Lyon vs Toulouse prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/10/2025
FOOTBALL : Lyon vs Toulouse - Ligue 1 - 18/01/2025 Georges MIKAUTADZE of Lyon during the French L1 football match between Olympique Lyonnais OL and Toulouse FC at the Groupama stadium in Decines-Charpieu, France on January 18, 2025. PUBLICATIONxNOTxINxFRAxBEL Copyright: xMourad_ALLILIx
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Lyon/Lyon

Lyon are the only side yet to let in a first-half goal in Ligue 1 this term, while eight of Toulouse’s nine league goals this season have come in the second period.

A clash of contrasting forms is set for the Parc Olympique Lyonnais on Sunday, 5 October, as in-form Lyon host struggling Toulouse in a compelling Ligue 1 encounter.

Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Lyon vs Toulouse tips below.

Lyon vs Toulouse prediction: Les Gones to beat Le Tefece

Key stats

  • Lyon have won four successive games across all competitions.
  • Les Gones have conceded a league-low three goals this league term.
  • Four of Toulouse’s last six away games have seen a red card.
  • Le Tefece have lost five of their last eight away Ligue 1 outings.

Correct score prediction: Lyon 3-1 Toulouse

After an impressive start to the Ligue 1 season, where they’ve now won five games out of six, Lyon sit level on points with league leaders Paris Saint-Germain. Each of their five league wins have been accompanied by a clean sheet, and Paulo Fonseca’s men now stand the chance to claim top spot, at least temporarily, with a victory.

Toulouse haven’t been nearly as impressive, going winless in four straight fixtures – one of the three top-flight teams to do so. The visitors’ drop in form after winning their opening two games of the campaign is in danger of taking another hit this time around.

Lyon are clearly the favourites coming into clash, given their form and superior attacking quality. Expect Toulouse to taste their fourth defeat in five outings.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds against Tefece

  • HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.2%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.7%
  • AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Lyon have conceded the fewest number of goals (3) after six top-flight rounds since the 2015/16 season. They are backed by 19/20 (1.95) odds, implying a 51.2% chance of success.

The visitors are priced at 13/5 (3.60) odds, with their poor recent H2H record perhaps an indicator for their minority 27.7% win probability rate.

Visit our football betting tips page for more free predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Lyon with the upper hand

Lyon are unbeaten in their last 17 Ligue 1 H2Hs (W14, D3) – only going unbeaten against Saint-Etienne for longer with a 20-match streak between March 1994 and March 2010.

France Ligue 1 18/01/25

Lyon

Lyon

0
Toulouse

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 29/09/24

Toulouse

Toulouse

1
Lyon

Lyon

2

France Ligue 1 15/03/24

Toulouse

Toulouse

2
Lyon

Lyon

3

France Ligue 1 10/12/23

Lyon

Lyon

3
Toulouse

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 14/04/23

Toulouse

Toulouse

1
Lyon

Lyon

2

Lyon preview: Five missing players

Paul Fonseca will miss the services of a handful of personnel: Abner Vinicius, Remy Descamps, Rachid Ghezzal, Orel Mangala & Ernest Nuamah.

Predicted lineup: Grief (GK), Maitland-Niles, Mata, Niakhate, Tagliafico. Morton, Tessman, Tolisso. Karabec, Satriano & Fofana

Last five matches:

  • Lyon 2-0 RB Salzburg (UEFA Europa League)
  • Lille 0-1 Lyon (Ligue 1)
  • Utrecht 0-1 Lyon (UEFA Europa League)
  • Lyon 1-0 Angers (Ligue 1)
  • Rennes 3-1 Lyon (Ligue 1)

Toulouse preview: Will Le Tefece upset the odds?

Niklas Schmidt, Rafik Messali and Ilyas Azizi are the three players that sit out of this encounter on matchday seven.

Predicted lineup: Restes (GK) McKenzie, Cresswell, Nicolaisen, Vossah, Francis, Sauer, Casseres, Donnum, Magri & Emersonn

Last five matches:

  • Toulouse 2-2 Nantes (Ligue 1)
  • Auxerre 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
  • Lille 2-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
  • Toulouse 3-6 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1)
  • Toulouse 2-0 Brest (Ligue 1)

Player to watch: Frank Magri

Magri has been a gamechanger for Toulouse this term so far, netting three goals for Le Tefece in six games, although he has fired back-to-back blanks. He netted a match-winning brace against Brest, before finding the back of the net against Lille – earning the joint-top scorer title already.

Frank Magri
Magri has three goals to his name this term. (Photo by Imago)

Remarkably, all of his strikes have arrived in the span of 20 minutes after half-time, with Toulouse scoring eight of their nine strikes in the second period.


With a passport full of stories, Akhil has journeyed across Europe and beyond, immersed in the fabric of the beautiful game. From covering thrilling Milan derby nights at San Siro as a live match analyst to uncovering hidden talents in the Benelux region as a scout, his versatile and hybrid background allows him to deliver clear, engaging narratives that capture football's essence.