Play-off hopefuls Watford have the home advantage in Sunday's one and only Championship fixture, where the Hornets face bottom-of-the-table Luton.
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Watford vs Luton prediction: A home win expected
- Luton have lost 13 of their 16 away games in the Championship this season.
- Watford are averaging 1.81 points per home game, while Luton are averaging just 0.31 points per away game.
- Both teams have scored in 61% of Watford's outings in the Championship this season.
- 55% of Luton's league games have ended with both teams scoring.
Correct score prediction: Watford 2-1 Luton
Watford pick up the majority of their points at Vicarage Road, where the Hornets score an average of 1.25 goals per game and concede an average of 1.06 goals. Luton, on the other hand, have been poor on the road, scoring an average of 0.75 goals per game and conceding an average of 2.13 goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Watford the slight favourite
- HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 33/16 (3.06) – 32.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Watford are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 40.8% and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this prediction.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Luton lead
Sunday's guests have won three and lost two of their last five league meetings with Watford, but all of those wins have gone to the host team.
England Championship 19/10/24
Luton
Watford
England Championship 01/04/23
Luton
Watford
England Championship 23/10/22
Watford
Luton
England Championship 17/04/21
Luton
Watford
England Championship 26/09/20
Watford
Luton
Watford preview: Back to winning ways
Watford made the long trip up to the Riverside Stadium last weekend to face Middlesbrough.
The Hornets' veteran midfielder Moussa Sissoko scored the game's only goal in the 40th minute, his second of the campaign, to secure all three points for Watford, which had gone five games without a victory.
Kwadwo Baah, Pierre Dwomoh, and Daniel Bachmann have all been injured and ruled out of Sunday's clash with Luton Town.
Predicted lineup: Selvik (GK), Larouci, Andrews, Abankwah, Keben, Sissoko, Chakvetadze, Dele-Bashiru, Louza, Kayembe & Doumbia
England Championship 01/03/25
D
Stoke
0
Watford
0
England Championship 23/02/25
W
Luton
0
Watford
2
England Championship 15/02/25
W
Middlesbrough
0
Watford
1
England Championship 11/02/25
L
Leeds
4
Watford
0
England Championship 08/02/25
D
Sunderland
2
Watford
2
Luton preview: Winless in 11
Luton's long winless run continued midweek when they played host to Plymouth Argyle.
The first 45 minutes ended goalless, but the Hatters did manage to break the deadlock in the 55th minute through Jacob Brown. However, Plymouth equalised in the 70th minute, and neither side was able to carve out a second goal, so the game ended in a stalemate.
Sunday's guests could be without a trio of defenders. Reece Burke, Tom Lockyer, and Teden Mengi look set to miss the trip to Vicarage Road.
Predicted lineup: Kaminski (GK), Naismith, Bell, McGuinness, Nakamba, Walsh, Doughty, Aasgaard, Adebayo, Jones & Nordas
England Championship 01/03/25
W
Portsmouth
0
Luton
1
England Championship 23/02/25
L
Watford
2
Luton
0
England Championship 19/02/25
D
Plymouth
1
Luton
1
England Championship 15/02/25
L
Sheff Utd
1
Luton
0
England Championship 12/02/25
L
Sunderland
2
Luton
0
Player to watch: Giorgi Chakvetadze
Giorgi Chakvetadze took his time to settle into life in England and only played a bit-part role in his opening two campaigns with the Hornets.
However, the Georgian midfielder has made an impressive 31 starts in the 2024/25 Championship campaign for Watford, chipping in with two goals and five assists.
Took time to earn a regular spot in the Hornet's starting lineup
Chakvetadze is now a key player in the Watford team, venturing forward to offer plenty of creativity for his club, as well as the odd goal or two.