Liverpool vs Leeds prediction, odds & betting tips 01/01/2026
Photo by IMAGO/ Propaganda Photo
🔥 Our Hot tip

Leeds to win (+1.5 handicap)

Liverpool have only won one of their last six matches by a margin of two goals or more.

Liverpool will take on Leeds on New Year's Day, as the Premier League kicks off 2026.

The match will have an impact on both ends of the league table, with Liverpool looking to close the gap on Aston Villa in third and Leeds looking to push further away from the relegation zone.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Liverpool vs Leeds prediction below.

Liverpool vs Leeds prediction: The hosts to edge it

Key Stats

  • Liverpool have won four matches in a row in all competitions.
  • Leeds have failed to win any of their lats six Premier League away matches.
  • Both teams have scored in four of Liverpool's last six matches.

Correct score prediction: Liverpool 2-1 Leeds

Leeds proved that they can be a threat to Liverpool at the beginning of December when they played out a 3-3 thriller with the Reds; however, the Whites have been poor on the road all season so Liverpool should get the job done on Thursday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool start as favourites

  • HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
  • DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) 22.7%
  • AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Liverpool vs Leeds odds suggest that Liverpool are in for an easy night's work on Thursday. Ladbrokes have given the Reds a 65.2% chance of winning the match, while Leeds have been given just an 18.2% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Encouragement for both teams

While Liverpool have won three of their last five matches against Leeds, it isn't all doom and gloom for the visitors. The Whites have recent experience of going toe-to-toe with Liverpool, and they won on their last visit to Anfield in October 2022.

England Premier League 06/12/25

Leeds

Leeds

3
Liverpool

Liverpool

3

England Premier League 17/04/23

Leeds

Leeds

1
Liverpool

Liverpool

6

England Premier League 29/10/22

Liverpool

Liverpool

1
Leeds

Leeds

2

England Premier League 23/02/22

Liverpool

Liverpool

6
Leeds

Leeds

0

England Premier League 12/09/21

Leeds

Leeds

0
Liverpool

Liverpool

3

Liverpool preview: Szoboszlai returns

Arne Slot will be delighted that he can recall Dominik Szoboszlai to the starting XI after the Hungarian midfielder served a suspension last time out. That is where the good news ends, however, as Joe Gomez, Wataru Endo, Giovanni Leoni and Alexander Isak remain in the treatment room.

Predicted lineup: Alisson (GK), Frimpong, Konate, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Jones, Gravenberch, Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Wirtz, Ekitike

Last five results

  • Liverpool 2-1 Wolves
  • Tottenham 1-2 Liverpool
  • Liverpool 2-0 Brighton
  • Inter Milan 0-1 Liverpool
  • Leeds 3-3 Liverpool

Leeds preview: Changes expected

Joe Rodon is expected to be unavailable for Leeds on Thursday after the Welshman suffered an ankle injury against Sunderland last time out. Sean Longstaff and Daniel James are Leeds' two other injury absentees as Daniel Farke looks to make it six unbeaten in the league.

Predicted lineup: Perri (GK), Bogle, Struijk, Bijol, Gudmundsson, Ampadu, Stach, Tanaka, Aaronson, Calvert-Lewin, Okafor

Last five results

  • Sunderland 1-1 Leeds
  • Leeds 4-1 Crystal Palace
  • Brentford 1-1 Leeds
  • Leeds 3-3 Liverpool
  • Leeds 3-1 Chelsea

Player to watch: Hugo Ekitike

Hugo Ekitike
Hugo Ekitike – Photo by IMAGO/ NurPhoto

Hugo Ekitike is proving to be an excellent signing for Liverpool, and with Alexander Isak now out for an extended period, the Frenchman has the chance to cement himself as the Reds' long-term number nine. Ekitike has scored five goals in his last five appearances for the club.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.