An inconsistent Lille return to domestic proceedings, as they host bottom-placed Metz in what is expected to be a one-sided encounter at Stade Pierre-Mauroy on Sunday, 26 October.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Lille vs Metz tips below.
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Lille vs Metz prediction: Mastiffs to put the Grenats to bed
Key stats
- Lille are undefeated in their back-to-back Ligue 1 fixtures (D1, W1).
- The Mastiffs have scored a league-high of ten goals after the 75th minute.
- Metz are winless in their opening eight league games this term.
- The Maroons have faced a joint-league high 45 shots on target in Ligue 1.
Correct score prediction: Lille 3-0 Metz
Lille and PAOK played out one of the most thrilling fixtures in the UEFA Europa League last matchday, with the Mastiffs ending up on the losing side despite a heroic second-half comeback after trailing 3-0 in the first period. Bruno Genesio’s men have nevertheless avoided defeat in their last two league games, and Metz would serve as the perfect opponents to take it one further.
The visitors are glued to the bottom of Ligue 1 with six defeats and two draws. Metz's return to the top-flight hasn’t gone as planned, with Toulouse hammering them 4-0 in their latest fixture – marking their heaviest clean sheet loss in the league since 2021/22.
Everything points towards a Lille victory in this matchup.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Favourites by a huge margin
- HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
- DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
- AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Lille are winless in three games across all competitions on home turf. They are backed by odds of 3/10 (1.30), indicating a 76.9% chance of success at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Metz have conceded a staggering 15 goals in their four away trips this league campaign. The visitors are priced at 8/1 (9.00) odds, implying a 11.1% probability of success away at Lille.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Lille vs Metz predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Second successive H2H win for Lille?
Lille beat Metz 2-0 in their latest meeting back in December 2023. The hosts remain undefeated against Metz in five H2Hs, with the visitors last winning against Lille in May 2017.
France Ligue 1 28/04/24
Metz
Lille
France Ligue 1 03/12/23
Lille
Metz
France Ligue 1 18/02/22
Lille
Metz
France Ligue 1 08/08/21
Metz
Lille
France Ligue 1 09/04/21
Metz
Lille
Lille preview: Back-to-back league wins?
Alexsandro, Marc Caillard and Ousmane Toure are Genesio three missing players.
Predicted lineup: Ozer (GK), Meunier, Mandi, Perraud, Mbemba, Andre, Bouaddi, Pardo, Haraldsson, Correia & Giroud
Last five matches:
- Monaco 0-0 Tottenham (UEFA Champions League)
- Angers 1-1 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- Monaco 2-2 Nice (Ligue 1)
- Monaco 2-2 Manchester City (UEFA Champions League)
- Lorient 3-1 Monaco (Ligue 1)
Metz preview: A first H2H win since 2017?
Malick Mbaye, Joseph Mangondo, Sadibou Sane and Urie Mboula are Metz’s four absentees.
Predicted lineup: Fischer (GK), Colin, Balo-Toure, Gbamin, Kouao, Traore, Toure, Abuashvili, Hein, Sabaly & Diallo
Last five matches:
- Toulouse 4-0 Metz (Ligue 1)
- Lyon 1-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 2-2 Nantes (Ligue 1)
- Auxerre 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Lille 2-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Hamza Igamane
Igamane saw his second half heroics go to waste in Lille’s 4-3 loss to PAOK in the Europa League, and will look to make the difference once again in the clash against Metz. The Moroccan forward has three goals and one assist to his name this league term, including his late cameo strike in their recent victory against Nantes.