Mainz 05 v Stuttgart prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/03/2026

Two sides who have had contrasting campaigns so far square off in round 25 of the German Bundesliga as Mainz 05 play host to Stuttgart on Saturday. While the visitors will be aiming to strengthen their grip in the top four, the home side will be looking to move four points clear of the dreaded bottom three and take a huge step towards securing safety.

FootballWhispers’ Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart prediction takes a look at the chances of both sides coming away with the desired result at MEWA Arena this weekend.

Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart prediction: Plenty of goalmouth-action on the cards

Key stats

• Six of the last eight meetings between Mainz and Stuttgart have seen both sides find the back of the net, with at least three goals scored in five of their most recent seven encounters.
• Stuttgart have opened the scoring in eight of their last 10 matches since January 25 and have gone on to win seven of the 10 games.
• Mainz are on a run of six consecutive home games without defeat, claiming four wins and two draws since December’s 1-0 loss against Borussia Monchengladbach.
• Stuttgart have lost just one of their last five Bundesliga away matches while picking up three wins and one draw since the start of December.

Correct score prediction: Mainz 05 1-3 Stuttgart

Meetings between Mainz and Stuttgart have often served up fireworks in the past, and with Saturday’s game being potentially pivotal in their goals for the season, we anticipate another action-packed contest.

Mainz have put together a strong run of form in recent weeks and will be backing themselves on their own patch, but Stuttgart boast the firepower needed to get the job done.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Stuttgart backed by bookies

• HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
• DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
• AWAY: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

With a 48.8% win probability, the bookmakers have Stuttgart down as favourites to come out on top at MEWA Arena o this weekend.

Mainz 05 have proven tough to crack at home of late, but have been given a 34.5% chance of securing maximum points in front of their home crowd, while there is a 28.6% likelihood of the game ending all square.

While we take a deeper look into both teams, you can take a peek at some of FootballWhispers’ best picks and predictions for this weekend’s fixtures in today’s free football betting tips. 

Most recent H2Hs: Just one defeat since September 2020 for Stuttgart

Stuttgart hold a clear upper hand in the history of this fixture across their 12 meetings, having picked up eight wins and three draws since September 2020.

Mainz’s only victory in that time came in January 2025, when Nelson Weiper and Anthony Caci scored on either side of the half-time break to hand Stuttgart a 2-0 defeat at MEWA Arena.

Germany DFB Pokal 29/10/25

Mainz

0

VfB Stuttgart

2

Germany Bundesliga I 26/10/25

VfB Stuttgart

2

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 25/01/25

Mainz

2

VfB Stuttgart

0

Germany Bundesliga I 31/08/24

VfB Stuttgart

3

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 11/02/24

VfB Stuttgart

3

Mainz

1

Mainz preview: Out to continue strong run at MEWA Arena and pull clear of drop zone

Mainz were left spitting feathers last weekend when they played out a 1-1 draw with Bayer Leverkusen after conceding an 88th-minute equaliser at the BayArena.

With that result, Urs Fischer’s men have now gone three consecutive games without a win, picking up two points from a possible nine, having won each of the three matches preceding this run.

This slump in form has seen this weekend’s hosts drop into 14th place in the Bundesliga table, level on 23 points with 15th-placed St. Pauli and just one point above the relegation zone.

However, Mainz now return to MEWA Arena where they are unbeaten in six straight games across all competitions, picking up four wins and two draws, and have lost just one of their 10 outings since the start of November.

Predicted lineup: Batz (GK), Kohr, Posch, Potulski, Widmer, Nebel, Sano, Lee, Mwene, Tietz & Becker

Mainz’s last five games

• 28/02/26: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mainz (Bundesliga)
• 20/02/26: Mainz 1-1 Hamburger (Bundesliga)
• 13/02/26: Dortmund 4-0 Mainz (Bundesliga)
• 07/02/26: Mainz 2-0 Augsburg (Bundesliga)
• 31/01/26: RB Leipzig 1-2 Mainz (Bundesliga)

Stuttgart preview: Aiming to move within three points of second place

Stuttgart turned in another dominant team display last Sunday when they thrashed Wolfsburg 4-0 at the MHP Arena to make it three straight Bundesliga home wins in February.

Prior to that, a 4-1 first-leg victory over Celtic was enough to send Sebastian Hoeness’s men into the Europa League round of 16, as they fell to a 1-0 loss against the Scottish powerhouses in the return leg on February 26 to win the tie 4-2 on aggregate.

Stuttgart head into the weekend unbeaten in 10 of their 11 Bundesliga games since mid-December, picking up seven wins and three draws, a run which has put them firmly in contention for Champions League qualification.

Stuttgart have picked up 46 points from their 24 Bundesliga matches so far to sit fourth in the league standings, level on points with third-placed Hoffenheim and six points behind Borussia Dortmund in second.

Predicted lineup: Nubel (GK), Jeltsch, Jaquez, Hendriks, Leweling, Karazor, Stiller, Fuhrich, Nartey, Demirovic & Undav

Stuttgart’s last five games

• 01/03/26: Stuttgart 4-0 Wolfsburg (Bundesliga)
• 26/02/26: Stuttgart 0-1 Celtic (Europa League)
• 22/02/26: Heidenheim 3-3 Stuttgart (Bundesliga)
• 19/02/26: Celtic 1-4 Stuttgart (Europa League)
• 14/02/26: Stuttgart 3-1 FC Koln (Bundesliga)

Player to watch — Deniz Undav

Deniz Undav continued his fine form in front of goal with his strike against Wolfsburg last time out and the German striker will be one to keep an eye on this weekend.

Coming off the back of a nine-goal league campaign last term, the 29-year-old has racked up 14 goals and provided three assists in 20 Bundesliga games for Stuttgart to sit fourth in the division's goal involvement chart.

Undav has started 16 of the 24 Bundesliga games this season and should spearhead the visitors' attack on Saturday, teaming up with Ermedin Demirovic and Leicester City loanee Bilal El Khannouss in the front three.