Borussia Dortmund take on highflying Mainz at Signal Iduna Park in the German Bundesliga on Sunday, 30 March. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz prediction: Visitors worth considering
Key Stats
- Third-placed Mainz are unbeaten in four previous meetings with Dortmund and they offer excellent value to avoid defeat again on Sunday.
- Mainz have won five and drawn two of their last seven fixtures in the Bundesliga.
- Four of the last five meetings between Dortmund and Mainz have produced goals at both ends.
- Lee Jae-Sung has scored three times in his last two appearances against Borussia Dortmund for Mainz.
Correct score prediction: Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Mainz
Mainz outclassed Dortmund (3-1) in November’s reverse fixture and are chasing a fourth away win on the spin on Sunday. Back the surprise highfliers to punch above their weight again.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz offer top value
- HOME: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Borussia Dortmund’s domestic form has been poor this term and having already lost 11 times in the Bundesliga since August, they represent little value as 13/20 favourites to beat Mainz.
Mainz are gunning for Champions League qualification this season and despite being eight places and ten points ahead of Dortmund, the visitors are 4/1 underdogs ahead of Sunday. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Mainz have dominated
Mainz have won each of their last two meetings with Dortmund, netting six goals along the way. Dortmund haven’t beaten Mainz in any of their last four attempts.
Germany Bundesliga I 09/11/24
Mainz
Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/24
Mainz
Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga I 19/12/23
Borussia Dortmund
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 27/05/23
Borussia Dortmund
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 25/01/23
Mainz
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund preview: Sabitzer could miss out
Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Soumalia Coulibaly and Filippo Mane are all injury doubts for Borussia Dortmund. BVB are languishing in 11th spot in the Bundesliga, though they still have a Champions League quarter-final double header against Barcelona to look forward to.
Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Anton, Can, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson, Bensebaini, Groß, Adeyemi, Brandt, Beier, Guirassy
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
W
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
W
Wolfsburg
0
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
UEFA Champions League 15/04/25
W
Barcelona
1
Borussia Dortmund
3
Mainz preview: Kohr and Mwene are suspended
Mainz could be without the injured Tom Krauss, Stefan Bell, Lennard Maloney and Niklas Tauer while Dominik Kohr and Philipp Mwene are suspended. Attackers Lee Jae-Sung and Jonathan Burkardt have both done damage against Dortmund in the past.
Predicted lineup Zentner (GK), Da Costa, Jenz, Leitsch, Caci, Sano, Amiri, Hanche-Olsen, Nebel, Jae-Sung, Burkardt
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
W
Bochum
1
Mainz
4
Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Mainz
1
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
L
Bayern Munich
3
Mainz
0
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
Wolfsburg
2
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Mainz
0
Player to watch – Lee Jae-Sung
South Korean forward Lee Jae-Sung tends to enjoy playing against Dortmund as evidenced by his haul of three goals in his last two appearances against BVB and the veteran will be eager to perform to similar levels on Sunday.
Jae-Sung is a fan favourites
Lee Jae-Sung has been chipping in with a goal involvement every 184 minutes in the Bundesliga this season and the 32-year-old will be keen to add to his tally of six goals and five assists for Freiburg with another telling intervention on Sunday.