Atletico Madrid head to Gran Canaria in need of three points this weekend in the Spanish top flight. Our Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they’ll be able to get the job done.
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Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid prediction: McBurnie to score or assist in draw
Key stats
- Our Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that the visitors have scored at least once in 91% of their matches in La Liga this term.
- All of the last four Las Palmas matches have seen both teams score.
- 73% of their home fixtures this term have produced goals for each team.
Correct score prediction: Las Palmas 2-2 Atletico Madrid
Draws are no use to Atletico Madrid at this stage of the season, with ground to make up on the top two, so they have to throw caution to the wind here.
Picking up three points won’t be easy though against a Las Palmas side that does pose an attacking threat, and one that will be feeling much more confident following an overdue victory last time out.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
- AWAY: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid odds, with an implied probability of 62.5% that they win this match.
They head into this game following a 4-2 win over bottom club Real Valladolid on Monday night, with Julian Alvarez netting twice from the spot.
As for Las Palmas, they came from behind to seal a vital 3-1 win at Getafe in their last match, to record a first victory in 2025.
For more from the upcoming matches in Spain and beyond, today’s free football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Los Rojiblancos the dominant force
Our Las Palmas vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests the away team will come unstuck here, and they were beaten 2-1 on this ground last season.
However, Atleti have won 11 of the last 13 meetings overall, and they’ve netted five times in three of the last six meetings.
Spain La Liga 03/11/24
Atletico Madrid
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 17/02/24
Atletico Madrid
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 03/11/23
Las Palmas
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 28/01/18
Atletico Madrid
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 26/08/17
Las Palmas
Atletico Madrid
Las Palmas preview: Cillessen still sidelined
The hosts are close to full strength here, but Dinko Horkas will continue in goal, given Jasper Cillessen remains out with an injury.
Predicted Lineup: Horkas (GK), Marmol, McKenna, A. Suarez, Rozada, Bajcetic, J. Munoz, F. Silva, Moleiro, S. Ramirez & McBurnie
Spain La Liga 09/05/25 L Rayo Vallecano 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 L Valencia 3 Las Palmas 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 L Athletic Bilbao 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 W Atletico Madrid 0 Las Palmas 1 Spain La Liga 12/04/25 W Getafe 1 Las Palmas 3
Atletico Madrid preview: Full squad for Simeone to pick from
Rodrigo De Paul and Samuel Lino are both expected to be fit for the visitors, meaning Diego Simeone should have a full squad available.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Gimenez, Le Normand, Llorente, Gallagher, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Alvarez & Griezmann
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Real Sociedad 0 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 D CD Alaves 0 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 W Rayo Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 L Las Palmas 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 14/04/25 W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4
Player to watch – Oli McBurnie
While it took Oli McBurnie until April to net his first goal in La Liga, the 28-year-old has now got two in two to supplement the solid team role he’s been playing all season. He’s either scored or assisted in five of his last nine matches.
McBurnie the creator
The Scottish forward’s tally of six assists is the most of any player who could feature in this game. Never before in his career has he managed to create so many goals in a single league season.