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Luton - West Brom
England Championship - Kenilworth Road
Prediction 1
Luton to win
2/1 (3.00)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Under 2.5 goals
13/20 (1.65)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Luton entertain West Brom at Kenilworth Road on Saturday 14th January in game week 27 of the Championship season.
Luton vs West Brom: Our top betting predictions
Over recent weeks there has been next to nothing separating these teams. Will there be anything between them when they lock horns on Saturday afternoon? Find out with our Luton vs West Brom match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
Contents
Luton to win
Deciding on the prediction around the match result for this game wasn’t an easy one by any stretch with the two teams having identical form over the last five games having recorded one draw, one defeat and three wins and in the exact same order (DWWWL). We have, however, opted to back Luton to come out on top and there are a couple of reasons for that. Firstly, they hold home advantage. That cannot be ignored and they are unbeaten at Kenilworth Road in nine games. Then we’ve considered the difficulty of the fixtures during that five game run; four of them are broadly comparable but the Baggies barely scraped a draw against non-league opposition last week. Those factors combined see us lean towards a home win.
Going south of 2.5 goals
Our next tip for this match is that the game won’t feature many goals; specifically, we are betting on under 2.5 goals. Luton have seen four of their last five home games end under that threshold with a game average of just 1.8 per match. West Brom, despite that manic six goal FA Cup clash last weekend, have still seen three of their last five end south of that marker. The last two head to head meets have been low scoring affairs as well. This could be another!
Here are the key stats & form guide for Luton vs West Brom
Head to Head
08/10/22
England Championship CHA
West Brom
Luton
0
0
19/02/22
England Championship CHA
Luton
West Brom
2
0
14/08/21
England Championship CHA
West Brom
Luton
3
2
01/02/20
England Championship CHA
West Brom
Luton
2
0
17/08/19
England Championship CHA
Luton
West Brom
1
2
Last Five - Luton
18/03/23
England Championship CHA
Sunderland
Luton
1
1
D
15/03/23
England Championship CHA
Bristol City
Luton
0
1
W
11/03/23
England Championship CHA
Sheff Utd
Luton
0
1
W
04/03/23
England Championship CHA
Swansea
Luton
0
1
W
28/02/23
England Championship CHA
Millwall
Luton
2
2
D
Last Five - West Brom
15/03/23
England Championship CHA
Cardiff
West Brom
1
1
D
11/03/23
England Championship CHA
Huddersfield
West Brom
0
1
W
07/03/23
England Championship CHA
Wigan
West Brom
0
1
W
03/03/23
England Championship CHA
Hull
West Brom
2
0
L
25/02/23
England Championship CHA
Middlesbrough
West Brom
0
2
W
So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.
Luton odds: 2/1 (3.00) – 33%
Draw odds: 9/4 (3.25) – 31%
West Brom odds: 10/7 (2.43) – 41%
We’ve expressed throughout this article just how tough it is to separate the sides in question and, well, it seems the bookies are facing a similar conundrum with odds for all match result outcomes offering pretty long odds; that’s great news for punters who like to exploit value – it definitely exists! The bookies do have more clarity on the total goals market though; like us, they think the game will be lacking in goal mouth action!
Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Luton vs West Brom
Luton
Three league wins on the bounce make mass changes to the Luton starting XI unlikely. It’s just as well they are in a good place too because the Hatters have a few injuries to concern themselves with albeit with those issues likely to ease come later this month.
Predicted lineup – Horvath (GK), Potts, Bree, Lockyer, Bell, Campbell, Watson, Doughty, Mpanzu, Morris, Adebayo
West Brom
West Brom had a poor day at the office last weekend as they rescued a late draw against Chesterfield. In fairness, they had made a few changes to the team but, even so, they should be beating non-league opposition. It wasn’t all doom and gloom though as Brandon Thomas-Asante bagged two goals in that 3-3 draw. He might get rewarded with a league start here.
Predicted lineup – Palmer (GK), Furlong, O’Shea, Pieters, Cresswell, Yokuslu, Molumby, Wallace, Swift, Phillips, Asante
Starting Lineups
Luton
West Brom
*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.
Player to watch
Brandon Thomas-Asante comes into this game riding a wave of happiness and confidence after a two goal salvo from him last time out. He will mean business here in this game. With Luton tipped to win in our first prediction, they'll need to keep him under wraps for that to come to fruition.
Check out the latest standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Burnley | 37 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 83 |
| 2 |  Sheff Utd | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 70 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 67 |
| 4 | Luton | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 64 |
| 5 |  Blackburn | 37 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 61 |
| 6 |  Millwall | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 60 |
| 7 |  Norwich | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57 |
| 8 |  Coventry | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 57 |
| 9 | West Brom | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Watford | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 55 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 53 |
| 12 |  Preston | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 53 |
| 13 |  Stoke | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 48 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 |  Hull | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | -10 | 47 |
| 16 |  Swansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 46 |
| 17 |  Birmingham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 45 |
| 18 |  Reading | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -18 | 45 |
| 19 |  QPR | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -21 | 42 |
| 20 |  Rotherham | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | -10 | 40 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | -13 | 39 |
| 22 |  Huddersfield | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | -21 | 36 |
| 23 |  Blackpool | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -18 | 35 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -26 | 31 |
A quickfire FAQ on Luton vs West Brom
- Where is the match being played? – Kenilworth Road
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – West Brom
- What time does the match kick off? 15:00 GMT
