17th placed Luton are hoping to pull off a huge upset on Wednesday night against the top ranked visitors, Sunderland. This will be an incredibly tough feat to achieve, but can they do it? Let us share our views and tips for this match below.
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Luton vs Sunderland prediction: Sunderland to take all three points
Key stats
- Sunderland have scored the most goals of any team in the Championship with 19
- Luton have won 2 of their last 3 home games
- Sunderland have scored 9 goals in 5 away games this season
- Both teams have found the net in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these sides
Correct score prediction: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
With 9 goals in 5 away fixtures this season, Sunderland clearly doesn’t struggle to score goals on the road. As for Luton, they’ve scored 9 and conceded 9 in their opening 5 home games. Based on these figures and given the difference in level between the teams, we can see a 2-1 win for Sunderland here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies surprisingly favour Luton
- HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.80%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.30%
- AWAY: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.70%
We have to admit – we didn’t see these odds coming! Despite being top of the Championship, Sunderland has a 35.70% chance of winning this match compared with a 40.80% probability for Luton.
Make sure you check out our football betting tips page for extra predictions covering the Championship and other leagues!
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Very little between the teams
The last two times these teams have played, one win has gone to Luton and one has gone to Sunderland. But prior to these games, Luton and Sunderland have competed in four straight score draws, showing that there isn’t much in this one – historically speaking.
England Championship 16/05/23
Luton
Sunderland
England Championship 13/05/23
Sunderland
Luton
England Championship 18/03/23
Sunderland
Luton
England Championship 29/10/22
Luton
Sunderland
England League 1 12/01/19
Sunderland
Luton
Luton preview: 17th place but decent at home
Luton have managed to win two of their last three home games, which has helped them climb to 17th in the table. However, they’ve lost two of their last four Championship fixtures, so confidence levels could be an issue here.
Predicted Lineup: Kaminski (GK); Walters, McGuinness, Holmes, Doughty; Clark, Mpanzu, Moses; Chong, Morris, Adebayo
England Championship 03/05/25
L
West Brom
5
Luton
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Coventry
0
Luton
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Bristol City
1
Luton
3
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Derby
0
Luton
1
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Blackburn
1
Luton
0
Sunderland preview: Firmly on top of the Championship
Sunderland has earned the most wins of any team in the league this season, taking 7 wins from 10 matches. They’ve been impressive on the road, too, taking 3 wins from 5 and scoring 9 goals in the process.
Predicted Lineup: Patterson (GK); Hume, Mepham, O'Nien, Cirkin; Rigg, Neil, Bellingham; Roberts, Isidor, Mundle
England Championship 13/05/25
L
Coventry
1
Sunderland
0
England Championship 09/05/25
W
Coventry
1
Sunderland
2
England Championship 03/05/25
L
QPR
1
Sunderland
0
England Championship 26/04/25
L
Oxford Utd
2
Sunderland
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Blackburn
1
Sunderland
0
Player to watch – Wilson Isidor (Sunderland)
Not only is Wilson Isidor Sunderland’s top scorer, but he is in great form at the moment. Isidor has scored 3 goals in 10 appearances, which might not seem amazing. But when you consider that 2 of these 3 came in the last three fixtures, he’s clearly finding his feet.
Subsequently, if he performs as he has in recent weeks against Luton, we feel he could certainly grab a goal or two.