Lille vs Le Havre prediction, odds & betting tips 17/02/2024

Lille
17/02/24 - 16:00

Finished

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Le Havre

Lille - Le Havre

France Ligue 1 - Stade Pierre Mauroy

Lille vs Le Havre Prediction
Can Le Havre avoid another loss to Lille this season in Ligue 1? (Photo by Baptiste Fernandez/Icon Sport)

With the battle for European football next season in full swing in Ligue 1, Lille prepare to host Le Havre on Saturday, 17 February. Will they get another win at home and improve their chances of finishing in the top four or will Le Havre cause a big surprise? Read our Lille vs Le Havre prediction to find out, but check out our other Ligue 1 predictions as well.

Lille vs Le Havre prediction: Another home win for Lille?

Lille vs Le Havre predictions
Our pick

⚽ Winner prediction

Lille

⚽ Total goals prediction

Under 2.5 goals

⚽ To win to nil prediction

Lille

With Lille currently in the fifth place in the standings and with just one loss at home in Ligue 1 this season, it's clear that Le Havre have a very tough task ahead if they want to end their three-game winless streak in Ligue 1. But what do the bookmakers say about it?

Pre-game odds and win probability: Lille looking at an easy win?

  • HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.20%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.60%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.30%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The two teams enter this game in similar forms lately, but as these Lille vs Le Havre odds indicate, Lille are the clear favourites. The reason lies in their great home record this season and the fact that they're currently 11 points ahead of Le Havre in Ligue 1 standings.

Last five H2Hs: Lille dominating the H2H record

France Ligue 1 01/10/23

Le Havre

Le Havre

0
Lille

Lille

2

Europe Friendlies 26/07/23

Lille

Lille

3
Le Havre

Le Havre

2

Lille have dominated Le Havre in their H2H duels, emerging victorious in their last six meetings, though only two of them have been played this decade. Still, that includes their first duel in Ligue 1 this season, which Lille won 2-0 despite Le Havre hosting the game.

Team news and form guide

Lille: Fighting for a Champions League spot

Lille enter this match in solid form, but they've been a bit inconsistent lately with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six games. Meanwhile, Lille with be without Andrej Ilic, Samuel Umtiti, Ivan Cavaleiro, and Bafode Diakite, who are all injured at this time.

Predicted lineup: Chevalier – Santos, Yoro, Alexsandro, Ismaily – Bentaleb, Andre – Haraldsson, Gomes, Cabella – David

Europe Friendlies 17/07/24

W

Gent

Gent

0

Lille

Lille

1

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

D

Nice

Nice

2

Lille

Lille

2

France Ligue 1 12/05/24

W

Nantes

Nantes

1

Lille

Lille

2

France Ligue 1 06/05/24

L

Lyon

Lyon

4

Lille

Lille

3

France Ligue 1 28/04/24

W

Metz

Metz

1

Lille

Lille

2

Le Havre: Hoping to end a four-game winless streak

While Le Havre are having a solid season and while they had some good results lately, like a win over Lyon and a draw with Monaco, they are obviously underdogs against Lille, mostly because they only have one win in away matches in Ligue 1 this season. On the bright side, Oussama Targhalline is the only player on Le Havre's injury list right now.

Predicted lineup: Desmas – Sangante, Lloris, Kinkoue, Operi – Ayew, Kechta, Toure, Sabbi – Joujou, Bayo

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

L

Marseille

Marseille

2

Le Havre

Le Havre

1

France Ligue 1 10/05/24

L

Nice

Nice

1

Le Havre

Le Havre

0

France Ligue 1 04/05/24

W

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

1

Le Havre

Le Havre

3

France Ligue 1 27/04/24

D

PSG

PSG

3

Le Havre

Le Havre

3

France Ligue 1 21/04/24

L

Metz

Metz

1

Le Havre

Le Havre

0

Our free expert picks: Lille to overpower Le Havre and keep a clean sheet

In addition to our free betting tips for this game, there are other interesting Lille vs Le Havre betting tips you should consider.

For example, betting on Lille to score first offers odds of 4/9 (1.44), which is the same as a 69.2% probability. Another interesting option is backing Jonathan David to score at any time at 11/8 (2.38) odds and 42.10% probability.

Hot tip – Lille to win

  • With seven wins in 10 home matches in Ligue 1 this season, Lille know how to take advantage of their home court.
  • Lille have won the last 6 H2H duels with Le Havre, so they also have a mental edge over them.

Other tips

Under 2.5 total goals

  • Lille have averaged 2.20 total goals per game at home in Ligue 1, while Le Havre have averaged 2.36 total goals in their away games.
  • Le Havre have gone under 2.5 total goals in three of their last five matches.

Lille to win to nil

  • Lille have only conceded four goals in 10 games at home in Ligue 1, which is just 0.40 goals per game.
  • In 10 games at home in the league, Lille have kept a clean sheet 70% of the time.

Player to watch: Jonathan David

The Canadian forward is having a good season for Lille so far, with eight goals in Ligue 1 and 13 goals in all competitions, which is why he's our player to watch.

Will David score his ninth goal in the league? (Photo by Daniel Derajinski/Icon Sport)

Will David score first?

This season David has been an equal opportunity scorer, with his goals coming in both halves. That being said, of the 10 games in which he scored this season, he managed to score the first goal half the time, so it might be worth taking a punt on him in this regard.


Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.