real sociedad vs leganes predictions
Leganes were involved in a high-scoring game last weekend - Photo by IMAGO.
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Real Sociedad & under 3.5 total goals

All 24 of Real Sociedad’s league games this term have produced under 3.5 goals.

Real Sociedad are back at the Reale Arena for the second time in four days on Sunday. Our Real Sociedad vs Leganes prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can see off the South Madrid side.

Real Sociedad vs Leganes prediction: Hosts to win by one

Key stats

  • Our Real Sociedad vs Leganes betting tips take into account that 56% of La Real’s wins in La Liga have come by just one goal.
  • Leganes away matches in the league this term average just 2.17 goals per game.
  • Borja Jimenez’s side have only won one out of 12 on their travels in the Spanish top flight.

Correct score prediction: Real Sociedad 1-0 Leganes

Leganes have been competitive on their return to the top flight, but the sense remains that they are a bit short on quality in the final third of the pitch. They may find themselves scrapping until the very end of the season.

This is a tough game, and while Real Sociedad have blown hot and cold overall, they have won their last four home matches in all competitions, and they should get over the line here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Imanol’s men expected to triumph

  • HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
  • AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Sociedad vs Leganes odds, with an implied probability of 64.5% that they win this match.

They were 5-2 winners in the Europa League on Thursday night, with Luka Sucic scoring twice against FC Midtjylland to set up a glamour tie against Manchester United.

As for Leganes, they were involved in an unlikely 3-3 thriller against Alaves last time out, with Dani Raba scoring two penalties.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Only one win in seven for Leganes

Our Real Sociedad vs Leganes prediction suggests the hosts will be able to build on a relatively strong recent record in this fixture.

Leganes have failed to win on each of their previous four top flight visits to the Reale Arena.

Spain La Liga 08/12/24

Leganes

Leganes

0
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

3

Spain Copa del Rey 05/01/22

Leganes

Leganes

2
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

3

Spain La Liga 02/02/20

Leganes

Leganes

2
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

Spain La Liga 08/11/19

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1
Leganes

Leganes

1

Spain La Liga 16/02/19

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

3
Leganes

Leganes

0

Real Sociedad preview: Two suspensions for the hosts

Igor Zubeldia and Sheraldo Becker are both banned for Imanol’s side. The Real Sociedad boss is also missing Luka Sucic and Jon Pacheco to injuries, with some rotation expected.

Predicted Lineup: Remiro (GK), J. Lopez, Aguerd, Elustondo, Aramburu, B. Mendez, Zubimendi, Marin, S. Gomez, Oyarzabal & Kubo

Spain Copa del Rey 26/02/25

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Spain La Liga 23/02/25

W

Leganes

Leganes

0

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

3

UEFA Europa League 20/02/25

W

Midtjylland

Midtjylland

2

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

5

Spain La Liga 16/02/25

L

Real Betis

Real Betis

3

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

UEFA Europa League 13/02/25

W

Midtjylland

Midtjylland

1

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

Leganes preview: Munir begins three-match ban

The visitors will have to cope without the suspended Munir who saw red against Alaves. Borna Barisic and Enric Franquesa are out long-term.

Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), J. Hernandez, Nastasic, Sergio, Rosier, J. Cruz, Cisse, Tapia, Neyou, Raba & D. Garcia

Spain La Liga 23/02/25

L

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

3

Leganes

Leganes

0

Spain La Liga 15/02/25

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

3

Leganes

Leganes

3

Spain La Liga 09/02/25

L

Valencia

Valencia

2

Leganes

Leganes

0

Spain Copa del Rey 05/02/25

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Leganes

Leganes

2

Spain La Liga 31/01/25

L

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Leganes

Leganes

0

Player to watch – Take Kubo

No player from either of these sides has yet reached five goals for the season in La Liga. Take Kubo is one of three players on four goals, with the Japanese international having also chipped in with two goals in nine Europa League matches.

real sociedad vs leganes prediction
Take Kubo in Europa League action – Photo by IMAGO.

Take firing at the end of each half

67% of the winger’s goals this season have come in the final 15 minutes of either the first half or the second half. His latest goal in La Liga came in the 80th minute against Espanyol.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.