Leipzig vs Freiburg prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/01/2026

Trailing the top six by four points, SC Freiburg travel east to play third-placed RB Leipzig in an attempt to climb up the Bundesliga table on Wednesday, 14 January. Keep close tabs on Bundesliga predictions after viewing our key Leipzig vs Freiburg tips below.

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg prediction: Breisgau natives to return home with a point

Key stats

• Leipzig have lost back-to-back games via 3-1 scorelines.
• The Red Bulls have won six of their seven BuLi home fixtures this term.
• Freiburg have earned more points from losing positions than any other team (11).
• The Breisgau Brazilians have conceded the third-highest goals this season (17).

Correct score prediction: RB Leipzig 2-2 SC Freiburg

Leipzig ended 2025 on a poor note, losing successive matches by 3-1 results, marking the first time they’ve dropped maximum points in back-to-back outings this season. Thes latest of those losses was to Bayer Leverkusen, who dealt the Red Bulls with their first home defeat in 2025/26 in the process. On the other hand, Freiburg have gone undefeated in four consecutive competitive fixtures, as they continue to rise up the Bundesliga table. However, their away form is concerning, given they’ve won only one of their last six visits away from home. Despite Freiburg’s dismal away form, we predict them to cause Leipzig problems, especially since the hosts arrive on the back of their first home defeat this term.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home advantage

• HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.5%
• DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
• AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change After their match cancellation due to snowy conditions, Leipzig finally take to the pitch 25 days after their previous match. With home advantage, the hosts are backed to win via odds of 4/5 (1.80) suggesting a 55.5% chance of triumph. Freiburg have the chance to register three successive league wins for the first time since last April. Bookmakers draw odds of 29/10 (3.90) in the visitors’ favour, indicating a 25.6% win probability rate. Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Leipzig vs Freiburg predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Another Leipzig triumph?

RB Leipzig are undefeated in 13 straight H2Hs, winning nine of those encounters against Freiburg. The last time Freiburg cruised to a H2H victory was back October 2019.

Leipzig preview: More than a handful missing

Viggo Gebel, Benjamn Henrichs, Johan Bakayoko, Antonio Nusa, Assan Ouedraogo and Ezechiel Banzuzi are all expected to sit this one out. Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK), Raum, Lukeba, Orban, Nedeljkovic, Schlager, Seiwald, Baumgartner, Diomande, Harder & Gomis

Last five matches:

• Leipzig 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)
• Union Berlin 3-1 Leipzig (Bundesliga)
• Leipzig 6-0 Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
• Leipzig 3-1 Magdeburg (DFB Pokal)
• Monchengladbach 0-0 Leipzig (Bundesliga)

Freiburg preview: Can they upset the odds?

Daniel Kyereh is the only questionable presence for Julian Schuster and co. Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Gunter, Lienhart, Ginter, Kubler, Eggestein, Osterhage, Grifo, Suzuki, True & Holer

Last five matches:

• Freiburg 2-1 Hamburg (Bundesliga)
• Wolfsburg 3-4 Freiburg (Bundesliga)
• Freiburg 1-1 Dortmund (Bundesliga)
• Freiburg 2-1 Salzburg (UEFA Europa League)
• Heidenheim 2-1 Freiburg (Bundesliga)

Player to watch: Christoph Baumgartner

Baumgartner is arguably Leipzig’s most potent threat in the final-third, with the Austrian talisman registering six goals and as many assists this campaign. The 26-year-old has consistently provided value, including three assists and as many goals across his last four competitive appearances for Leipzig.

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