Luton vs West Brom prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 14/01/2023

Luton
14/01/23 - 15:00

Finished

2

-

3

West Brom

Luton - West Brom

England Championship - Kenilworth Road

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Luton entertain West Brom at Kenilworth Road on Saturday 14th January in game week 27 of the Championship season.

Luton vs West Brom: Our top betting predictions

Over recent weeks there has been next to nothing separating these teams. Will there be anything between them when they lock horns on Saturday afternoon? Find out with our Luton vs West Brom match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Luton to win

Deciding on the prediction around the match result for this game wasn’t an easy one by any stretch with the two teams having identical form over the last five games having recorded one draw, one defeat and three wins and in the exact same order (DWWWL). We have, however, opted to back Luton to come out on top and there are a couple of reasons for that. Firstly, they hold home advantage. That cannot be ignored and they are unbeaten at Kenilworth Road in nine games. Then we’ve considered the difficulty of the fixtures during that five game run; four of them are broadly comparable but the Baggies barely scraped a draw against non-league opposition last week. Those factors  combined see us lean towards a home win.

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Going south of 2.5 goals

Our next tip for this match is that the game won’t feature many goals; specifically, we are betting on under 2.5 goals. Luton have seen four of their last five home games end under that threshold with a game average of just 1.8 per match. West Brom, despite that manic six goal FA Cup clash last weekend, have still seen three of their last five end south of that marker. The last two head to head meets have been low scoring affairs as well. This could be another!

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Luton vs West Brom

Head to Head

08/10/22

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Luton

Luton

0

0

19/02/22

England Championship CHA

Luton

Luton

West Brom

West Brom

2

0

14/08/21

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Luton

Luton

3

2

01/02/20

England Championship CHA

West Brom

West Brom

Luton

Luton

2

0

17/08/19

England Championship CHA

Luton

Luton

West Brom

West Brom

1

2

Last Five - Luton

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Fulham

Fulham

Luton

Luton

4

2

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

West Ham

West Ham

Luton

Luton

3

1

L

03/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Everton

Everton

Luton

Luton

1

1

D

27/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Luton

Luton

2

1

L

20/04/24

England Premier League EPL

Brentford

Brentford

Luton

Luton

5

1

L

Last Five - West Brom

17/05/24

England Championship CHA

Southampton

Southampton

West Brom

West Brom

3

1

L

12/05/24

England Championship CHA

Southampton

Southampton

West Brom

West Brom

0

0

D

04/05/24

England Championship CHA

Preston

Preston

West Brom

West Brom

0

3

W

27/04/24

England Championship CHA

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

West Brom

West Brom

3

0

L

22/04/24

Others Others

Liverpool

Liverpool

West Brom

West Brom

0

0

D

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.

Luton odds: 2/1 (3.00) – 33%

Draw odds: 9/4 (3.25) – 31%

West Brom odds: 10/7 (2.43) – 41%

We’ve expressed throughout this article just how tough it is to separate the sides in question and, well, it seems the bookies are facing a similar conundrum with odds for all match result outcomes offering pretty long odds; that’s great news for punters who like to exploit value – it definitely exists! The bookies do have more clarity on the total goals market though; like us, they think the game will be lacking in goal mouth action!

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Luton vs West Brom

Luton

Three league wins on the bounce make mass changes to the Luton starting XI unlikely. It’s just as well they are in a good place too because the Hatters have a few injuries to concern themselves with albeit with those issues likely to ease come later this month.

Predicted lineup – Horvath (GK), Potts, Bree, Lockyer, Bell, Campbell, Watson, Doughty, Mpanzu, Morris, Adebayo

West Brom

West Brom had a poor day at the office last weekend as they rescued a late draw against Chesterfield. In fairness, they had made a few changes to the team but, even so, they should be beating non-league opposition. It wasn’t all doom and gloom though as Brandon Thomas-Asante bagged two goals in that 3-3 draw. He might get rewarded with a league start here.

Predicted lineup – Palmer (GK), Furlong, O’Shea, Pieters, Cresswell, Yokuslu, Molumby, Wallace, Swift, Phillips, Asante

Starting Lineups

Luton

Luton
34
Ethan Horvath
us
17
Ruddock Pelly
cd
9
Carlton Morris
gb
29
Amari Bell
jm
4
Tom Lockyer
gb
3
Dan Potts
gb
2
James Bree
gb
18
Jordan Clark
gb
22
Allan Campbell
gb
11
Elijah Adebayo
gb
45
Alfie Doughty
gb
Substitutes
16
Reece Burke
gb
21
Harry Isted
gb
32
Gabriel Osho
gb
20
Louie Watson
ie
7
Harry Cornick
gb
35
Cameron Jerome
gb
10
Cauley Woodrow
gb

West Brom

West Brom
14
Jayson Molumby
ie
35
Okay Yokuslu
tr
4
Dara O'Shea
ie
24
Alex Palmer
gb
2
Darnell Furlong
gb
12
Daryl Dike
us
19
John Swift
gb
3
Conor Townsend
gb
17
Jed Wallace
gb
15
Erik Pieters
nl
10
Matt Phillips
gb
Substitutes
1
David Button
gb
8
Jake Livermore
gb
11
Grady Diangana
gb
6
Semi Ajayi
ng
20
Adam Reach
gb
7
Tom Rogic
au
29
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
gb

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

Brandon Thomas-Asante comes into this game riding a wave of happiness and confidence after a two goal salvo from him last time out. He will mean business here in this game. With Luton tipped to win in our first prediction, they'll need to keep him under wraps for that to come to fruition.

Check out the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Leicester

Leicester

46 31 4 11 48 97
2 Ipswich

Ipswich

46 28 12 6 35 96
3 Leeds

Leeds

46 27 9 10 38 90
4 Southampton

Southampton

46 26 9 11 24 87
5 West Brom

West Brom

46 21 12 13 23 75
6 Norwich

Norwich

46 21 10 15 15 73
7 Hull

Hull

46 19 13 14 8 70
8 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

46 20 9 17 9 69
9 Coventry

Coventry

46 17 13 16 11 64
10 Preston

Preston

46 18 9 19 -11 63
11 Bristol City

Bristol City

46 17 11 18 2 62
12 Cardiff

Cardiff

46 19 5 22 -17 62
13 Millwall

Millwall

46 16 11 19 -10 59
14 Swansea

Swansea

46 15 12 19 -6 57
15 Watford

Watford

46 13 17 16 0 56
16 Sunderland

Sunderland

46 16 8 22 -2 56
17 Stoke

Stoke

46 15 11 20 -11 56
18 QPR

QPR

46 15 11 20 -11 56
19 Blackburn

Blackburn

46 14 11 21 -14 53
20 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

46 15 8 23 -24 53
21 Plymouth

Plymouth

46 13 12 21 -11 51
22 Birmingham

Birmingham

46 13 11 22 -15 50
23 Huddersfield

Huddersfield

46 9 18 19 -29 45
24 Rotherham

Rotherham

46 5 12 29 -52 27

A quickfire FAQ on Luton vs West Brom

Luton vs West Brom prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Kenilworth Road
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – West Brom
  • What time does the match kick off?  15:00 GMT

Ash is an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!