Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/02/2024

Atletico Madrid
17/02/24 - 13:00

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Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid - Las Palmas

Spain Primera Liga - Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction
Las Palmas won the reverse fixture 2-1 – Photo by Icon Sport

Atletico Madrid entertain Las Palmas in La Liga on Saturday. Our Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction considers whether the visitors can complete an unlikely double over Diego Simeone’s side.

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction: Los Rojiblancos too strong at home

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas predictions
Our pick

⚽ Match Result & Total Goals prediction

Atletico Madrid & Under 3.5 Goals

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Atletico Madrid 1-0 Las Palmas

⚽ Win to Nil prediction

Atletico Madrid Win to Nil

Atletico Madrid suffered another damaging away defeat last weekend against Sevilla but they remain unbeaten in more than a year at home in La Liga. Las Palmas are in pretty good form with just one defeat in five.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the clear favourites

  • HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
  • AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas odds suggest the home team will have too much having dropped just two points at home all season.

Last five H2Hs: November clash offers hope to Las Palmas

Spain Primera Liga 03/11/23

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

2
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 28/01/18

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3
Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Spain Primera Liga 26/08/17

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

5

Spain Primera Liga 29/04/17

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

5

Spain Copa del Rey 10/01/17

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2
Las Palmas

Las Palmas

3

There has only been one meeting in the last five years and that saw Las Palmas claim an impressive 2-1 win in Gran Canaria with all the goals coming after the break.

Team news and form guide

Atletico Madrid: Brilliant at home but away day blues continue

The disparity between home and away performances and results will continue to baffle Diego Simeone. Atleti have the best home record in La Liga, but only the 8th best away record.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Hermoso, Witsel, Savic, Lino, Koke, De Paul, Llorente, Molina, Griezmann, Depay

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

4

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 04/05/24

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Las Palmas: New boys continue to shine

Las Palmas are having a fine season on their return to La Liga and have won 3 of their last 5 after beating Valencia last time out.

Predicted Lineup: Valles (GK), Cardona, Marmol, Alex Suarez, Araujo, Kirian, Perrone, Munoz, Moleiro, Sandro, Munir

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

D

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

D

Cadiz

Cadiz

0

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Spain Primera Liga 16/05/24

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

2

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

L

Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Spain Primera Liga 04/05/24

L

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Our free expert picks: Atleti to edge low scoring game 1-0

If you’re after more football betting tips and perhaps a La Liga first goalscorer bet, consider backing Antoine Griezmann to open the scoring at 23/5 (5.60), an implied probability of 17.9%.

You can also get odds of 6/5 (2.20) for Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid HT/FT, a probability of 45.5%.

Hot tip – Atletico Madrid & Under 3.5 Goals

  • Our Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction suggests the hosts will make it 12 wins from 13 home league games this term.
  • Every single league match involving Las Palmas this term has produced under 3.5 goals.

Other tips

Atletico Madrid 1-0 Las Palmas

  • Atleti average 2.83 points per home game in La Liga, the best record in the division this term.
  • Las Palmas have lost 50% of their away games this season.

Atletico Madrid to win to nil

  • Our Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas betting tips point to a narrow home win with Atleti winning 2 of their last 7 in La Liga by 1-0 margins.
  • Las Palmas average just 0.75 goals per game on their travels.
Griezmann
Griezmann takes a corner in the Copa del Rey Semis earlier this month – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Antoine Griezmann

With Alvaro Morata injured, Antoine Griezmann will spearhead the home attack. The Frenchman has netted 11 goals and contributed 6 assists in La Liga 2023/24.

Griezmann striking early

Griezmann has played a decisive role in 38% of his team’s goals in La Liga 2023/24. He’s tended to score more frequently before the break in all competitions with 10 First Half strikes compared to 7 Second Half ones.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.