The battle to avoid relegation continues this Tuesday night as Mainz 05 welcome Heidenheim to the Mewa Arena for a huge Bundesliga clash.
Can the hosts bag their first league win since September, or will the visitors boost their survival hopes? Read our Mainz vs Heidenheim prediction and preview to find out, but don’t forget to also check out our other Bundesliga predictions.
Contents
- 1 Mainz vs Heidenheim prediction: Battle for survival to produce goals
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Gladbach backed to win
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Good news for Heidenheim
- 4 Mainz preview: Defensive injuries causing serious problems
- 5 Heidenheim preview: Promising start to 2026
- 6 Player to watch: Nadiem Amiri
Mainz vs Heidenheim prediction: Battle for survival to produce goals
Key Stats
- Mainz have won just one of four Bundesliga games when scoring first this season.
- Heidenheim boast a perfect record away at the Mewa Arena, winning their last two games with an aggregate of 3-0.
- Heidenheim have conceded first in a league-high 13 of 16 matches.
- Mainz are the only Bundesliga team yet to score in both halves of a match.
Correct score prediction: Mainz 2-2 Heidenheim
With the title battle already looking like a damp squib, fans may find a lot more drama at the bottom of the table as the two worst teams in the competition prepare to go head-to-head.
Mainz head into Tuesday’s fixture sitting stone dead last after managing to claim just nine points and winning one measly Bundesliga game.
Heidenheim are one spot above Die Nullfunfer, though with 12 points to their name and just three victories, they are not exactly miles ahead.
With just over four months remaining until the end of the season, pressure is ramping up on both teams, and to their credit, they have responded in positive fashion.
Mainz are actually unbeaten in five matches across all competitions, while FCH have picked up seven points from their last five league outings.
The stakes are high, and we are expecting both teams to go for it on Tuesday. That could lead to an entertaining clash with goals at both ends of the pitch.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Gladbach backed to win
HOME: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.60%
DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.70%
AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.00%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at those Mainz vs Heidenheim odds, the bookmakers are clearly backing the home team to take all three points.
If you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Good news for Heidenheim
Mainz and Heidenheim have met on four occasions since FCH were sensationally promoted to the Bundesliga in 2023.
During this time, Heidenheim have won two of those meetings – both of which came away at the Mewa Arena.
Mainz won the most recent meeting, picking up a 2-0 success away from home back in February.
Germany Bundesliga I 16/02/25
Heidenheim
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24
Mainz
Heidenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 05/05/24
Heidenheim
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 16/12/23
Mainz
Heidenheim
Mainz preview: Defensive injuries causing serious problems
Freshly appointed Urs Fischer has picked up several positive results since taking over the hotseat at Mainz, though a Bundesliga victory continues to elude him.
Die Nullfunfer are in the midst of a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions, though maintaining that will be a challenge considering the number of players currently on the sidelines.
Mainz defender Andreas Hanche-Olsen missed last weekend’s trip to Berlin, while Anthony Caci, Maxim Leitsch and Phillipp Mwene also remain on the sidelines.
Striker Silas is back in training and could feature on the bench, while new signing Phillip Tietz is expected to make his second appearance after a strong debut against Union.
Predicted lineup: Batz (GK), Da Costa, Bell, Kohr, Widmer, Sano, Lee, Veratschnig, Amiri, Hollerbach & Tietz
Last five matches
- FC Union Berlin 2-2 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
- Mainz 05 0-0 FC St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
- Mainz 05 2-0 Samsunspor (UEFA Conference League)
- FC Bayern Munich 2-2 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
- Lech Poznan 1-1 Mainz 05 (UEFA Conference League)
Heidenheim preview: Promising start to 2026
The winter break came at a good time for Heidenheim, who were able to shake off a couple of disappointing defeats and start afresh with a positive 2-2 draw against FC Koln last weekend.
In terms of absentees, youngsters Hennes Behrens and Adam Kolle are both doubts heading into Tuesday’s fixture.
Kosovo’s Leart Paqarada has featured once this season in the league due to a knee injury, and he will remain on the sidelines alongside Georgian forward Budu Zivzivadze.
Predicted lineup: Ramaj (GK), Traore, Mainka, Siersleben, Fohrenbach, Schoppner, Niehues, Dorsch, Ibrahimovic, Pieringer & Conteh
Last five matches
- Heidenheim 2-2 Koln (Bundesliga)
- Heidenheim 0-4 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
- St. Pauli 2-1 Heidenheim (Bundesliga)
- Heidenheim 2-1 Freiburg (Bundesliga)
- Union Berlin 1-2 Heidenheim (Bundesliga)
Player to watch: Nadiem Amiri

The man to watch on Tuesday is Mainz midfielder Nadiem Amiri, who has rattled the back of the net twice in three outings.
The 29-year-old German converted a penalty against Samsunspor in a Europa Conference League fixture in mid-December. He also scored the opener for Mainz in the 2-2 draw with Union Berlin last weekend.