Dortmund vs Mainz prediction, odds & betting tips 19/12/2023

Borussia Dortmund
19/12/23 - 19:30

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Mainz

Borussia Dortmund - Mainz

Germany Bundesliga I - Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund and Mainz meet at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK to contest a Bundesliga fixture on Tuesday, 19 December. Can Dortmund snap a winless run with a victory over relegation candidates Mainz this week? Read our Bundesliga predictions and betting tips along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed match preview.

Dortmund vs Mainz – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Dortmund to Win & Over 1.5 Goals (3/5)

  • Mainz have failed to win 14 of their 15 Bundesliga fixtures this season.
  • Dortmund have won four of their last five tussles with Mainz.

Dortmund have gone five games in all competitions without tasting victory, though BVB should be able to halt that run with a win over a Mainz side they’ve beaten four times in five previous encounters.

Latest odds

Head to Head

27/05/23

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Mainz

Mainz

2

2

25/01/23

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Mainz

Mainz

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

2

16/03/22

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Mainz

Mainz

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

1

16/10/21

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Mainz

Mainz

3

1

16/05/21

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Mainz

Mainz

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

3

Last Five - Borussia Dortmund

20/02/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

PSV

PSV

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

1

D

19/02/24

CONCACAF Champions Cup CONCACAF

jp

Kawasaki Frontale

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

2

W

17/02/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

1

D

09/02/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

3

W

02/02/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

0

D

Last Five - Mainz

17/02/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Augsburg

Augsburg

Mainz

Mainz

0

1

W

11/02/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Mainz

Mainz

3

1

L

07/02/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

Mainz

Mainz

1

1

D

03/02/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

Mainz

Mainz

1

0

L

26/01/24

Germany Bundesliga I Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

Mainz

Mainz

1

0

L

Win probability

  • HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
  • AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

Unsurprisingly, Dortmund are the expected winners in the markets ahead of Tuesday’s contest and the hosts have a 69.2% chance of pocketing all three points according to the latest probability figures.

Interestingly, backing over 2.5 goals to hit the net this weekend could earn you a winner at 4/9 (1.44) if it hits the mark. That outcome comes attached with an implied probability of 69.2%. You can dissect more of our Dortmund vs Mainz betting tips below.

Dortmund vs Mainz prediction – Other tips

Dortmund 2-1 Mainz: Correct score (7/1)

  • Dortmund scored twice in each of their last two meetings with Mainz.
  • Dortmund found the net twice in their last home runout against Leipzig.

Half With Most Goals: Second (4/5)

  • Dortmund have scored more goals in the second half than the first this season.
  • Mainz have conceded 16 second-half goals in the Bundesliga this term compared with 11 in the first.

Dortmund vs Mainz prediction

Dortmund vs Mainz Team News

Dortmund

Karim Adeyemi, Julian Ryerson, Youssoufa Moukoko, Felix Nmecha and Julien Duranville are out of contention for Dortmund. Dortmund dropped more points at the weekend when they drew 1-1 at Augsburg. BVB are down in fifth spot in the standings.

Predicted Lineup for Dortmund: Kobel – Meunier, Sule, Schlottebeck, Bensebaini – Reus, Can, Brandt – Malen, Bynoe-Gittens, Fullkrug

Mainz

Mainz will be without Anthony Caci, Leandro Barreiro, Robin Zentner, Maxim Leitsch, Joshua Guilavogui, Nelson Weiper and Andreas Hanche-Olsen this week, while Silvan Widmer and Edimilson Fernandes are both considered slight doubts due to minor issues.

Predicted Lineup for Mainz: Batz – da Costa, van den Berg, Kohr, Mwene – Papela, Krauß, Guda, Burkardt, Richter – Ajorque

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund
4-3-3
15
Mats Hummels
de
43
Jamie Bynoe Gittens
gb
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
de
21
Donyell Malen
nl
5
Ramy Bensebaini
dz
1
Gregor Kobel
ch
19
Julian Brandt
de
23
Emre Can
de
14
Niclas Fullkrug
de
20
Marcel Sabitzer
at
24
Thomas Meunier
be
Substitutes
2
Mateu Morey
es
17
Marius Wolf
de
6
Salih Ozcan
tr
25
Niklas Sule
de
7
Giovanni Reyna
us
48
Samuel Bamba
de
11
Marco Reus
de
9
Sebastian Haller
ci
33
Alexander Meyer
de

Mainz

Mainz
3-4-2-1
3
Sepp Van den Berg
nl
14
Tom Krauss
de
33
Daniel Batz
de
2
Philipp Mwene
at
43
Brajan Gruda
de
10
Marco Richter
de
16
Stefan Bell
de
31
Dominik Kohr
de
30
Silvan Widmer
ch
7
Jae-sung Lee
kr
9
Karim Onisiwo
at
Substitutes
4
Aymen Barkok
ma
47
Lasse Wilhelm
de
48
Marcus Muller
de
1
Lasse Riess
de
24
Merveille Papela
de
17
Ludovic Ajorque
fr
29
Jonathan Michael Burkardt
de
45
David Mamutovic
de
21
Danny da Costa
de

Make sure to have a look at our football betting tips page for more expert predictions and picks.

Player to Watch – Marco Reus

Veteran Marco Reus remains an important creative force for Dortmund and he ranks second at the club this term for average key passes played per game. The 34-year-old should have a big part to play again if he is selected to start against Mainz on Tuesday evening.


Avatar of Simon Winter
Simon Winter

Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.