Leeds vs Everton prediction, odds & betting tips 18/08/2025
Beto celebrates scoring for Everton away to Fulham - Image from Imago
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BTTS & Draw

Leeds failed to win any of their final nine PL games in 2022-23, but have scored 20 and conceded 19 in their last eight opening-day matches.

Leeds United will make their Premier League return on Monday when they welcome Everton to Elland Road under the lights. The two clubs were embroiled in a relegation battle back in 2022-23, which Everton came out on top in, with Leeds needing two years to make their way back to the top flight.

Leeds vs Everton prediction: Tough to call in season opener

Key stats

  • Everton have only won two of their 18 previous encounters against newly-promoted clubs on the opening weekend.
  • Leeds have won just one of their last 11 league matches against Everton.
  • Everton have lost on the opening day in each of the last three seasons.
  • The last two meetings between the sides here at Elland Road have ended level.

Correct score prediction: Leeds 1-1 Everton

Both clubs are going through transitional phases with lots of new faces arriving, and that could make this something of an experimental clash for both, but an electric atmosphere under the lights should make it a hard-fought affair.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Leeds fancied with home advantage

  • HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite only just returning to the top flight, and being among the favourites to be relegated, the bookies are backing Leeds, making them the slight favourites for this opening clash.

Goals were a frequent occurrence at both ends when Leeds were last in the Premier League, and with Everton potentially missing some important defenders, over 2.5 goals being priced at Evens looks generous.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page.

Most recent H2Hs: Everton on top of late

Everton have enjoyed their recent league meetings with Leeds, losing just one of the last 11, and none of the last five here at Elland Road.

The Toffees took four points off Leeds in both of the Whites’ last two top-flight seasons, drawing on both occasions at this venue.

England Premier League 18/02/23

Everton

Everton

1
Leeds

Leeds

0

England Premier League 30/08/22

Leeds

Leeds

1
Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 12/02/22

Everton

Everton

3
Leeds

Leeds

0

England Premier League 21/08/21

Leeds

Leeds

2
Everton

Everton

2

England Premier League 03/02/21

Leeds

Leeds

1
Everton

Everton

2

Leeds preview: Former Toffee set for debut?

Dominic Calvert-Lewin could make his Leeds debut against the club he left over the summer following nine years on Merseyside, but Joel Piroe is the likeliest candidate to start up front.

Leeds will be without the suspended Jaka Bijol, and fellow defenders Sebastiaan Bornauw and Jayden Bogle are also expected to miss out with minor injuries.

Predicted lineup: Lucas Perri (GK), Byram, Rodon, Struijk, Gudmundsson, Tanaka, Ampadu, Stach, James, Piroe & Gnonto

England Championship 03/05/25

W

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

Leeds

Leeds

2

England Championship 28/04/25

W

Bristol City

Bristol City

0

Leeds

Leeds

4

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Stoke

Stoke

0

Leeds

Leeds

6

England Championship 18/04/25

W

Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

0

Leeds

Leeds

1

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Preston

Preston

1

Leeds

Leeds

2

Everton preview: Issues remain at the back

Everton will be without important defender Jarrad Branthwaite with a hamstring injury, while Vitalii Mykolenko is a doubt after sustaining a muscular problem in their friendly with Roma last weekend.

There could be a debut for Jack Grealish after he moved on loan from Manchester City last week, with the away fans excited to see him potentially form a trio with Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Iliman Ndiaye.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), O’Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko, Gueye, Garner, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye, Beto & Grealish

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Fulham

Fulham

1

Everton

Everton

3

England Premier League 03/05/25

D

Ipswich

Ipswich

2

Everton

Everton

2

England Premier League 26/04/25

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Everton

Everton

0

England Premier League 19/04/25

L

Man City

Man City

2

Everton

Everton

0

England Premier League 12/04/25

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

0

Everton

Everton

1

Player to watch: Iliman Ndiaye

Unquestionably Everton’s most exciting player for many years, Ndiaye has now been joined by the similarly skilful Grealish in attack, but much of their play will still go through the Senegalese international.

Iliman Ndiaye player to watch
Iliman Ndiaye was Everton's top scorer last season – Photo by Imago

Ndiaye was Everton’s top scorer with 11 goals last season, and he has caught the eye again in preseason, with his fine footwork and knack of getting into dangerous positions, so he is one Leeds will have to keep close tabs on.


Andrew graduated with a First Class Honours degree in Sports Journalism from UCFB in Manchester in 2022, and continues to live his dream of writing and reporting on sport. As well as football, Andrew closely follows Golf, Tennis and Athletics, and believes the Olympics is the world's greatest event.