* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Luxembourg vs Lithuania: Our top betting tips
Lithuania are already doomed to face a relegation playoff after finishing bottom of this Nations League group. Will this game see them lose again or can they find a result? Find out with our Luxembourg vs Lithuania match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
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Luxembourg to win
It's not every day that Luxembourg arrive in a game as heavy favourites but they're well fancied by the bookmakers here and we agree with them hence we're using our first prediction to back them to beat Lithuania. Luxembourg pushed Turkey quite far in this group with their promotion hopes only being officially put to bed during their 3-3 draw with group winners Turkey. Luxembourg impressed in that match though and with just one defeat in their last five games it's clear they're in better form that their visitors here. Lithuania have lost five of their last six games and only managed to draw the other. Luxembourg have also won three of the last four head to head matches. All that considered and those odds-on prices for a Luxembourg win still look pretty attractive.
A low scoring match
Our next prediction for Luxembourg vs Lithuania sees us backing under 2.5 total goals. Luxembourg have seen three of their past five matches go south of the 2.5 goal mark. Lithuania are in a similar position with three of their last five going under 2.5 goals. Then you have the head to head record to factor in; again, three of five meetings have gone south of that all important 2.5 mark. With odds of 6/11 (1.55) on offer we believe this is a wager that is worth a dabble – even if the odds could be more exciting.
Here are the key stats & form guide for Luxembourg vs Lithuania
Head to Head
04/06/22
UEFA Nations League NAL
Lithuania
Luxembourg
0
2
07/06/19
Euro 2019 Qualifying Euro
Lithuania
Luxembourg
1
1
22/03/19
Euro 2019 Qualifying Euro
Luxembourg
Lithuania
2
1
Last Five - Luxembourg
08/09/24
UEFA Nations League C UEFA
Belarus
Luxembourg
1
0
L
05/09/24
UEFA Nations League C UEFA
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
2
0
L
08/06/24
International Match International
Belgium
Luxembourg
3
0
L
05/06/24
International Match International
France
Luxembourg
3
0
L
26/03/24
International Match International
Kazakhstan
Luxembourg
1
2
W
Last Five - Lithuania
06/09/24
UEFA Nations League C UEFA
Cyprus
Lithuania
1
0
L
11/06/24
International Match International
Estonia
Lithuania
1 (4)
1 (3)
L
08/06/24
International Match International
Latvia
Lithuania
0
2
W
26/03/24
UEFA Nations League NAL
Gibraltar
Lithuania
0
1
W
21/03/24
UEFA Nations League NAL
Gibraltar
Lithuania
0
1
W
Will Luxembourg live up to favourites tag?
Luxembourg are the bookmakers favourites in this match and, with that tag ringing true, they'll be expected to approacah this game a bit differently to what we've seen in history where they've banked in to get – or try and get – a result; that is the beauty of the Nations League. For Lithuania, they can't afford not to take this game seriously with a relegation playoff to come. They need every minute of game time to get organised after a woeful run.
Luxembourg's Nations League campaign is probably best described as so close, yet so far after Turkey's late equaliser ended their dreams of bagging top spot. Even so, it's been a great campaign and they will be keen to sign off in style.
Luxembourg Key Player – Danel Sinani
Lithuania have been awful all campaign and, as such, face a relegation playoff. This game can be taken one of two ways; they can use it as a warm up for that aforementioned playoff or see it as a ‘nothing' match. We'd suggest they do the former.
Lithuania Key Player – Fedor Cernych
A quickfire FAQ on Luxembourg vs Lithuania
- Where is the match being hosted? – Stade de Luxembourg
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Luxembourg
- What time does the match kick off? 19:45 GMT