Finished
3
-2
SC Freiburg - Lens
UEFA Europa League - Europa-Park-Stadion
It was a stalemate over in France last Thursday as SC Freiburg came away from Lens the happier of the two sides knowing they can push for a win with their raucous home crowd behind them. For Lens, they will be disappointed to have not registered a single shot on target.
SC Freiburg vs Lens prediction: Bundesliga side favourites to progress
⚽Anytime goalscorer prediction | Michael Gregoritsch |
⚽ Total goals prediction | Over 1.5 |
⚽ Correct score prediction | 2-0 to SC Freiburg |
It's just one win in the last eight games across all competitions for Freiburg while Lens are unbeaten in their last five games including three wins in Ligue 1. However, the French side were completely toothless in the first leg, which will hand Freiburg a huge boost after also just drawing 3-3 against Eintracht Frankfurt.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Home advantage makes Freiburg slight favourites
Home: 13/10 (2.3) – 43.5%
Draw: 23/10 (3.3) – 30.3%
Away: 19/10 (2.9) – 34.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Last week was the very first meeting between these two sides so there is nothing to separate them at all. Freiburg are the favourites for this clash, but if form is anything to go by, then Lens should be causing an upset and leaving the home fans disappointed.
Last five H2Hs: Only clash ended in a stalemate
UEFA Europa League 15/02/24
Lens
SC Freiburg
After going three games in a row picking up victories and conceding just one goal, Lens have now drawn two in a row scoring just once. This could be an issue for Freiburg who've failed to score in two of their last three matches, showing a toothless side to their game.
Team news and form guide
SC Freiburg: Home crowd could make the difference
While Freiburg have been disappointing as of late, in the Europa League it's largely been a different story. The German side have only been beaten by West Ham in the competition this campaign and before facing Lens, had won every other match.
Predicted lineup: Trapp (GK) – Pacho, Hasebe, Tuta – Max, Skhiri, Gotze, Buta – Chaibi, Marmoush – Ekitike
Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24
L
St Pauli
3
SC Freiburg
0
Germany Bundesliga I 21/09/24
W
Heidenheim
0
SC Freiburg
3
Germany Bundesliga I 14/09/24
W
Bochum
1
SC Freiburg
2
Europe Friendlies 06/09/24
W
Basel
0
SC Freiburg
6
Germany Bundesliga I 01/09/24
L
Bayern Munich
2
SC Freiburg
0
Lens: A must-win game to maintain European dream
Lens enjoyed a rather successful Champions League campaign picking up two wins and two draws, so can count themselves unlucky to have fallen into the Europa League. The French side will fancy their chances having been in good form as of late not losing in their past five games, but playing away will be a test.
Predicted lineup: Samba (GK) – Khusanov, Danso, Medina – Chavez, Mendy, Abdul Samed, Frankowski – Thomasson, Fulgini – Said
France Ligue 1 28/09/24
D
Nice
0
Lens
0
France Ligue 1 21/09/24
D
Rennes
1
Lens
1
France Ligue 1 15/09/24
D
Lyon
0
Lens
0
France Ligue 1 01/09/24
D
Monaco
1
Lens
1
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 29/08/24
L
Panathinaikos
2
Lens
0
Our free expert picks: 2-0 to SC Freiburg and Michael Gregoritsch to score anytime
If the outright winner isn't what you fancy backing midweek, then be sure to check out more of the sure-fire-free betting tips we have to offer.
This second-leg tie has a lot to offer such as Draw/Draw which can be found with odds of 19/5 (4.8) and a cool 20.8% chance of landing. It's easy to see this game going all the way to extra time and penalties given how the reverse fixture played out. Elsewhere, you may have faith in Lens' tough defence and them winning to nil would provide odds of 17/4 (5.25 – 19%) and would be a sensible choice given their recent run of form.
Hot tip – Over 1.5 goals
- After last week's 0-0 draw, this match doesn't look set to be a goal-fest
- Lens have kept three clean sheets in their last five games
Other tips
SC Freiburg to win 2-0
- Freiburg restricted Lens to zero shots on target last week
- Every game Freiburg won in the group stages saw them score at least two goals
Michael Gregoritsch to score anytime
- Gregoritsch has scored three times in the Europa League this campaign
- Despite playing just 13 minutes, Gregoritsch scored on his last appearance
Player to watch – Wesley Said
Wesley Said has already scored the same amount of league goals as he managed in his past two campaigns, showing how much he's managed to step up for RC Lens both in Europe and in Ligue 1.
A goal from the bench for Said?
Despite having five goals to his name this season, Said did not feature in Lens' last two Champions League games as well as only getting 18 minutes last Thursday, so coming off the bench and scoring may be a realistic option.