Leganes vs Valencia prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/10/2024

leganes vs valencia predictions
Leganes have drawn back-to-back derbies heading into this game - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - No

Both teams have scored in only one of Valencia’s last six matches.

Two struggling teams meet at Butarque this Friday on the fringes of the Spanish capital. Our Leganes vs Valencia prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether either side can claim a badly needed victory.

Leganes vs Valencia prediction: Bore draw at Butarque

Key stats

  • Our Leganes vs Valencia betting tips take into account that both sides have won just one out of eight in La Liga 2024/25.
  • Since their return to the top flight, Leganes matches average just 1.75 goals per game.
  • 50% of their fixtures this term have ended in draws.

Correct score prediction: Leganes 0-0 Valencia

This game features two teams who aren’t scoring many goals and are looking pretty short on confidence in the final third. Only Real Valladolid have scored fewer than this pair in La Liga this term and this has all the makings of a tight affair that could end up all square.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Nothing to split the sides

  • HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
  • DRAW: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%
  • AWAY: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

There are no clear favourites according to the Leganes vs Valencia odds with an implied probability of 35.7% for a home win and an away win.

Leganes got a decent point last time out, drawing 1-1 away to Rayo Vallecano with Juan Cruz on target.

As for Valencia, they head into this on the back of a 3-0 defeat away to Real Sociedad.

For more of the best picks, today’s free football betting tips look at the upcoming action in Europe and beyond.

Most recent H2Hs: A fixture that produces few goals

Our Leganes vs Valencia prediction suggests this will be a tight affair and there have been two or fewer goals in each of the last five meetings. Three of the last four have finished all square.

Spain La Liga 12/07/20

Leganes

Leganes

1
Valencia

Valencia

0

Spain La Liga 22/09/19

Valencia

Valencia

1
Leganes

Leganes

1

Spain La Liga 24/02/19

Leganes

Leganes

1
Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain La Liga 20/10/18

Valencia

Valencia

1
Leganes

Leganes

1

Spain La Liga 01/04/18

Leganes

Leganes

0
Valencia

Valencia

1

Leganes preview: Hosts close to full strength

The South Madrid side are doing quite well on the fitness front. Yvan Neyou is still an injury doubt though.

Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), Hernandez, Nastasic, Sergio, Rosier, Tapia, Cisse, Roberto, Munir, Haller & Cruz

Spain La Liga 28/09/24

D

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Leganes

Leganes

1

Spain La Liga 22/09/24

D

Getafe

Getafe

1

Leganes

Leganes

1

Spain La Liga 19/09/24

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Leganes

Leganes

0

Spain La Liga 13/09/24

L

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Leganes

Leganes

0

Europe Friendlies 04/09/24

W

Fuenlabrada

Fuenlabrada

0

Leganes

Leganes

3

Valencia preview: Pressure building on Baraja

Ruben Baraja is in danger of losing his job at Valencia and he’s expected to be without Jose Gaya, Rafa Mir and Mouctar Diakhaby here with the trio injured.

Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Yarek, Tarrega, Mosquera, Correia, Pepelu, Guillamon, Guerra, Rioja, Duro & Diego Lopez

Spain La Liga 28/09/24

L

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

3

Valencia

Valencia

0

Spain La Liga 24/09/24

D

Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Valencia

Valencia

0

Spain La Liga 21/09/24

W

Girona

Girona

0

Valencia

Valencia

2

Spain La Liga 15/09/24

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Valencia

Valencia

0

Spain La Liga 31/08/24

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

Valencia

Valencia

1

Player to watch – Pepelu

With the possible exception of goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili, Pepelu is perhaps the most important player in this Valencia team. The midfielder has started every game for Los Che this season, registering two assists.

leganes vs valencia prediction
Pepelu is key for Valencia in midfield – Photo by IMAGO.

Los Che’s biggest creative threat

Pepelu brings control and creativity in the middle of the park for Valencia. He averages 1.9 key passes per game this season, while none of his teammates can better 1.0.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.