Cagliari vs Lecce prediction, odds & betting tips – 19/01/2025

Two teams looking to build on better recent results clash in the Italian top flight on Sunday. Our Cagliari vs Lecce prediction and Serie A betting tips consider whether either side can make it seven points from three games by winning the match.

Cagliari vs Lecce prediction: Visitors to get a point in low-scoring game

Key stats

• Our Cagliari vs Lecce betting tips take into account that the hosts have only taken 0.90 points per home game on average this term.
• 70% of Lecce’s away league games have produced under 2.5 goals.
• Lecce have only lost one of their 10 matches against current bottom half opposition this term.

Correct score prediction: Cagliari 1-1 Lecce

This has the makings of a tight game, with both sides likely to take confidence from some more encouraging results so far in 2025.

It’s hard to see many goals in it, with both sides averaging less than a goal per game in Serie A this term. The onus will be on Cagliari to dictate the play with home advantage, but their poor record at the Sardegna Arena this term suggests they won’t get more than a point.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the odds-on favourites

• HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
• DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
• AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Cagliari vs Lecce odds with an implied probability of 52.4% that they win this match.

They picked up an excellent 1-1 draw away to Milan last time out, with Nadir Zortea scoring their goal.

As for Lecce, they head into this following a 3-1 win at Empoli, with Nikola Krstovic netting twice.

For more from the upcoming action, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Lecce unbeaten in six

Our Cagliari vs Lecce prediction suggests the visitors can extend a strong recent record in this fixture.

They are unbeaten in six games overall, but four of those were draws. This fixture has tended to boil over, with six red cards in the last six meetings.

Italy Serie A 31/08/24

Lecce

1

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 05/05/24

Cagliari

1

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 06/01/24

Lecce

1

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 12/07/20

Cagliari

0

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 25/11/19

Lecce

2

Cagliari

2

Cagliari preview: Injury doubts for the home team

The home team have doubts over Zito Luvumbo, Yerry Mina and Kingstone Mutandwa, but will likely look to limit the changes after drawing at San Siro.

Predicted Lineup: Caprile (GK), Zappa, Mina, Luperto, Obert, Adopo, Makoumbou, Felici, Viola, Zortea & Piccoli

Italy Serie A 10/05/25

L

Como

3

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

L

Udinese

2

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 28/04/25

W

Verona

0

Cagliari

2

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

L

Fiorentina

2

Cagliari

1

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Inter Milan

3

Cagliari

1

Lecce preview: Visitors missing six

Marco Giampaolo will have to cope without six players here, with Lameck Banda, Antonino Gallo, Kialonda Gaspar, Joan Gonzalez, Andy Pelmard and Hamza Rafia injured.

Predicted Lineup: Falcone (GK), Dorgu, Jean, Baschirotto, Guilbert, Helgason, Pierret, Coulibaly, Morente, Krstovic & Pierotti

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Verona

1

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 03/05/25

L

Napoli

1

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

D

Atalanta

1

Lecce

1

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

L

Como

3

Lecce

0

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Juventus

2

Lecce

1

Player to watch – Nikola Krstovic

No player from these two clubs has scored more Serie A goals than Krstovic. The Lecce striker has netted six in 20 appearances in the Italian top flight this term.

Krstovic firing just before the break

The Montenegrin has netted 33% of his league goals in the final five minutes of the first half. He scored in that time period on successive matchdays against Roma and Monza in December.