Premier League Leeds United meet Championship Norwich City in the last 16 of the FA Cup at Elland Road on Sunday afternoon. With a place in the quarter-final at stake, both teams will be right up for this one.
In terms of preparation for this clash, Leeds lost 1-0 at home to fellow promoted side Sunderland last time out, while Norwich won 2-0 away at Leicester. Nonetheless, it will not be easy for the hosts against the in-form Canaries.
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Leeds United vs Norwich City prediction: Whites to win by skin of teeth?
Key stats
- Leeds have won just once in five games in all competitions.
- Norwich have won five of their last six matches across all competitions.
- Leeds are unbeaten in the previous eight H2Hs.
Correct score prediction: Leeds 2-1 Norwich
Norwich are in better form, but Leeds possess the Premier League quality. Given home advantage too, we are backing the Whites to scrape through here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Leeds favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%
- DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Leeds are the favourites to win and progress into the quarter-finals. A draw in normal time can be backed at just over 22%, while a Norwich victory is rated at just under 17%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page for more of our expert FA Cup predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Leeds unlikely to lose
As mentioned before, Leeds are unbeaten in the last eight meetings in all competitions. This could give them a psychological edge over Norwich on Sunday.
England Championship 22/01/25
Leeds
Norwich
England Championship 01/10/24
Norwich
Leeds
England Championship 16/05/24
Leeds
Norwich
England Championship 12/05/24
Norwich
Leeds
England Championship 24/01/24
Leeds
Norwich
Leeds United preview: Okafor only doubt
Noah Okafor is Leeds' only injury doubt. The Whites are expected to rotate as they have to balance the FA Cup with their Premier League relegation fight.
Predicted lineup: Perri (GK), Justin, Bijol, Bornauw, Gnonto, Tanaka, Longstaff, Gudmundsson, Buonanotte, Aaronson & Nmecha
Last five results:
- 03/03/26: Leeds United 0-1 Sunderland (Premier League)
- 28/02/26: Leeds United 0-1 Manchester City (Premier League)
- 21/02/26: Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds United (Premier League)
- 15/02/26: Birmingham City 1-1 Leeds United (p) (FA Cup)
- 10/02/26: Chelsea 2-2 Leeds United (Premier League)
Norwich City preview: Injury crisis to deal with
Norwich are expected to be without Mohamed Toure, Oscar Schwartau, Matej Jurasek, Jovon Makama, Papa Amadou Diallo, Harry Amass, Gabriel Forsyth, Mirko Topic, Ante Crnac, Jeffrey Schlupp, Shane Duffy and Lucien Mahovo. Thus, the Canaries do not have much room to rotate.
Predicted lineup: Grimshaw (GK), Stacey, McConville, Darling, Fisher, Field, Wright, Slimane, Maghoma, Ahmed & Kvistgaarden
Last five results:
- 28/02/26: Leicester City 0-2 Norwich City (Championship)
- 25/02/26: Norwich City 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday (Championship)
- 21/02/26: Norwich City 1-2 Birmingham City (Championship)
- 14/02/26: Norwich City 3-1 West Bromwich Albion (FA Cup)
- 10/02/26: Oxford United 0-3 Norwich City (Championship)
Player to watch: Lukas Nmecha
Lukas Nmecha has enjoyed the FA Cup so far this season, scoring in the last round against Birmingham and assisting in the previous round against Derby. Leeds will hope that he can make a similar impact against Norwich.