celta vigo vs leganes predictions
Leganes won the South Madrid derby last time out - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Celta Vigo over 5.5 corners

Leganes have conceded 7.92 corners per game on average away in La Liga this term.

Celta Vigo are bidding to boost their European hopes with three points at Balaidos on Saturday. Our Celta Vigo vs Leganes prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can see off struggling opponents.

Celta Vigo vs Leganes prediction: Home win with plenty of Celta corners

Key stats

  • Our Celta Vigo vs Leganes betting tips take into account that the Galicians average 1.69 goals per home game this season.
  • Claudio Giraldez’s side have an excellent 62% home win ratio.
  • Leganes have won just one of their 13 away games in La Liga this season.

Correct score prediction: Celta Vigo 2-1 Leganes

It’s hard to look past the home team here. Celta are in good form with eight points from their last four matches, including two victories at Balaidos where they have been strong all season.

As for Leganes, they’ve been comfortably beaten in their last two away games and don’t look to have enough up top to compete against this Celta side.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Celta the clear favourites

  • HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Celta Vigo vs Leganes odds, with an implied probability of 63.6% that they win this match.

They head into this one following a 2-2 draw at Girona last time out when Marcos Alonso and Iker Losada grabbed the goals.

As for Leganes, they claimed a dramatic late 1-0 derby victory over Getafe in their last game, with Diego Garcia scoring an overhead kick in the 92nd minute.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Low-scoring games the norm at Balaidos

Our Celta Vigo vs Leganes prediction suggests this will be more open than recent clashes on this ground, with all of the last five meetings in Vigo ending with one or fewer goals.

However, the sides haven’t met at Balaidos since 2020. Leganes won the reverse fixture 3-0 earlier this term.

Spain La Liga 27/10/24

Leganes

Leganes

3
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Spain La Liga 22/02/20

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1
Leganes

Leganes

0

Spain La Liga 08/12/19

Leganes

Leganes

3
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain La Liga 27/04/19

Leganes

Leganes

0
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Spain La Liga 14/12/18

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0
Leganes

Leganes

0

Celta Vigo preview: Swedberg the only absentee

The home team are expected to be at full strength, with the exception of the injured Williot Swedberg.

Predicted Lineup: Guaita (GK), M. Alonso, Starfelt, J. Rodriguez, Mingueza, Beltran, Moriba, Carreira, F. Lopez, Duran & Losada

Spain La Liga 15/03/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

0

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Spain La Liga 08/03/25

W

Leganes

Leganes

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain La Liga 01/03/25

D

Girona

Girona

2

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Spain La Liga 21/02/25

W

Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Spain La Liga 15/02/25

D

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

1

Leganes preview: Munir serves final game of ban

The visitors are without Munir for the third match running due to suspension. Long-term injury absentees Borna Barisic and Enric Franquesa are also still out.

Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), Saenz, Sergio, Nastasic, J. Hernandez, Cisse, Tapia, Neyou, Rosier, Raba & D. Garcia

Spain La Liga 08/03/25

L

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Leganes

Leganes

1

Spain La Liga 02/03/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Leganes

Leganes

1

Spain La Liga 23/02/25

L

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

3

Leganes

Leganes

0

Spain La Liga 15/02/25

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

3

Leganes

Leganes

3

Spain La Liga 09/02/25

L

Valencia

Valencia

2

Leganes

Leganes

0

Player to watch – Pablo Duran

Giraldez has opted to rotate his attacking players from week to week this season, with young forward Pablo Duran getting more opportunities of late. He has scored four goals in his last nine appearances in La Liga.

celta vigo vs leganes prediction
Duran in action against Atletico Madrid – Photo by IMAGO.

Duran’s rapid rise

The 23-year-old was playing third tier football with Celta B only last season. He hadn’t started a top flight match before this campaign, but averages 1.0 shots per game and a goal every 220 minutes this term.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.