The derby of the round in Ligue 1 is the duel between Monaco and Lens, scheduled for Sunday, 1 September.
Both teams have started the new season with a couple of wins in the league, but who will get the three points from this game? Read our Lens vs Monaco prediction to find out, but don't forget to take a look at our other Ligue 1 predictions too.
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Monaco vs Lens prediction: Monaco to get a narrow win
Key stats
- Monaco are on a three-game winning streak, counting the two games in Ligue 1 and one pre-season match.
- Both teams have scored in five of the last seven H2H meetings between these two teams.
- We saw both teams score in four of the last seven Monaco's matches across the board.
Correct score prediction: Monaco 2-1 Lens
Both teams have scored in the last three meetings between Monaco and Lens and given that both teams have done well to start the season, we can see that being the case on Sunday, with Monaco edging out Lens for a 2-1 win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Monaco favoured for the win
- HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.10%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.00%
- AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.80%
We can see from these Monaco vs Lens odds that the hosts are the expected winners and we don't disagree with that, but we would've expected a bit higher odds.
After all, Lens have also started the new season with a couple of wins in the league, but Monaco will have the advantage of playing at home and that could be the main difference.
For more predictions on the weekend’s football, take a look at our football betting tips page.
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Monaco with a small advantage
In the last five duels between these teams, Monaco have won three times, while Lens have won twice, although one of those games was a draw that ended in Monaco's win over penalties in Coupe de France.
When it comes to their overall H2H record, Monaco have a more significant advantage there: 56-32-30.
France Ligue 1 25/02/24
Lens
Monaco
France Cup 07/01/24
Lens
Monaco
France Ligue 1 02/09/23
Monaco
Lens
France Ligue 1 22/04/23
Lens
Monaco
France Ligue 1 20/08/22
Monaco
Lens
Monaco preview: Looking for a third win in a row
After a solid pre-season, Monaco have continued in the same rhythm and started the new Ligue 1 season with a couple of wins, beating Lyon and St Etienne in the process. In those two games, Monaco have kept a clean sheet and they'll hope to repeat the same against Lens on Sunday.
Meanwhile, Lamine Camara has to serve a suspension after being sent off in the last match, while Krepin Diatta and Aleksandr Golovin remain sidelined with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Kohn (GK), Vanderson, Kehrer, Salisu, Jakobs, Zakaria, Magassa, Akliouche, Minamino, Ben Seghir & Embolo
UEFA Champions League 02/10/24
D
Dinamo Zagreb
2
Monaco
2
France Ligue 1 28/09/24
W
Montpellier
1
Monaco
2
France Ligue 1 22/09/24
W
Le Havre
1
Monaco
3
UEFA Champions League 19/09/24
W
Barcelona
1
Monaco
2
France Ligue 1 14/09/24
W
Auxerre
0
Monaco
3
Lens preview: Can they put their duel with Panathinaikos behind them?
After three wins in a row, two in Ligue 1 and one in the Champions League qualifiers against Panathinaikos at home, Lens have lost to the Greek team in Athens 2-0 and thus failed to qualify for the UCL group stage. On the bright side, Lens will play in Europa League group stage, but they will have to put that tough loss to Panathinaikos behind them and focus on Monaco if they don't won't to lose twice in a row.
When it comes to team news, Deiver Machado is suspended for this match.
Predicted lineup: Samba (GK), Gradit, Medina, Sarr, Frankowski, Thomasson, Diouf, Chavez, Zaroury, Sotoca & Said
France Ligue 1 28/09/24
D
Nice
0
Lens
0
France Ligue 1 21/09/24
D
Rennes
1
Lens
1
France Ligue 1 15/09/24
D
Lyon
0
Lens
0
France Ligue 1 01/09/24
D
Monaco
1
Lens
1
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 29/08/24
L
Panathinaikos
2
Lens
0
Player to watch: Takumi Minamino
With nine goals last season in Ligue 1, the Japanese forward was crucial in Monaco's offensive schemes. Minamino also started the new season well, scoring once in the first two rounds, so he's our player to watch in this match.
