Liverpool vs Brighton prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/02/2026
Liverpool are bookies' favourites - Photo by IMAGO / Propaganda Photo
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 3.5 total goals

Liverpool's last five games have averaged four goals per match.

An all-Premier League clash awaits on Valentine's Day in the fourth round of the FA Cup. Indeed, Liverpool welcome Brighton to Anfield on Saturday night.

The Reds dispatched of Barnsley 4-1 on home soil in the third round, although they were not entirely convincing. Meanwhile, the Seagulls secured an impressive 2-1 win against Manchester United at Old Trafford, but their form has dipped since.

Liverpool vs Brighton prediction: Reds to race into round five?

Key stats

  • Liverpool have won three of their last four games in all competitions.
  • Brighton are winless in five matches, losing three of the last four.
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in the previous five H2Hs at Anfield, winning the last three.

Correct score prediction: Liverpool 3-1 Brighton

Given their home advantage and the fact they are in better form, we are backing Liverpool to win this one after normal time. The Reds have struggled defensively this season though, which could allow Brighton to get on the scoresheet.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
  • DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
  • AWAY: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Liverpool are the favourites with bookmakers to win and progress into the next round. Interestingly, a draw and a Brighton win in normal time are separated by just 0.9%.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page for more of our expert FA Cup predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Liverpool strong at Anfield

As mentioned before, Liverpool have won the last three meetings at Anfield, and are unbeaten in the previous five. They could hold a psychological advantage over Brighton here.

England Premier League 13/12/25

Liverpool

Liverpool

2
Brighton

Brighton

0

England Premier League 19/05/25

Brighton

Brighton

3
Liverpool

Liverpool

2

England Premier League 02/11/24

Liverpool

Liverpool

2
Brighton

Brighton

1

England EFL Cup 30/10/24

Brighton

Brighton

2
Liverpool

Liverpool

3

England Premier League 31/03/24

Liverpool

Liverpool

2
Brighton

Brighton

1

Liverpool preview: Endo latest on injury list

Wataru Endo is the latest Liverpool player on the treatment table after coming off injured against Sunderland last time out. He could be replaced at right-back by Dominik Szoboszlai, who returns from suspension.

Predicted lineup: Mamardashvili (GK); Szoboszlai, Konate, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Gravenberch, Jones; Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo & Chiesa

Last five results:

  • 11/02/26: Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 08/02/26: Liverpool 1-2 Manchester City (Premier League)
  • 31/01/26: Liverpool 4-1 Newcastle (Premier League)
  • 28/01/26: Liverpool 6-0 Qarabag (Champions League)
  • 24/01/26: Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool (Premier League)

Brighton preview: Wieffer could return to squad

Mats Wieffer could return to the squad after recovering from injury, but he is unlikely to start. Stefanos Tzimas, Adam Webster, Solly March and Yasin Ayari are all still injured.

Predicted lineup: Steele (GK); Veltman, Dunk, Boscagli, De Cuyper; Milner, Baleba; Minteh, Rutter, Mitoma & Welbeck

Last five results:

  • 11/02/26: Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton (Premier League)
  • 08/02/26: Brighton 0-1 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
  • 31/01/26: Brighton 1-1 Everton (Premier League)
  • 24/01/26: Fulham 2-1 Brighton (Premier League)
  • 19/01/26: Brighton 1-1 Bournemouth (Premier League)

Player to watch: Florian Wirtz

Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz is a key player for Liverpool – Photo by IMAGO / PPAUK

Florian Wirtz was very impressive for Liverpool against Sunderland last time out. He also scored and assisted in the third round against Barnsley, and could make the difference against Brighton.


Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.