their attention to La Liga, where they are without a win in three games.

On the other hand, Mallorca are coming off a 2-1 defeat at Rayo Vallecano and are without a win in their last four matches. They are 17th in La Liga ahead of their encounter with eighth-placed Athletic Club.

Despite their recent shortcomings, Athletic Bilbao are the expected winners at 6/5 (2.20). Teams with these odds usually have a 45.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao predictions.

Also, bearing in mind that three of the last four clashes between these sides produced goals at both ends, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Athletic Bilbao have bragging rights

Mallorca suffered a 2-1 defeat in the reverse fixture and are without a win in their last eight H2Hs. Their last victory over Athletic Bilbao came in February 2022.

Spain La Liga 04/10/25

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2
Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Spain La Liga 09/03/25

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1
Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Spain La Liga 28/10/24

Mallorca

Mallorca

0
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain Copa del Rey 06/04/24

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1 (4)
Mallorca

Mallorca

1 (2)

Spain La Liga 02/02/24

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

4
Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Mallorca preview: Hoping to avoid third consecutive defeat

Going into this game, Mallorca have injury problems with Manu Morlanes, Antonio Raillo, and Ivan Cuellar, with these players still battling fitness issues.

Pablo Maffeo has accumulated the maximum allowable number of yellow cards and is unavailable for selection this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Roman (GK), Morey, Valjent, Kumbulla, Mojica, Mascarell, Costa, Joseph, Darder, Virgili & Muriqi.

Last five matches

  • Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca
  • Mallorca 1-2 Girona
  • Valencia 1-1 Mallorca
  • Deportivo 1-0 Mallorca
  • Mallorca 3-1 Elche

Athletic Bilbao preview: Fair few absences

Head coach Ernesto Valverde has endured an injury-laden campaign so far, and still goes into this weekend with up to four players completely ruled out, including Benat Prados (ACL), Maroan Sannadi (knee), Unai Eguiluz (ACL), and Alex Berenguer (muscle).

In addition to the above issues, Aymeric Laporte and Mikel Vesga also have doubts surrounding their availability for this game.

Predicted lineup: Simon (GK), Gorosabel, Vivian, Paredes, Boiro, De Galarreta, Jauregizar, I. Williams, Sancet, N. Williams & Guruzeta.

Last five matches

  • Cultural Leonesa 3-4 Athletic Bilbao
  • Barcelona 5-0 Athletic Bilbao
  • Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
  • Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Espanyol
  • Ourense 0-1 Athletic Bilbao

Player to watch: Vedat Muriqi

Vedat Muriqi player to watch (Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao)
Only one player has scored more goals than Vedat Muriqi in La Liga this season. – Photo by IMAGO/Zuma Press Wire

Mallorca have scored 21 goals in La Liga this season and 11 of those came from Vedat Muriqi. The former Lazio forward scored in his last two appearances and will look to extend his scoring run to three games this weekend.

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Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed