Leeds are heading into the home straight as they bid to secure automatic promotion from the Championship. Our Leeds vs Swansea prediction considers whether they’ll be able to hold on to top spot with victory on Saturday.
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Leeds vs Swansea prediction: Firpo to assist in home win-to-nil
Key stats
- Our Leeds vs Swansea betting tips take into account that Daniel Farke’s side have won 63% of their home league games to nil.
- Swansea have lost all six matches against top-four opponents this term.
- They’ve only scored once in their last four matches.
Correct score prediction: Leeds 2-0 Swansea
With only one win in four, Leeds are wobbling, but they did pick up a solid victory over Millwall in their most recent outing at Elland Road.
They’ve been outstanding at home all season, and returning to Yorkshire for a game against an unconvincing Swansea side should provide the perfect opportunity for them to get back to winning ways.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the red hot favourites
- HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
- DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
- AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Leeds vs Swansea odds, with an implied probability of 81.8% that they win this match.
They dropped points at QPR last time out, but did fight back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2.
As for Swansea, they head into this game after a 2-0 home defeat against promotion hopefuls Burnley.
For more from the upcoming matches in England and beyond, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Leeds targeting fifth straight success
Our Leeds vs Swansea prediction suggests the Yorkshire side can make it five wins on the bounce against this opposition.
Leeds have scored at least three goals in all of their last three matches against Swansea, including in a thrilling 4-3 win in South Wales earlier this term.
England Championship 24/11/24
Swansea
Leeds
England Championship 13/02/24
Swansea
Leeds
England Championship 29/11/23
Leeds
Swansea
England Championship 12/07/20
Swansea
Leeds
England Championship 31/08/19
Leeds
Swansea
Leeds preview: Gnonto rated doubtful
The home team have a doubt over Wilfried Gnonto. They are also missing Max Wober to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Meslier (GK), Firpo, Struijk, Rodon, Bogle, Tanaka, Rothwell, Solomon, Aaronson, James & Piroe
England Championship 03/05/25
W Plymouth 1 Leeds 2 England Championship 28/04/25
W Bristol City 0 Leeds 4 England Championship 21/04/25
W Stoke 0 Leeds 6 England Championship 18/04/25
W Oxford Utd 0 Leeds 1 England Championship 12/04/25
W Preston 1 Leeds 2
Swansea preview: Darling’s participation uncertain
The visitors also have one injury doubt in the shape of Harry Darling. They are missing Myles Peart-Harris to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Vigouroux (GK), Tymon, Cabango, Naughton, Key, O’Brien, Franco, Eom, Cullen, Ronald & Vipotnik
England Championship 03/05/25
D Oxford Utd 3 Swansea 3 England Championship 26/04/25
L Millwall 1 Swansea 0 England Championship 21/04/25
W QPR 1 Swansea 2 England Championship 18/04/25
W Hull 0 Swansea 1 England Championship 12/04/25
W Sunderland 0 Swansea 1 
Player to watch – Junior Firpo
Leeds have one of the division’s outstanding full-backs in the shape of Junior Firpo. He has registered six assists in his last nine Championship games.
Firpo’s creative threat
Operating on the left flank, Firpo is linking up well with Manor Solomon. The 28-year-old averages an assist every 233 minutes in the Championship this term, and 1.5 key passes per game.