Atalanta and Lecce will meet in the next round Serie A on Sunday, 27 April.
Will the hosts record a comfortable win as expected or can Lecce surprise us all? Read our Atalanta vs Lecce prediction to find that out, but also check our other Serie A predictions.
Contents
Atalanta vs Lecce prediction: A confident win for the home team
Key Stats
- Lecce have lost seven of their last eight matches in Serie A.
- Atalanta have gone under 2.5 total goals in five games in a row.
- Lecce have averaged just 2.25 total goals per game in away games in the league this season.
Correct score: Atalanta 2-0 Lecce
Taking into account the current form of both teams, as well as their overall quality, it's clear that Lecce don't stand a chance in this duel, even though they desperately need the points as they battle for survival.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atalanta odds on to claim win
- HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80.00%
- DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.70%
- AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.10%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can see from these Atalanta vs Lecce odds that the hosts are the expected winners in this match and that's hardy a surprise looking at the standings in Serie A where Atalanta are 38 points ahead of Lecce.
On top of that, Atalanta are simply a much better team on paper and they'll host the match, so it's clear why they're heavily favoured by the bookies.
For more predictions and picks, today’s betting tips will guide you around the best bets we have for you.
Most recent H2Hs: Atalanta with a small advantage
In the last five meetings between these two teams, we saw three wins for Atalanta and two for Lecce, although Atalanta have won their last three in a row. When it comes to their overall H2H record, Atalanta have the advantage there as well: 15-10-8.
Italy Serie A 19/08/24
Lecce
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 18/05/24
Lecce
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 30/12/23
Atalanta
Lecce
Italy Serie A 19/02/23
Atalanta
Lecce
Italy Serie A 09/11/22
Lecce
Atalanta
Atalanta preview: Looking for three points as they chase a spot in the UCL
The team from Bergamo had an amazing last season, when they finished fourth in Serie A and reached the Coppa Italia final, along with their impressive win over Leverkusen in the Europa League final.
This season they are once again among teams battling for a finish that would lead them to the Champions League next season and they've won two important games in a row, against Lazio and Bologna, after losing three in a row before that.
Atalanta will be without injured Odilon Kossounou, Berat Djimsiti, Sead Kolasinac, Stefan Posch, Giorgio Scalvini, and Gianluca Scamacca.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Toloi, Hien, Kossounou, Bellanova, De Roon, Ederson, Zappacosta, De Ketelaere, Lookman & Retegui
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
W Roma 1 Atalanta 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W Monza 0 Atalanta 4 Italy Serie A 27/04/25
D Lecce 1 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 20/04/25
W AC Milan 0 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 13/04/25
W Bologna 0 Atalanta 2
Lecce preview: On a terrible run of form
With seven losses in their last eight games in the league, Lecce have now put themselves in serious danger of relegation. At the moment, they're 17th, so one spot above the relegation zone, but only one point ahead of both Venezi and Empoli. Considering they're winless in the last 10 games, Lecce need to find a way to turn their form around or they will be playing in Serie B next season.
Nikola Krstovic and Medon Berisha are suspended for this match, while Gaby Jean, Joan Gonzalez, and Filip Marchwinski are on the team's injury list.
Predicted lineup: Falcone (GK), Veiga, Gaspar, Baschirotto, Gallo, Pierret, Coulibaly, Pierotti, Helgason, Morente & Rebic
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D Verona 1 Lecce 1 Italy Serie A 03/05/25
L Napoli 1 Lecce 0 Italy Serie A 27/04/25
D Atalanta 1 Lecce 1 Italy Serie A 19/04/25
L Como 3 Lecce 0 Italy Serie A 12/04/25
L Juventus 2 Lecce 1
Player to watch – Mateo Retegui
The Italian forward is enjoying a great campaign with Atalanta so far and he'll likely be crowned as the top scorer come the end of the season in Serie A. After all, he's currently at 23 goals and the next player on the list, Moise Kean, has 17 goals.
