Barcelona travel to Gran Canaria in the Spanish top flight this weekend. Our Las Palmas vs Barcelona prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the Catalans can cement their status as the new title favourites.
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Las Palmas vs Barcelona prediction: Raphinha to score in big away win
Key stats
- Our Las Palmas vs Barcelona betting tips take into account that the visitors have won four on the bounce in the league.
- It’s just one point from six games for struggling Las Palmas.
- Despite a poor run of form, they have still managed to score in each of their last seven league games.
Correct score prediction: Las Palmas 1-5 Barcelona
Las Palmas were flying at the end of last year, and they stunned Barcelona in the reverse fixture, but so much has changed since then.
Diego Martinez’s honeymoon period is well and truly over and the Las Palmas boss has been hit by a series of selection issues, with some key players still missing here. Meanwhile Barca’s form has really picked up since then, and they should punish a shaky home defence here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the red hot favourites
- HOME: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 1/4 (1.25) – 80.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Las Palmas vs Barcelona odds, with an implied probability of 80.0% that they win this match.
They were made to work really hard by a spirited Rayo Vallecano side on Monday night, with Robert Lewandowski’s penalty enough for a 1-0 win.
As for Las Palmas, they were three down by the interval in their last game at Mallorca, ultimately losing 3-1 with January signing Stefan Bajcetic grabbing a leveller.
For more from the upcoming action in Europe, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Las Palmas targeting famous double
Our Las Palmas vs Barcelona prediction suggests the visitors will get revenge following a shock defeat at the Estadi Olimpic earlier this term.
They’ve won on three of their last four trips to Gran Canaria in La Liga, although they did concede once in all of those games.
Spain La Liga 30/11/24
Barcelona
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 30/03/24
Barcelona
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 04/01/24
Las Palmas
Barcelona
Spain La Liga 01/03/18
Las Palmas
Barcelona
Spain La Liga 01/10/17
Barcelona
Las Palmas
Las Palmas preview: McKenna serves suspension
The home team’s chances are further hit by a suspension for defensive regular Scott McKenna. They also have fitness doubts over Fabio Silva, Adnan Januzaj, Marc Cardona and Marvin Park.
Predicted Lineup: Cillessen (GK), Marmol, Pelmard, A. Suarez, Rozada, Bajcetic, Essugo, J. Munoz, Moleiro, McBurnie & S. Ramirez
Spain La Liga 09/05/25 L Rayo Vallecano 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 L Valencia 3 Las Palmas 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 L Athletic Bilbao 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 W Atletico Madrid 0 Las Palmas 1 Spain La Liga 12/04/25 W Getafe 1 Las Palmas 3
Barcelona preview: Light rotation possible from Flick
With a Copa del Rey semi-final next Tuesday, we may see very light rotation from the visiting boss here. Hansi Flick is still missing Marc-Andre ter Stegen and Marc Bernal to injuries, while Andreas Christensen is rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Szczesny (GK), Balde, I. Martinez, Cubarsi, Kounde, Casado, Pedri, Olmo, Raphinha, F. Torres & Yamal
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W Real Madrid 3 Barcelona 4 UEFA Champions League 06/05/25 L Inter Milan 4 Barcelona 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Valladolid 1 Barcelona 2 UEFA Champions League 30/04/25 D Inter Milan 3 Barcelona 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25 W Real Madrid 2 Barcelona 3
Player to watch – Raphinha
Flick has been reluctant to rest Raphinha this season and with good reason. The Brazilian is having a brilliant campaign, with 13 goals and six assists in 24 La Liga appearances.
Raphinha striking after the interval
The ex-Leeds player has been most effective in the second half of games. 69% of his league goals have come after the interval, while he has netted 16 second half goals in all competitions.