Conflicting ambitions collide as Lazio, aiming for a top-six finish, visit relegation-threatened Empoli at the Stadio Carlo Castellani in Tuscany on Sunday, 4 May.
Read our Serie A predictions for the clash below.
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Empoli vs Lazio prediction: Biancocelesti to hand Empoli the blues
Key stats
- Empoli’s last Serie A victory dates back to 8th December, 2024.
- The Tuscan natives are winless in 19 league games on the trot (D6, L13).
- Lazio are unbeaten in their last 12 H2Hs (W10, D2), since losing in November 2015.
- The Biancocelesti have netted atleast twice in each of their last three visits to Empoli.
Correct score prediction: Empoli 1-3 Lazio
Fighting to preserve their four-year Serie A status, Roberto D’Aversa’s men are desperate for points. Back-to-back home league draws provide a faint ray of optimism, but their dismal 10-game winless streak across all competitions casts a long shadow over their survival hopes.
On the other hand, Lazio are pushing hard for a UEFA Champions League berth, trailing fourth-placed Juventus by just two points ahead of their upcoming clash at the Stadio Olimpico. With momentum building from two straight away wins, the Biancocelesti appear favourites to claim another victory as they chase European qualification.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lazio the overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.5%
- AWAY: 17/20 (1.85) – 54%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Azzurri are currently enduring their longest winless run in the Italian top-flight. Their last victory over a higher-ranked opponent came on the final day of last season against the visitors' arch-rivals Roma, but they face steep odds this time – just a 25% chance (3/1) of toppling Lazio.
Marco Baroni’s Lazio, one of only four Serie A sides with better away form than home results, will look to exploit Empoli’s frailty. Backed by a 54% win probability, Lazio could solidify their top-six ambitions with three points – edging close to European football next season.
For more of the best picks, today’s free football betting tips look at the upcoming action in Europe and beyond.
Most recent H2Hs: Lazio to extend their fine streak?
Lazio edged Empoli by a 2-1 scoreline in the reverse fixture, extending their unbeaten H2H run to 12 league games (W10, D2).
Italy Serie A 06/10/24
Lazio
Empoli
Italy Serie A 12/05/24
Lazio
Empoli
Italy Serie A 22/12/23
Empoli
Lazio
Italy Serie A 03/06/23
Empoli
Lazio
Italy Serie A 08/01/23
Lazio
Empoli
Empoli preview: Time’s running out at the Castellani
With survival at stake, Empoli desperately need points – at minimum, a draw – as they sit just two points from safety. Their task is made harder by eight missing players: Alberto Grassi, Liam Henderson, Youssef Maleh, Szymon Zurkowski, Nicolas Haas, Saba Sazonov, Pietro Pellegri and Christian Kouame.
Predicted lineup: Vasquez (GK), Goglichidze, Ismaijli, Viti, Gyasi. Kovalenko, Anjorin, Pezzella, Cacace, Fazzini & Esposito
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
W Parma 1 Empoli 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L Lazio 1 Empoli 0 Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L Fiorentina 2 Empoli 1 Coppa Italia 24/04/25
L Bologna 2 Empoli 1 Italy Serie A 20/04/25
D Venezia 2 Empoli 2
Lazio preview: Europe in sight
Lazio enter this match level on points with rivals Roma and will look to complete a league double over Empoli. However, they’ll have to do so without two key defenders, as Nuno Tavares and Patric are both set to miss the clash at the Castellani.
Predicted Lineup: Mandas (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Rovella, Guendouzi, Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni & Castellanos
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
D Juventus 1 Lazio 1 Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W Empoli 0 Lazio 1 Italy Serie A 28/04/25
D Parma 2 Lazio 2 Italy Serie A 23/04/25
W Genoa 0 Lazio 2 UEFA Europa League 17/04/25
W Bodo/Glimt 1 Lazio 3
