Two struggling teams clash at Mestalla on Sunday. Our Valencia vs Leganes prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether either side can boost their survival prospects with a win.
Contents
Valencia vs Leganes prediction: Low-scoring draw at Mestalla
Key stats
- Our Valencia vs Leganes betting tips take into account that 82% of Leganes away matches in the league have served up under 2.5 goals.
- Valencia have drawn three of their last seven league matches.
- Their only defeats in eight competitive matches so far under Carlos Corberan, have come against Real Madrid and Barcelona.
Correct score prediction: Valencia 1-1 Leganes
Valencia have won back-to-back home league games to seriously boost their chances of staying up, but this could actually turn out to be a tougher game than their recent clashes with Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo.
They can expect a more physical battle from this Leganes side that specialises in grinding out away draws. A repeat is certainly possible here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Che the clear favourites
- HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Valencia vs Leganes odds, with an implied probability of 57.9% that they win this match.
They head into this match following a 5-0 defeat to Barcelona in the Copa del Rey, although Corberan rested most of his regular starters in that one.
Leganes went slightly stronger in their midweek cup match, but were beaten 3-2 at home by Real Madrid, despite a brace from Juan Cruz.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Four draws in the last five meetings
Our Valencia vs Leganes prediction suggests we could see a fifth draw in the space of six meetings between these clubs.
All of those games produced two or fewer goals, with three ending with 1-1 scorelines.
Spain La Liga 04/10/24
Leganes
Valencia
Spain La Liga 12/07/20
Leganes
Valencia
Spain La Liga 22/09/19
Valencia
Leganes
Spain La Liga 24/02/19
Leganes
Valencia
Spain La Liga 20/10/18
Valencia
Leganes
Valencia preview: Duro fitness boost for Corberan
Top scorer Hugo Duro is expected to be fit, in a boost for the home team. Dimitri Foulquier is rated doubtful, while Thierry Correia is injured.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Tarrega, Mosquera, Foulquier, Guerra, Barrenechea, Rioja, Almeida, D. Lopez & Duro
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Getafe 0 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Las Palmas 2 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 22/04/25 D Espanyol 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 11/04/25 W Sevilla 0 Valencia 1
Leganes preview: Sergio serves suspension
Defender Sergio Gonzalez is banned for the South Madrid side. They are also missing Seydouba Cisse and Enric Franquesa who are both out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), Nastasic, Saenz, Rosier, Cruz, Tapia, Brasanac, Neyou, Altimira, Raba & De la Fuente
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W Espanyol 2 Leganes 3 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 D Sevilla 2 Leganes 2 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 D Girona 1 Leganes 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Mallorca 0 Leganes 0 Spain La Liga 12/04/25 L Barcelona 1 Leganes 0 
