Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan – prediction, preview & betting tips – 27/09/2026
Lithuania's midweek win was the ninth under Edgaras Jankauskas across his two spells in charge, with six of those victories coming during his current stint. - Photo by IMAGO / Richard Wareham
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 goals

Both sides were among the lowest scorers in the last Nations League campaign and throughout World Cup qualifying.

Lithuania, ranked 149th in the world, will take on 123rd-ranked Azerbaijan on Sunday night at the Darius and Girenas Stadium as the two sides prepare for a UEFA Nations League encounter in Group 2 of League D.

Rinktine have already kicked off their Nations League campaign with a 2-0 win against Liechtenstein on Thursday, while this will be the first game in the competition for Aykhan Abbasov's side, with this being one of just two groups in the entire competition containing three teams.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan key stats

  • Lithuania failed to win a single game in their 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign.
  • Edgaras Jankauskas' side lost all six of their contests in the last edition of the Nations League.
  • Aykhan Abbasov's side have won four of their last five in all competitions, with one of those wins coming via a penalty shootout.
  • Azerbaijan picked up just one point in the 2024-25 Nations League campaign.

Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan preview: Can Lithuania build on their winning start and claim another Nations League victory?

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan — Tale of the Tape

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan
1stPositionN/A
3PointsN/A
2Goals ForN/A
0Goals AgainstN/A
1Clean SheetsN/A
1st / N/AHome / Away RankN/A

The 2024-25 Nations League saw Lithuania drawn into Group 2 in League C with Romania, Kosovo and Cyprus, with high expectations that Edgaras Jankauskas' side would be able to at least give a good account of themselves.

However, after all six matches had been played, Rinktine had lost every single one, scoring just four goals in the entire campaign.

They were subsequently relegated and therefore drawn into one of the only three-team groups in the 2026-27 edition of the Nations League.

More recently, the Baltic nation attempted to qualify for their first-ever World Cup but struggled in a tough Group G containing the Netherlands, Poland, Finland and Malta, picking up just three points from three draws to finish bottom.

Jankauskas' side's highlight of the campaign was a 2-2 stalemate at home to Finland, where they found themselves two goals down after just 17 minutes but fought back to rescue a memorable draw.

Since missing out on a place at this summer's World Cup, Lithuania took part in the Baltic Cup, where they lost to Estonia in the final before kicking off their Nations League campaign against Liechtenstein on Thursday evening where they secured a 2-0 win away from home.

As for the visitors, their wait to begin their Nations League campaign has been a few days longer than that of their upcoming opponents, with Azerbaijan waiting in the wings while the opening fixture between Jankauskas' side and Liechtenstein took place.

Despite that, they have still been in action during this international break, facing Tajikistan in a friendly on Wednesday, when they secured their second win in a row with a 1-0 victory courtesy of an Oleg Vaklov own goal.

Like Sunday's hosts, Aykhan Abbasov's Azerbaijan side struggled to impress during the last edition of the Nations League and were relegated after picking up just one point from six games in a group containing Sweden, Slovakia and Estonia.

Their 17 goals conceded in those six outings ranked among the highest totals in the competition and will be an immediate area they wish to improve in, something they have done across their two recent outings against San Marino and Tajikistan, where they have conceded just once.

Those two victories mean Milli komanda have now lost just once in their last five matches and travel to Kaunas in potentially their best run of form for some time.

Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan form guide & betting tips

Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan — Last 5 Form Guide
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan
W
Form (Nations League)
N/A
3PointsN/A
1stForm TableN/A
2Goals ForN/A
0Goals AgainstN/A
W L D* L W
Form (All Comps)
W D* L W W

Whispers predicts: Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan

With two of the lowest-ranked sides in the Nations League meeting on Sunday, we are not expecting a high-scoring thriller.

We see this being a closely fought contest, with the points ultimately being shared, and a draw is currently priced at 9/5.

Our correct-score prediction of 1-1 comes in at 5/1, while Both Teams to Score is at 1/1.

With our scoreline in mind, we are therefore backing Under 2.5 Goals, with this selection currently priced at 1/2.

📈 Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan — Whispers' Tips

> Both Teams to Score at 1/1 | Likelihood: Probable

> Draw at 9/5 | Likelihood: Probable

> Under 2.5 goals at 1/2 | Likelihood: Probable

> Correct score of 1-1 at 5/1 | Likelihood: Possible


Cal is a dedicated football journalist and lifelong Bristol City supporter, with professional experience working within club media environments and independent sports outlets. Having previously worked with Chesterfield FC and contributed as a journalist in the newsroom, he brings an informed, authentic voice to his coverage.