Lorient vs Auxerre prediction, odds & betting tips – 01/03/2026
Olivier Pantaloni, head coach of Lorient - IMAGO / PsnewZ
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 4.5 total cards

Seven of Auxerre's last nine matches went above the 4.5-card threshold.

Lorient will look to maintain their impressive Ligue 1 form when they take on Auxerre at Stade du Moustoir on Sunday, 1 March.

View our Lorient vs Auxerre predictions below.

Lorient vs Auxerre predictions: Impressive home record

Key stats

  • Lorient have lost just once in their last 15 games across all competitions.
  • Auxerre have won just once in their last eight Ligue 1 matches.
  • There were fewer than 11 corners in eight of Lorient's last 10 matches.

Correct score prediction: Lorient 2-0 Auxerre

After a disastrous start to the season, Lorient have not only steadied the ship, but they are now in contention to secure a European spot next season.

Confidence is sky high for Olivier Pantaloni’s men, who look unbeatable at home. Lorient have won six, drawn four and lost just once at home in Ligue 1, and have won their last three matches at Stade du Moustoir across all competitions.

In contrast, Auxerre are 16th in the table, with 17 points from 23 games, level on points with Nantes but ahead of them on goal difference.

Three of the last six matches between the two sides have ended in a 2-0 scoreline in favour of Lorient, while Auxerre have failed to score in five of their last six games. Therefore, we predict the home side to win and keep a clean sheet.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Lorient clearly favoured

  • HOME: 1/1 (2.0) – 50%
  • DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
  • AWAY: 14/5 (3.8) – 26.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

After losing 2-0 to Brest earlier this month, Lorient returned to winning ways with a 2-0 win over Angers, followed by a 3-3 draw away to Nice.

Auxerre produced a shock 3-1 victory over Metz, but lost 3-0 to Rennes in their previous match. Christophe Pelissier’s men have lost six of their last nine matches, and have won only once this season.

Thus we can see from the above data, that Lorient are strong favourites to win this tie. They have been in terrific form this season, and are priced at 1/1 (2.0), implying a 50% chance of securing all three points.

Lorient have scored first in five of their last seven matches, and they are backed to do so again at 4/5 (1.8) with 55.6% chances of landing.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Lorient vs Auxerre predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Auxerre

In the reverse fixture, Auxerre won 1-0 at home, with Lassine Sinayoko scoring the winner in the 55th minute.

Overall, they have won three times out of last six meetings, Lorient winning once, while the remaining two matches ended in draws.

France Ligue 1 17/08/25

Auxerre

Auxerre

1
Lorient

Lorient

0

France Ligue 1 26/02/23

Lorient

Lorient

0
Auxerre

Auxerre

1

France Ligue 1 16/09/22

Auxerre

Auxerre

1
Lorient

Lorient

3

Lorient preview: Missing several key players

The likes of Isaak Toure and Kan Guy Arsene Kouassi may not feature for Lorient on Sunday due to injuries.

Likewise, Bandiougou Fadiga (sore groin), Trevan Sanusi (knee issue) and Abdoulaye Faye (hamstring strain) are doubtful for this game.

Predicted lineup: Mvogo (GK), Silva, Talbi, Meite, Yongwa, Karim, Abergel, Cadiou, Le Bris, Pagis & Dieng

Last five matches

  • 22/02/26: Nice 3-3 Lorient (Ligue 1)
  • 15/02/26: Lorient 2-0 Angers (Ligue 1)
  • 07/02/26: Brest 2-0 Lorient (Ligue 1)
  • 04/02/26: Lorient 2-0 Paris FC (Coupe de France)
  • 31/01/26: Lorient 2-1 Nantes (Ligue 1)

Auxerre preview: Can they pick up second away win?

The visitors are struggling at the moment, and are in desperate need of three points.

Nathan Buayi-Kiala is out with a cruciate ligament tear, while Lasso Coulibaly and Francisco Sierralta are dealing with a knock and a muscle injury, respectively.

Romain Faivre is struggling with an ankle problem, and Oussama El Azzouzi is doubtful for this clash due to a hamstring issue.

Predicted lineup: Leon (GK), Sy, Diomande, Okoh, Akpa, Ahamada, Owusu, Danois, Loader, Mara & Sinayoko

Last five matches

  • 22/02/26: Auxerre 0-3 Rennes (Ligue 1)
  • 15/02/26: Metz 1-3 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
  • 08/02/26: Auxerre 0-0 Paris FC (Ligue 1)
  • 01/02/26: Toulouse 0-0 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
  • 23/01/26: Auxerre 0-1 PSG (Ligue 1)

Player to watch: Pablo Pagis

Pagis has progressed through the youth ranks at Lorient and has become a key player for the club in recent years.

The 23-year-old attacking midfielder has scored eight goals in Ligue 1 this season from 15 starts, and is expected to play a key role again this weekend.

Lorient vs Auxerre
Pablo Pagis in action for Lorient – photo by IMAGO / PsnewZ
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Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.